AFL Betting Tips Round 7

Ben H / 24 April 2024

Last Updated on 7 May 2024

AFL Round 7 Tips

7Richmond Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
7Essendon Richmond Tigers Icon Richmond 66 19.43%
7GW Sydney Melbourne Demons Icon Melbourne 95 79.70%
7Port Adelaide
7Kangaroos Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
7Geelong Essendon Bombers Icon Essendon 76 32.27%
7Fremantle Collingwood Magpies Icon Collingwood 92 66.74%
7Gold Coast
7Hawthorn Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
GWS Giants Icon GW Sydney 87 54.85%
Brisbane Lions Icon Brisbane Lions 83 43.90%
Column to hide
after pasting Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
game keys above Port Adelaide Power Icon Port Adelaide 94 72.48%
St. Kilda Saints Icon St Kilda 72 26.70%
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
North Melbourne Icon Kangaroos 76 24.67%
Adelaide Crows Icon Adelaide 101 74.49%
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Geelong Cats Icon Geelong 86 50.48%
Carlton Blues Icon Carlton 85 48.33%
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Fremantle Dockers Icon Fremantle 78 52.31%
Western Bulldogs Icon Western Bulldogs 75 46.54%
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Gold Coast Suns Icon Gold Coast 98 78.36%
West Coast Eagles Icon West Coast 71 20.70%
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Hawthorn Hawks Icon Hawthorn 77 36.14%
Sydney Swans Icon Sydney 90 62.73%

 

Tigers vs Demons

Wednesday, April 24, 2024

7:25 PM @ MCG

ANZAC Day Eve at the ‘G sees the Demons and Tigers lock horns in a clash that’s got more spice than a Chinese curry house. The Demons are itching to bounce back from a shocker against Brisbane, while the Tigers, well, they’re about as wounded as a footy left on the MCG roof.

Key Injuries:

  • Richmond: Noah Balta, Tom Lynch, Dion Prestia – all out, testing the Tigers’ depth.
  • Melbourne: Christian Salem, Jake Melksham sidelined, testing their backline and midfield.

The head-to-head is a tale of Melbourne dominance recently, with the Demons cleaning up last ANZAC Day. Given the Tiger’s limp, Melbourne’s set to pounce again. Odds are (1.19) they’ll not just win but romp home past the -29.5 point line in a show that could rack up more points than a pinball machine.

Betting Tip: Melbourne Demons

Suggested Bet: Melbourne -29.5 / Over 165.5 (Odds: 3.25) with Neds

 

Bombers vs Magpies

Thursday, April 25, 2024

3:20 PM @ MCG

This ANZAC Day at the MCG, the Bombers and Magpies are set to turn up the heat, and not just because it’s nippy out. Last year, the Pies snatched a win from the jaws of defeat, and they’re keen to keep the streak alive.

Key Injuries:

  • Essendon:
    • Kaine Baldwin: Foot
    • Jaiden Hunter: Knee
    • Jye Menzie: Shoulder
    • Archie Perkins: Hamstring
    • Zach Reid: Hamstring
    • Jordan Ridley: Quad
    • Will Setterfield: Knee
  • Collingwood:
    • Josh Eyre: Hamstring
    • Oscar Steene: Toe

Head-to-Head Stats:

  • Collingwood has triumphed in their last four encounters with Essendon, including a dramatic comeback win last ANZAC Day.

With Essendon’s injury woes, the Pies are fancied to carve up the ‘G again. Odds are leaning their way (1.48), suggesting they might just sweep past the Bombers like a breeze.

Betting Tip: Collingwood Magpies

Suggested Bet: Collingwood -12.5 / Over 168.5 (Odds: 3.45) with Neds

 

Giants vs Lions

Thursday, April 25, 2024

7:30 PM @ Manuka Oval

It’s a sizzler at Manuka Oval this ANZAC Day, with GWS and Brisbane both desperate to bounce back from tough losses. The Giants, still smarting after giving up a lead to Carlton, face a Lions team keen to dry off after a washout against Geelong.

Key Injuries:

  • GWS Giants:
    • Stephen Coniglio: Knee
    • Brent Daniels: Knee
    • Toby Greene: Suspension
    • Adam Kennedy: Knee
    • James Leake: Quad
    • Sam Taylor: Concussion
    • Nathan Wardius: Shin
  • Brisbane Lions:
    • Will Ashcroft: Knee
    • Zac Bailey: Ankle
    • Keidan Coleman: Knee
    • Tom Doedee: Knee
    • Oscar McInerney: Concussion
    • Carter Michael: Knee
    • Deven Robertson: Shoulder
    • Zane Zakostelsky: Groin

Head-to-Head Stats:

  • Brisbane clinched a win last year at Manuka with Charlie Cameron’s seven goals.
  • Brisbane has edged past GWS in recent matches, despite the Giants’ scoring prowess.

Despite a raft of injuries, the Lions have shown more consistency in tight tussles. Brisbane, with odds slightly in their favour (1.88), is tipped to snatch a narrow victory, capitalising on their high inside 50 rate. Expect a scrappy, high-scoring game, with the Giants just nudging over the -0.5 point spread.

Betting Tip: GWS Giants

Suggested Bet: GWS Giants / Over 171.5 (Odds: 3.45) with Neds

 

Power vs Saints

Friday, April 26, 2024

7:40 PM @ Adelaide Oval

It’s showtime at Adelaide Oval this Friday as Port Adelaide hosts St Kilda. Both teams are keen to shake off last round’s losses, but history favours the Power, who’ve trounced the Saints in 12 of their last 13 dust-ups.

Key Injuries:

  • Port Adelaide:
    • Travis Boak: Back
    • Hugh Jackson: Hip
    • Ollie Lord: Knee/Tibia
    • Tom McCallum: Ankle
    • Trent McKenzie: Quad
    • Quinton Narkle: Foot
    • Tom Scully: Calf
    • Josh Sinn: Hip
  • St Kilda:
    • Matt Allison: Knee
    • Dan Butler: Hamstring
    • Hunter Clark: Calf
    • Lance Collard: Hamstring
    • Brad Crouch: Knee
    • Max Heath: Concussion
    • Liam Henry: Hamstring
    • Max King: Knee
    • Ben Paton: Pectoral
    • Mason Wood: Collarbone
    • James Van Es: Ankle
    • Jimmy Webster: Suspension

Head-to-Head Stats:

  • Port Adelaide dominates with wins in 12 of the last 13 matches against St Kilda.

With the Power’s home advantage and the Saints’ shaky form, expect Port to fire up and not just win but cover the -20.5 point spread. Odds are (1.32) they’ll turn the heat up and really put the Saints on the spit.

Betting Tip: Port Adelaide Power

Suggested Bet: Port Adelaide -20.5 / Over 162.5 (Odds: 3.35) with Neds

 

Kangaroos vs Crows

Saturday, April 27, 2024

1:45 PM @ Blundstone Arena

This Friday at Blundstone Arena, the Crows are looking to pluck the Kangaroos in a clash that’s hotter than a meat pie with not enough sauce. Adelaide’s aiming to rebound from a narrow defeat, while North Melbourne, with just one win in their last 27, is about as hopeful as a snowman in the Outback.

Key Injuries:

  • Adelaide Crows:
    • Sam Berry: Foot
    • Jordan Butts: Hamstring
    • Wayne Milera: Knee
    • Lachlan Murphy: Knee
    • Nick Murray: Knee
    • Patrick Parnell: Shoulder
    • Rory Sloane: Eye
    • Brodie Smith: Back
    • Riley Thilthorpe: Knee
  • North Melbourne Kangaroos:
    • Callum Coleman-Jones: Achilles
    • Kallan Dawson: Ankle
    • Wil Dawson: Shoulder
    • Eddie Ford: Hip
    • Josh Goater: Achilles
    • Cooper Harvey: Syndesmosis
    • Griffin Logue: Knee

Head-to-Head Stats:

  • Adelaide has thumped North in their last matchups, including a 66-point drubbing last year.

With Adelaide showing some grit and North’s form as wobbly as a pub table, expect the Crows to soar high. Odds suggest Adelaide (1.20) will not just beat but bash the Roos with a score that’ll have North fans weeping into their beers. Tip the Crows to cover the -29.5 point spread in a game that’ll have more hits than a Friday night karaoke bar.

Betting Tip: Adelaide Crows

Suggested Bet: Adelaide Crows -29.5 / Over 175.5 (Odds: 3.30) with Neds

 

Cats vs Blues

Saturday, April 27, 2024

4:35 PM @ MCG

It’s a top-four tangle at the MCG this Saturday twilight! Undefeated Geelong clashes with a buoyant Carlton, in a blockbuster that’s juicier than a half-time orange. The Cats are purring nicely, while the Blues are coming off a heroic come-from-behind win, setting up a clash that could pop the cork on this season’s excitement.

Key Injuries:

  • Geelong Cats:
    • Mitch Edwards: Back
    • Phoenix Foster: Concussion
    • Joe Furphy: Ankle
    • Tom Stewart: Concussion
  • Carlton Blues:
    • Dom Akuei: Concussion
    • Matt Carroll: Groin
    • Adam Cerra: Hamstring
    • David Cunningham: Calf
    • Sam Docherty: Knee
    • Lachie Fogarty: Wrist
    • Caleb Marchbank: Back
    • Jack Martin: Hamstring
    • Mitch McGovern: Hamstring
    • Jesse Motlop: Hamstring
    • Adam Saad: Hamstring
    • Jack Silvagni: Knee
    • Jacob Weitering: Quad
    • Zac Williams: Achilles
    • Billy Watson: Concussion

Head-to-Head Stats:

  • Carlton snagged a win last time they met, but Geelong has dominated 3 of the last 5 clashes.
  • Geelong remains the only unbeaten team in 2024, showcasing stellar form.

With the odds leaning slightly towards Geelong (1.82), expect them to stretch their legs and their streak, despite Carlton’s recent flair for drama. The Cats are tipped to clinch it by a whisker, in a scrap that promises more hits than a footy fan’s Spotify playlist during finals.

Betting Tip: Geelong Cats

Suggested Bet: Geelong Cats -2.5 / Over 169.5 (Odds: 3.50) with Neds

 

Dockers vs Bulldogs

Saturday, April 27, 2024

7:30 PM @ Optus Stadium

Saturday night at Optus Stadium, the Dockers host the Bulldogs in what’s shaping up as a toe-to-toe tussle. After a shocker last week, Freo’s fired up to flip the script, while the Dogs, fresh off a thumping win, are aiming to keep their paws on the prize.

Key Injuries:

  • Fremantle Dockers:
    • Jye Amiss: Concussion
    • Josh Corbett: Hip
    • Brennan Cox: Hamstring
    • Michael Frederick: Hamstring
    • Odin Jones: Concussion
    • Sebit Kuek: Knee
    • Oscar McDonald: Knee
    • Sam Switkowski: Concussion
    • Conrad Williams: Foot
  • Western Bulldogs:
    • Nick Coffield: Shoulder
    • Tom Liberatore: Concussion
    • Aiden O’Driscoll: Concussion
    • Bailey Smith: Knee
    • Lachie Smith: Knee

Head-to-Head Stats:

  • Bulldogs have dominated the last two meetings, including a 102-73 win at Marvel and a 118-69 rout at Optus last year.

With Fremantle feeling the pinch and the Dogs barking up the right tree, the scales are tipped in favour of the visitors. Fremantle’s odds stand at 1.77, suggesting they’re slightly favored to edge out the Dogs who sit at 2.05. Expect a nail-biter, with Fremantle likely to pull off a close victory, aiming to cover the -3.5 point spread

Betting Tip: Fremantle Dockers

Suggested Bet: Fremantle -3.5 / Over 165.5 (Odds: 3.60) with Neds

 

Suns vs Eagles

Sunday, April 28, 2024

1:00 PM @ People First Stadium

This Sunday at People First Stadium, the Suns are set to blaze against the Eagles, turning up the heat in a clash that’s hotter than a tin roof in summer. Both teams are itching for a win, but the Suns, unbeaten at home, are ready to keep their streak alive against a struggling Eagles side.

Key Injuries:

  • Gold Coast Suns:
    • Connor Budarick: Hamstring
    • Malcolm Rosas Jnr: Hamstring
    • Lachie Weller: Knee
  • West Coast Eagles:
    • Oscar Allen: Knee
    • Tom Barrass: Suspension
    • Rhett Bazzo: Groin
    • Luke Edwards: Concussion
    • Matt Flynn: Knee
    • Elijah Hewett: Foot
    • Callum Jameison: Hamstring

Head-to-Head Stats:

  • The Suns scorched the Eagles 113-43 in their last matchup.
  • Gold Coast holds a 3-0 record at home this season.

With the Eagles’ woeful interstate record and the Suns shining at home, expect Gold Coast to turn the ground into a frying pan. Odds favour the Suns (1.22) to cook up a victory, likely covering the -28.5 point spread in a sizzle that could see the scoreboard hit the high 100s.

Betting Tip: Gold Coast Suns

Suggested Bet: Gold Coast Suns -28.5 / Over 166.5 (Odds: 3.25) with Neds

 

Hawks vs Swans

Sunday, April 28, 2024

4:00 PM @ MCG

This Sunday at the MCG, the Hawks are set to battle the high-flying Swans in a clash that’s hotter than chips straight out of the fryer. While the Swans have been soaring, the Hawks just notched their first win and are hungry for more.

Key Injuries:

  • Hawthorn Hawks:
    • Josh Bennetts: Concussion
    • James Blanck: Knee
    • Luke Breust: Groin
    • Denver Grainger-Barras: Toe
    • Changkuoth Jiath: Hamstring
    • Mitch Lewis: Knee
    • Will McCabe: Back
    • Ned Reeves: Concussion
    • Nick Watson: Ankle
    • Chad Wingard: Achilles
  • Sydney Swans:
    • Harry Arnold: Back
    • Callum Mills: Shoulder
    • Luke Parker: Arm
    • Dane Rampe: Hamstring
    • Sam Reid: Quad

Head-to-Head Stats:

  • Sydney trounced Hawthorn 118-37 last year.
  • Swans have won 5 of the last 5 encounters, including a 32-point average win margin in 2024.

Despite a morale-boosting win, the Hawks face stiff opposition against the Swans, who’ve shown prowess especially at crunch times. The Swans are tipped (odds 1.35) to stretch their wings at the G, likely covering the -18.5 point spread in a flurry that might just sneak under the 170.5 point line.

Betting Tip: Sydney Swans

Suggested Bet: Sydney Swans -18.5 / Over 170.5 (Odds: 3.40) with Neds

 

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Ben H
Ben Harris is the Communications Manager for KRUZEY, an AFL and NRL expert, and writer. He has one daughter that he loves dearly and five... [Read full bio]

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