AFL Betting Tips Round 17

Ben H / 20 June 2023

AFL Expert Tips Round 17

17Richmond Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
17Western Bulldogs Richmond Tigers Icon Richmond 87 51.22% 88
17Brisbane Lions Sydney Swans Icon Sydney 85 47.64% 75
17GW Sydney
17St Kilda Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
17Port Adelaide Western Bulldogs Icon Western Bulldogs 75 41.36% 77
17Geelong Collingwood Magpies Icon Collingwood 82 57.44% 89
17Fremantle Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Brisbane Lions Icon Brisbane Lions 136 99.31% 116
West Coast Eagles Icon West Coast 50 0.62% 35
Column to hide
after pasting Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
game keys above GWS Giants Icon GW Sydney 96 76.72% 85
Hawthorn Hawks Icon Hawthorn 70 22.53% 72
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
St. Kilda Saints Icon St Kilda 60 26.68% 58
Melbourne Demons Icon Melbourne 80 72.34% 79
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Port Adelaide Power Icon Port Adelaide 104 82.24% 106
Gold Coast Suns Icon Gold Coast 71 17.05% 73
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Port Adelaide Power Icon Port Adelaide 104 82.24% 106
Gold Coast Suns Icon Gold Coast 71 17.05% 73
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Port Adelaide Power Icon Port Adelaide 104 82.24% 106
Gold Coast Suns Icon Gold Coast 71 17.05% 73
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Port Adelaide Power Icon Port Adelaide 104 82.24% 106
Gold Coast Suns Icon Gold Coast 71 17.05% 73


Richmond Tigers vs Sydney Swans

Thursday, July 6, 2023

7:20 PM @ MCG

Given Richmond’s recent resurgence, Thursday’s AFL clash with Sydney at the MCG will be thrilling. Despite a setback in their last match against Brisbane, the Tigers have shown their capability to bounce back. Richmond’s downfall in 2016 didn’t halt their progress, and it won’t this time. Sydney’s recent performance, especially in their fixture with Geelong, further adds to Richmond’s chances of turning the tide. The draw with Geelong demonstrates Sydney’s vulnerability in crunch situations, and Richmond will be keen to capitalise on it.

While Sydney has enjoyed their night matches at the MCG, it’s a new day, and Richmond is hungry for success. Yes, Sydney has performed well in their last three matches, but the Tigers are looking to roar back into form. Moreover, history shows us that the first quarter could be a game-changer for Richmond, as they’ve typically scored highest in the initial period of their last three matches at the MCG.
While the contest is set to be close, Richmond is poised to claw their way to victory with a scoreline of 87-85 over Sydney, reasserting their spot on the AFL landscape. The Tigers will pounce on every opportunity Sydney gives them while standing tall on defence to keep the Swans in check. It’s a new dawn for Richmond, and they’re set to shine under the MCG lights.

Betting Tip: Richmond

Suggested Bet: Tigers WINNING MARGIN 1-39


Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood Magpies

Friday, July 7, 2023

7:50 PM @ Marvel Stadium

With Collingwood’s recent performance and impressive win record as favourites, they’re undeniably entering the Friday night fixture as the stronger side. Demonstrating significant dominance on the field, their past 120-42 victory over Gold Coast epitomises their current form.

The midfield maestro, Nick Daicos, has been a game-changer, and his prowess should play a critical role. In contrast, the Western Bulldogs, although competitive, have shown they struggle to cover the line at Marvel Stadium. Even with Marcus Bontempelli’s high disposals and Ugle-Hagan’s goal ability, it may not be enough to outshine Collingwood’s vigorous game.

Expect a thrilling victory for Collingwood, with a likely scoreline of 82-75.

Betting Tip: Collingwood

Suggested Bet: Magpies WINNING MARGIN 1-39


Brisbane Lions vs West Coast Eagles

Saturday, July 8, 2023

1:45 PM @ The Gabba

Brisbane Lions, on a strong home ground streak at the Gabba, are set to make quick work of the struggling West Coast. This season, Brisbane’s power has been unwavering, securing seven victorious home games, their match with Richmond a testament to their might. The Lions’ secret weapon, Joe Daniher, isn’t one to overlook, his stunning performance against the Tigers a potential preview of what’s to come.

On the flip side, the Eagles, bearing the weight of 15 interstate losses, face a steep uphill battle. Their previous encounters with Adelaide and Sydney were harsh, painting a grim picture of the upcoming clash. A silver lining?

West Coast showed resilience against St Kilda. However, the shadow of their Round 8, 2022 defeat against Brisbane, orchestrated by the unstoppable Hugh McCluggage, lingers. Given these factors, Brisbane is well-positioned for a smashing victory, potentially with a scoreline of 136-50.

Betting Tip: Brisbane

Suggested Bet: Lions WINNING MARGIN 40+


GWS Giants vs Hawthorn Hawks

Saturday, July 8, 2023

4:35  PM @ Giants Stadium

With GWS charging towards the top eight, they are set to deliver a stellar performance against Hawthorn at the GIANTS Stadium this Saturday. Their recent victory over Melbourne, led by the incredible teamwork of Josh Kelly and Tom Green, adds to their increasing momentum. On the other hand, Hawthorn is battling the weight of a losing streak at GIANTS Stadium.

The facts speak for themselves – Hawthorn’s recent slump against Carlton, alongside the history of underperforming in the opening half, could well repeat in this upcoming match. Their track record against GWS doesn’t paint a rosy picture either.

Given these factors, GWS is poised to seize victory, with a projected score of 96-70. Their home ground advantage, the consistent team form, and the third-quarter power play will all contribute to this victory. Hawthorn will need more than a hail mary to overcome the Giants this time around.

Betting Tip: GWS

Suggested Bet: Giants WINNING MARGIN 1-39


St Kilda Saints vs Melbourne Demons

Saturday, July 8, 2023

7:25 PM @ Marvel Stadium

Saturday’s AFL showdown between St Kilda and Melbourne promises intense competition, with both teams holding a 9-6 record. Melbourne’s recent performance may seem lacklustre, but it’s essential to note that their losses have been by a slim margin of only 7.0 points on average.

Moreover, Melbourne’s consistent record of winning the first quarter in their last seven matches at Marvel Stadium is a testament to their strong starts, which will likely play a significant role in this match. Conversely, St Kilda’s record, with just two victories from their last five matches against relatively lower-ranked opponents, and their inability to cover the line in their last four matches at Marvel Stadium, paints a rather bleak picture.

Based on these factors, I predict Melbourne will take home a victory with a final score of 80-60. They’ll likely continue their streak of quick starts and maintain the lead, bolstered by their previous triumph over St Kilda in 2022.

Betting Tip: Melbourne

Suggested Bet: Demons WINNING MARGIN 1-39


Port Adelaide Power vs Gold Coast Suns

Saturday, July 8, 2023

7:40 PM @ Adelaide Oval

Port Adelaide is set to triumph over Gold Coast in the coming clash. Considering their impressive streak of 12 consecutive wins and a solid history of 13 successive victories against Gold Coast, the Power team’s strength cannot be disputed.

Recent performances, including the electrifying win over Essendon by Houston’s match-winning goal, further solidify their formidable position. In contrast, Gold Coast’s finals aspirations are dimming, evident in their damaging 120-42 loss to Collingwood.

Historically, Port Adelaide also outshines the Suns at the Adelaide Oval. With their win streak, coupled with Gold Coast’s struggles, it’s clear Port Adelaide will reign victorious with a score of 104-71.

Betting Tip: Port Adelaide

Suggested Bet: Power WINNING MARGIN 1-39


Geelong Cats vs North Melbourne Kangaroos

Sunday, July 9, 2023

1:10 PM @ GMHBA Stadium

Geelong, with a laser focus on the top eight, host a beleaguered North Melbourne at GMHBA Stadium on Sunday. A victory for the Cats, coming off a draw with Sydney, will put them back into the top eight contention, a spot they’re eager to regain.

Conversely, North Melbourne comes in battered by their 13th consecutive loss, and their last meeting with Geelong ended in a crushing defeat. Looking at these factors, it’s clear Geelong is well-poised for a victory.

Expect the Cats to employ their winning strategies from previous encounters, propelling them to a compelling win over North Melbourne with a likely scoreline of 112-66.

Betting Tip: Geelong

Suggested Bet: Cats WINNING MARGIN 40+


Essendon Bombers vs Adelaide Crows

Sunday, July 9, 2023

3:20 PM @ Marvel Stadium

Based on pre-match analysis and match facts, a compelling case can be made for an Essendon victory over Adelaide in the upcoming AFL game at Marvel Stadium. Despite a recent disappointing loss to Port Adelaide, Essendon has a history of triumph against the Crows, boasting five consecutive victories. Particularly significant is their impressive 103-99 win last season, led by Darcy Parish’s notable performance.

Although Adelaide demonstrated strong form by overpowering North Melbourne, their performance has been notably lacklustre when playing interstate, with a concerning 1-5 record. Furthermore, their poor first-quarter performance in Victoria, losing in their last 11 matches, works against them.

Moreover, the trend of the home team prevailing in Adelaide’s last eight matches leans heavily in favour of Essendon. Additionally, Essendon’s record at Marvel Stadium is commendable, covering the line in six of the last eight games.

Considering these factors, Essendon is the favourable pick to secure the win. It is plausible to expect a close game, with a possible final score of 91-88 in favour of Essendon.

Betting Tip: Essendon

Suggested Bet: Bombers WINNING MARGIN 1-39


Fremantle Dockers vs Carlton Blues

Sunday, July 9, 2023

4:40 PM @ Optus Stadium

On Sunday, Carlton is set to emerge victorious in a thrilling battle against Fremantle at Optus Stadium. Even though Fremantle’s home advantage could prove potent, recent form presents a shaky picture. Their average scoring, languishing at 68.0 points in recent matches, simply doesn’t match up against Carlton’s stellar defensive performance.

Last week, Carlton effortlessly silenced Hawthorn, underpinning their strong defensive record – among the top four in the league. Furthermore, the Blues carry a psychological edge, having triumphed over the Dockers in their last face-off in 2022, guided by Sam Walsh and Charlie Curnow’s standout performances.

The track record of Fremantle’s slow start in the first quarter, seen in 17 of their last 19 matches, further boosts Carlton’s winning prospects. Despite a superior ladder ranking often jinxing the Blues, they’re likely to snatch a narrow win in this contest, echoing their resilient defensive structure.

Expect a nail-biter, with Carlton edging out Fremantle 76-75.

Betting Tip: Carlton

Suggested Bet: Blues WINNING MARGIN 1-39


This Week’s AFL Multi Bet

  • Collingwood
  • GWS
  • Port
  • Melbourne

Take Bet: $3.18 with  Ladbrokes

Check out all of this week’s AFL multi tips on our Multi Bets Page.

Multi Bet Tips


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Ben H
Ben Harris is the Communications Manager for KRUZEY, an AFL expert, and writer. He has one daughter that he loves dearly and four children's books... [Read full bio]

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