AFL Betting Tips Round 22

AFL Expert Tips Round 22

 

Collingwood Magpies vs Geelong Cats

Friday, August 11, 2023

7:50 PM @ MCG

With the top eight in sight, Geelong’s recent triumph over Port Adelaide, led by Gryan Miers and Oliver Henry, has kept their finals hopes alive.

Conversely, Collingwood is reeling from a surprising loss to Hawthorn and injuries to key players.

Geelong’s track record is impressive, having won 16 of its last 18 matches against top-eight opponents and covering the line in six of its last seven matches as an underdog. Additionally, Geelong has consistently won the first quarter in its last 12 matches against teams on a losing streak. Player performances like Jeremy Cameron’s consistent goal-kicking against Collingwood further bolster Geelong’s chances.

Collingwood’s previous victory over Geelong in Round 1 cannot be ignored, but the current circumstances and Geelong’s determination make them the favourites.

The match is likely to be closely contested, as five of the last six matches between these teams at the MCG have been decided by a margin of 15 points or less.

Geelong’s recent form and Collingwood’s injuries and unexpected loss set the stage for a Geelong victory.

The final score should be Geelong 82, Collingwood 78, in a match that promises to be tightly fought and filled with excitement.

Betting Tip: Geelong Cats @2.05

Suggested Bet: Cats by 1-39 @2.55

 

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Essendon Bombers

Saturday, August 12, 2023

1:45 PM @ Marvel Stadium

Essendon is set to face North Melbourne at Marvel Stadium on Saturday afternoon, and the stakes are high for the Bombers as they cling to their top-eight hopes.

Essendon’s narrow victory over West Coast last weekend, secured by Kyle Langford’s last-minute goal, was crucial. On the other hand, North Melbourne continues to struggle, extending their losing streak to 18 matches after a defeat to Melbourne in Hobart.

The Bombers have a strong record against the Kangaroos, with nine straight wins, including a 105-99 victory in Round 12. Essendon’s performance on a seven-day turnaround is also noteworthy, having covered the line in nine of their last 10 matches.

Player statistics further favour Essendon, with Zach Merrett consistently recording 31+ disposals against North Melbourne and Kyle Langford’s goal-scoring prowess in recent matches.

North Melbourne’s woes at Marvel Stadium are evident, losing seven of their last eight matches at the venue by a margin of 1-39 points. Despite some individual performances, such as Luke Davies-Uniacke’s consistent disposals at Marvel Stadium, the Kangaroos’ overall form does not inspire confidence.

Essendon’s recent form, historical dominance over North Melbourne, and key player performances make them the clear favourites in this encounter. The match is likely to see a high-scoring second half, in line with North Melbourne’s recent trend at Marvel Stadium.

The final score should be Essendon 94, North Melbourne 72, as the Bombers continue their push for a top-eight finish while the Kangaroos’ losing streak sadly persists.

Betting Tip: Essendon Bombers

Suggested Bet: Bombers by 1-39 @2.10

 

Sydney Swans vs Gold Coast Suns

Saturday, August 12, 2023

2:10 PM @ SCG

Sydney Swans are set to host Gold Coast Suns at the SCG on Saturday afternoon, with the Swans riding a wave of momentum towards the top eight. Sydney’s recent victory over GWS marked their fourth consecutive win, with standout performances from Errol Gulden and Hayden McLean. Gold Coast, however, suffered a disappointing loss to Adelaide, further dampening their away record this season.

The Swans’ home advantage is significant, as the home team has won 10 of Gold Coast’s last 11 matches. Sydney’s ability to win the first half in their last seven matches and their recent trend of winning by a margin of 1-39 points adds to their favouritism. Gold Coast’s struggles on the road are evident, failing to cover the line in their last five away matches.

Player performances also highlight Sydney’s edge, with Errol Gulden’s consistent 30+ disposals and Tom Papley’s goal-scoring record at the SCG. Gold Coast has individual talents, such as Noah Anderson’s regular 25+ disposals, but the overall team performance has been lacking.

Sydney’s current form, home advantage, and key player contributions make them the clear favourites in this match. Gold Coast’s away struggles and recent underperformance in total match points further tilt the odds towards Sydney.

The final score should be Sydney 91, Gold Coast 71, as the Swans continue their charge towards the finals, while the Suns’ hopes for September are all but extinguished.

Betting Tip: Sydney Swans

Suggested Bet: Swans by 1-39 @2.05

 

 

Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows

Saturday, August 12, 2023

4:35  PM @ Gabba

Brisbane Lions and Adelaide Crows are set to clash at the Gabba on Saturday afternoon, with both teams playing for crucial positions in the top two and top eight respectively. Brisbane’s narrow victory over Fremantle last weekend was a close call, but their unbeaten 9-0 record at home in 2023 speaks volumes. Adelaide’s recent win over Gold Coast was a boost, but their 1-7 interstate record this season is a concern.

The Lions’ dominance at the Gabba is further highlighted by their 10-match winning streak at the venue. Their ability to win the first quarter in their last seven matches against Adelaide adds to their advantage. The Crows have shown resilience against top-four opponents, covering the line in their last seven such matches, but their recent trend of losing away matches by a margin of 1-39 points is worrisome.

Brisbane’s home advantage and consistent performance at the Gabba make them the clear favourites in this encounter. Adelaide’s previous victory over Brisbane in Round 11 cannot be ignored, but the Lions’ current form and the Crows’ struggles on the road tilt the odds towards Brisbane.

Brisbane’s home record, recent form, and key match facts make them the likely victors in this match. Adelaide’s interstate struggles and recent trends further support this prediction.

The final score should be Brisbane 97, Adelaide 77, as the Lions continue their pursuit of a top-two finish, while the Crows face a challenging road ahead in their quest for the top eight.

Betting Tip: Brisbane Lions

Suggested Bet: Lions by 1-39 @2.10

 

Carlton Blues vs Melbourne Demons

Saturday, August 12, 2023

7:25 PM @ MCG

Carlton and Melbourne are set to face off at the MCG on Saturday night in a clash that promises to be a nail-biter. Both teams are riding winning streaks, with Carlton’s seven-match run being their longest since 2000 and Melbourne winning their last five.

Carlton’s comeback victory over St Kilda last weekend, led by Nic Newman and Zac Fisher, was a testament to their resilience. Melbourne’s recovery against North Melbourne, with standout performances from Angus Brayshaw and Christian Petracca, showcased their fighting spirit.

Melbourne’s recent dominance over Carlton, winning their last eight encounters, cannot be ignored. Their trend of winning by a margin of 1-39 points in the last five matches adds to their favouritism. However, Carlton’s current form and ability to turn games around make them a formidable opponent.

Carlton’s momentum and determination could be the deciding factors in a match that is likely to be closely contested. Their recent performances have demonstrated a winning mentality, and they will be eager to break Melbourne’s streak against them.

While Melbourne’s historical advantage and recent form make them strong contenders, Carlton’s current winning streak and fighting spirit could see them edge a victory.

The final score should be Carlton 83, Melbourne 80, in a match that is sure to keep fans on the edge of their seats until the final siren.

Betting Tip: Carlton Blues

Suggested Bet: Blues HEAD-to-HEAD @2.10

 

West Coast Eagles vs Fremantle Dockers

Saturday, August 12, 2023

8:10 PM @ Optus Stadium

West Coast Eagles and Fremantle Dockers are set to battle in the Western Derby at Optus Stadium on Saturday night. Both teams are coming off narrow losses, with the Eagles falling to Essendon and the Dockers losing to Brisbane. Despite West Coast’s recent struggles, they have shown signs of improvement, while Fremantle’s performance has been more consistent.

The Dockers’ recent record against the Eagles is impressive, having won four straight, including a 108-67 victory in Round 3. Caleb Serong’s outstanding performances and Michael Walters’ goal-scoring ability have been key factors in their success. West Coast’s dismal record of losing 17 of their last 18 matches, and 14 of those by a margin of 40+ points, highlights their challenges.

Fremantle’s ability to cover the line in nine of their last 10 matches against bottom-four opponents further strengthens their position. The trend of matches at Optus Stadium going UNDER the total match points line aligns with the expected outcome.

Fremantle’s recent form, historical dominance over West Coast, and key player performances make them the clear favourites in this encounter. West Coast’s struggles and recent trends further support this prediction.

The final score should be Fremantle 99, West Coast 61, as the Dockers continue their winning streak against the Eagles in a match that may not live up to the usual intensity of a derby but will still hold significance for both sides.

Betting Tip: Fremantle Dockers

Suggested Bet: Dockers HEAD-to-HEAD @1.24

 

 

Hawthorn vs Western Bulldogs

Sunday, August 13, 2023

1:10 PM @ University of Tasmania Stadium

The Western Bulldogs are set to face the Hawthorn Hawks in Launceston on Sunday afternoon, with the Bulldogs eyeing a home elimination final.

Coming off a dominant victory over Richmond, the Bulldogs are in strong form, with standout performances from Marcus Bontempelli, Tom Liberatore, and Jamarra Ugle-Hagan. The Hawks, on the other hand, surprised many with a win against Collingwood, led by James Sicily’s impressive display.

The Bulldogs’ recent record against the Hawks is noteworthy, having won five of their last six encounters, including a victory at the same venue last year.

Hawthorn’s trend of failing to cover the line in their last six matches after winning as an underdog, and the pattern of their matches at the University of Tasmania Stadium going UNDER the total match points line, further support the Bulldogs’ favouritism.

The Western Bulldogs’ current form, historical advantage over the Hawks, and key player performances make them the likely victors in this encounter. Hawthorn’s recent win and individual talents add intrigue, but the overall trends and match facts point towards a Bulldogs victory.

The final score should be Western Bulldogs 89, Hawthorn 76, as the Bulldogs continue their pursuit of a home elimination final while the Hawks look to build for the future.

Betting Tip: Western Bulldogs

Suggested Bet: Bulldogs by 1-39 @2.10

 

St Kilda Saints vs Richmond Tigers

Sunday, August 13, 2023

3:20 PM @ Marvel Stadium

St Kilda and Richmond are set to face off at Marvel Stadium on Sunday afternoon in a match with significant implications for the top eight.

St Kilda will be eager to rebound from their disappointing loss to Carlton, where they squandered a 22-point lead. On the other hand, Richmond will be looking to recover from a heavy defeat at the hands of the Western Bulldogs.

Richmond’s recent struggles at Marvel Stadium are concerning, having lost six of their last seven matches at the venue and failing to cover the line in their last eight.

St Kilda’s recent record is mixed, with a 3-5 result from their last eight outings, but their trend of matches going UNDER the total match points line aligns with the expected outcome.

Despite these challenges, Richmond’s previous victory over St Kilda this season, led by Tim Taranto and Dustin Martin, provides a blueprint for success. The Tigers’ experience and determination to secure a place in the top eight could drive a hard-fought victory.

While St Kilda’s home advantage and Richmond’s recent struggles at Marvel Stadium make this a closely contested match, Richmond’s need for a win and key player performances could see them edge a victory.

The final score should be Richmond 80, St Kilda 79, in a match that promises to be a thrilling battle with high stakes for both teams.

Betting Tip: Richmond Tigers

Suggested Bet: Tigers by 1-39 @2.50

 

Port Adelaide Power vs GWS Giants

Sunday, August 13, 2023

4:40 PM @ Adelaide Oval

Port Adelaide and GWS Giants are set to clash at the Adelaide Oval on Sunday afternoon, with both teams eager to rebound from recent losses.

Port Adelaide’s form slump has resulted in four consecutive defeats, while Sydney halted GWS’s seven-match winning streak. Both teams have top-tier aspirations, making this a crucial encounter.

Port Adelaide’s impressive record of winning 18 of their last 19-day matches at the Adelaide Oval stands out, while GWS’s ability to cover the line in their last five away matches adds intrigue.

The trend of GWS’s matches going UNDER the total match points line and their recent close encounters as an underdog further highlights the competitive nature of this match.

Despite their recent struggles, Port Adelaide’s previous victory over GWS at this venue, led by Connor Rozee, provides a positive reference point. The potential return of key personnel for the Power could also be a significant boost.

Port Adelaide’s home advantage, historical success in day matches at the Adelaide Oval, and potential key inclusions make them the favourites in this encounter. GWS’s recent form and competitive nature ensure they will be a tough challenge, but the overall trends and match facts point towards a Port Adelaide victory.

The final score should be Port Adelaide 95, GWS Giants 79, as the Power look to regain their form and strengthen their position in the top two while the Giants continue to fight for a top-eight spot.

Betting Tip: Port Adelaide Power

Suggested Bet: Power by 1-39 @2.10

 

 

This Week’s AFL Multi Bet

• Swans
• Bombers
• Lions
• Bulldogs
• Power

Take Bet: $4.37 with  Ladbrokes

Check out all of this week’s AFL Multi Tips on our Multi Bets Page.

 

AFL Fixture

Check the AFL fixture for upcoming AFL matches this season.

AFL Injury List

Keep up-to-date with your team’s injuries this week with our AFL injury list.

Other Betting Tips

We don’t just do AFL Tips; our team of experts Also specialise in NRL betting and horse racing tips.

Latest News

All AFL Tips