AFL Finals Week 1

AFL Betting Tips Finals Week 1

Ben H
3 September 2025
1152 Views

AFL Tips & Predictions – Finals Week 1

The 2026 Toyota AFL Finals Series kicks off with Finals Week 1 on September 4 with four massive elimination and qualifying finals. Catch every game live on Kayo, Foxtel & Channel 7.

Adelaide Crows vs Collingwood Magpies – 1st Qualifying Final

  • Thursday, September 4, 2026
  • 7:40 pm AEST @ Adelaide Oval, Adelaide

ADELAIDE

56.96%

COLLINGWOOD

43.04%


Geelong Cats vs Brisbane Lions – 2nd Qualifying Final

  • Friday, September 5, 2026
  • 7:40 pm AEST @ MCG, Melbourne

GEELONG
57.54%

BRISBANE
42.46%

Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Hawthorn Hawks – 1st Elimination Final

  • Saturday, September 6, 2026
  • 3:15 pm AEST @ ENGIE Stadium, Sydney
GWS GIANTS
51.79%
HAWTHORN
48.21%

Fremantle Dockers vs Gold Coast Suns – 2nd Elimination Final

  • Saturday, September 6, 2026
  • 7:35 pm AEST @ Optus Stadium, Perth
FREMANTLE
53.57%
GOLD COAST
46.43%

Finals Week 1 Summary

Key Predictions:

  • Closest Match: GWS Giants (51.79%) vs Hawthorn Hawks (48.21%) – The most competitive finals matchup
  • Most Likely Winners: Geelong Cats (57.54%) and Adelaide Crows (56.96%)
  • Best Value Bet: Gold Coast Suns at $2.50 with 46.43% win probability

Finals Format:

  • Qualifying Finals (1st vs 4th, 2nd vs 3rd): Winners advance directly to Preliminary Finals
  • Elimination Finals (5th vs 8th, 6th vs 7th): Losers are eliminated, winners play Semi-Finals
  • Losers of Qualifying Finals get a second chance in Semi-Finals against Elimination Final winners

Note: The 2026 AFL Finals Series begins with these four crucial matches. Every game matters as teams fight for premiership glory!


This week’s AFL Finals Multis

Check out all sport multis on our Multi Bets Page

AFL Finals Fixture

Check the AFL finals fixture for upcoming finals matches this season.

AFL Injury List

Keep up-to-date with your team’s injuries this week with our AFL injury list.

Other Betting Tips

We don’t just do AFL Tips; our team of experts also specialise in NRL betting and horse racing tips.

All AFL Tips

Author Ben H

Ben's been analysing footy betting markets for over a decade - breaking down team form, player stats, and where the bookies have got it wrong. He leads KRUZEY's weekly AFL and NRL tips and writes our betting app reviews, testing everything from multi-builders to odds competitiveness. A lifelong Essendon supporter (yes, he's used to disappointment), Ben combines statistical analysis with genuine footy obsession. He watches more game tape than is probably healthy. Connect on LinkedIn Email Contact