AFL Betting Tips Round 5

Ben H 9 April 2024Last Updated: 10 April 2024

AFL Round 5 Tips

5Melbourne Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
5Western Bulldogs Melbourne Demons Icon Melbourne 90 74.04%
5GW Sydney Brisbane Lions Icon Brisbane Lions 68 24.98%
5Gold Coast Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
5Port Adelaide Western Bulldogs Icon Western Bulldogs 91 69.73%
5Geelong Essendon Bombers Icon Essendon 73 29.38%
5West Coast
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
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after pasting Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
game keys above Carlton Blues Icon Carlton 92 74.16%
Adelaide Crows Icon Adelaide 70 24.84%
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Gold Coast Suns Icon Gold Coast 88 70.36%
Hawthorn Hawks Icon Hawthorn 70 28.49%
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Port Adelaide Power Icon Port Adelaide 90 71.72%
Fremantle Dockers Icon Fremantle 70 27.32%
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Geelong Cats Icon Geelong 109 85.63%
North Melbourne Icon Kangaroos 70 13.75%
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
West Coast Eagles Icon West Coast 79 34.52%
Richmond Tigers Icon Richmond 94 64.28%


Demons vs Lions

Thursday, April 11, 2024

7:30 PM @ MCG

Back at the MCG after last year’s heartbreak, Brisbane faces Melbourne in a highly anticipated Thursday night clash.

After demolishing North Melbourne, the Lions, led by a stellar Joe Daniher, aim to conquer their MCG curse, where they’ve won only once in 16 attempts.

Melbourne, flawless at the ‘G’ in 2024, is powered by Petracca’s obvious skills.

History hints at a close battle, but with both teams showing fierce form, this game promises to be electrifying.

Betting Tip: Melbourne Demons

Suggested Bet: Demons to Win by 1-39 @ $2.10 with Neds


Bulldogs vs Bombers

Friday, April 12, 2024

7:40 PM @ Marvel Stadium

Square at 2-2 for 2024, the Western Bulldogs and Essendon are prepped for a showdown at Marvel Stadium come Friday night.

Last round saw the Dogs just shy of a win against Geelong, despite Liberatore and Bontempelli’s insane efforts.

Essendon, on the flip side, copped a hefty defeat by Port Adelaide, continuing a trend of heavy losses.

Historical head-to-head leans heavily towards the Bulldogs, with Essendon’s last win feeling like a distant memory (August 2021).

Player matchups promise fireworks; from Liberatore’s midfield dominance to Langford’s goal-kicking at Marvel.

Both teams boast players hitting their stride at the right time, setting the stage for a good game but were expecting the Doggies to come through this round.

Betting Tip: Western Bulldogs

Suggested Bet: Bulldogs to Win by 1-39 @ $2.10 with Neds



Giants vs Saints

Saturday, April 13, 2024

1:45 PM @ Manuka Oval

GWS, perched atop the ladder, faces St Kilda in Canberra, a venue once a fortress but now a challenge with nine losses in their last 10 outings there.

Despite this, GWS comes off a strong win over Gold Coast, propelled by Toby Greene’s five goals, while St Kilda, with Jack Steele’s commanding performance, edged out Richmond.

However, GWS’s form this season, combined with their capacity to win crucial matches, hints at their ability to overcome their Canberra curse.

St Kilda’s resilience and tactical gameplay, especially in interstate matches, cannot be underestimated, yet GWS’s high-flying start to the season and their star players in form make them the favourites this week.

Expect a fiercely contested game, but with GWS’s firepower and a point to prove at Manuka Oval, they’re tipped to emerge victorious.

It’ll be close, but GWS should get over the line, rewriting their recent history at the venue with a decisive win.

Betting Tip: GWS Giants

Suggested Bet: GWS to Win by 1-39 @ $2.05 with Neds



Blues vs Crows

Saturday, April 13, 2024

4:35 PM @ Marvel Stadium

In a clash of contrasts at Marvel Stadium, undefeated Carlton squares off against a winless Adelaide in what’s shaping up to be a decisive game for both teams.

The Blues, riding high with a 4-0 start, clinched their latest victory amidst controversy, showcasing their knack for edging out tight matches.

Adelaide, however, is grappling with a stark downturn in form, especially in attack, a shadow of last season’s team.

Key injuries could play a pivotal role in this contest. Carlton’s injury list includes vital players like Sam Docherty and Jack Silvagni sidelined for the season.

Adelaide isn’t spared either, with Wayne Milera out for the season and Riley Thilthorpe sidelined for three months, further straining their lineup.

Given the current trajectories and considering Carlton’s resilience in close games, coupled with Adelaide’s struggles, especially in Melbourne, the Blues will continue their winning streak this week.

Betting Tip: Carlton Blues

Suggested Bet: Blues to Win by 1-39 @ $2.05 with Neds



Suns vs Hawks

Saturday, April 13, 2024

7:30 PM @ People First Stadium

Gold Coast, back on their home turf at People First Stadium, faces a struggling Hawthorn side this Saturday night, presenting an intriguing contest.

The Suns’ formidable record at home contrasts sharply with their road woes, highlighted by a recent defeat to GWS.

Conversely, Hawthorn’s narrow loss to Collingwood, despite a late surge, underscores their current vulnerability, especially given their heavy loss to Gold Coast in their last encounter.

Injury concerns for both teams could influence the outcome. Gold Coast will miss Lachie Weller for at least another 12 weeks, while Hawthorn grapples with multiple key players sidelined, including Luke Breust and Denver Grainger-Barras, weakening their lineup significantly.

Considering Gold Coast’s commanding performance against Hawthorn last season and their strong home form, they are the clear favourites.

The Suns’ ability to dominate at People First Stadium, combined with Hawthorn’s injury setbacks and poor form, positions Gold Coast as the team likely to extend their winning record over the Hawks.

Expect the Suns to shine brightly, securing a win and further highlighting Hawthorn’s season challenges.

Betting Tip: Gold Coast Suns

Suggested Bet: Suns to Win by 40+ @ $2.70 with Neds



Power vs Dockers

Saturday, April 13, 2024

7:30 PM @ Adelaide Oval

Port Adelaide and Fremantle, both with a promising start to 2024, clash at Adelaide Oval in a matchup ripe for setting the tone for their seasons.

Port, dominant in their last outing with Rozee and Horne-Francis leading the charge, look to leverage their historical edge and home advantage.

Fremantle, despite a controversial loss to Carlton, have kept their chin up, with Brayshaw’s performance highlighting their fight.

The injury bench tells a significant story for both teams.

Fremantle’s list is extensive, with key players like Brennan Cox and Oscar McDonald facing long stints on the sidelines, potentially impacting their defensive solidity. Port, while having fewer injuries, will miss the experience of Travis Boak, though his return seems imminent.

Given Port’s form and home ground advantage, coupled with Fremantle’s substantial injury list, Port Adelaide will win this week.

Their midfield depth and historical dominance in recent matchups give them the edge.

Expect Port Adelaide to capitalise on Fremantle’s weakened lineup, securing a win and continuing their strong start to the season.

Betting Tip: Port Adelaide Power

Suggested Bet: Power to Win by 40+ @ $3.15 with Neds



Cats vs Kangaroos

Sunday, April 14, 2024

1:00 PM @ GMHBA Stadium

At GMHBA Stadium, Geelong is set to host North Melbourne in a game that starkly contrasts the teams’ current fortunes.

The Cats, unbeaten in 2024, are flying high, fresh off a victory against the Bulldogs, with Jeremy Cameron shining. Conversely, the Kangaroos are mired in a slump, winless, and reeling from a heavy defeat by Brisbane, continuing a trend of losses that’s seen them win just once in their last 25 games.

Historical matchups tilt overwhelmingly in Geelong’s favour, boasting an 11-game winning streak against North Melbourne, highlighted by substantial margins at Kardinia Park.

Key injuries could impact both squads. Geelong’s list includes Patrick Dangerfield and Cam Guthrie, with their availability crucial to the Cats’ midfield dynamics. North Melbourne’s injury woes are more dire, with Callum Coleman-Jones and Josh Goater out for the season, severely denting their structure and chances of winning any decent amount of games this year.

Given the form, venue advantage, and head-to-head history, Geelong is without a doubt the clear favourite.

Betting Tip: Geelong Cats

Suggested Bet: Cats to Win by 40+ @ $1.36 with Neds



Eagles vs Tigers

Sunday, April 14, 2024

4:00 PM @ Optus Stadium

West Coast and Richmond, with a solitary win between them, are set to clash at Optus Stadium.

The Eagles, returning home after a spirited display against Sydney, show signs of competitive resilience despite a long stretch of defeats. Richmond, on the other hand, edged out by St Kilda despite standout performances from Martin and Bolton, are keen to rectify their narrow losses.

Injuries have hit both squads hard!

Richmond’s list is notably extensive, with critical players like Tom Lynch and Josh Gibcus sidelined, potentially disrupting their forward structure and defensive capabilities. West Coast faces its own challenges, missing Oscar Allen and Matt Flynn, which could impact their midfield contest.

Key head-to-head stats show Richmond’s recent dominance, including a significant victory at Optus Stadium last year. However, the Tigers’ scoring efficiency and defensive sturdiness this season, contrasted with the Eagles’ struggles, suggest a tilt in favour of Richmond.

Considering Richmond’s ability to turn tight contests their way and West Coast’s ongoing rebuild phase, Richmond will win this game.

Despite their injury woes, the Tigers’ depth and recent head-to-head advantage, coupled with West Coast’s vulnerabilities, point towards a Richmond win, potentially kickstarting their season revival.

Betting Tip: Richmond Tigers

Suggested Bet: Tigers to Win By 1-39 @ $2.10 with Neds




  • Collingwood Magpies
  • Sydney Swans


This week’s AFL Multi

  • Demons
  • Giants
  • Blues
  • Cats
  • Tigers

Take Bet: $3.39 with  Neds

Check out this all of week’s AFL multi tips on our Multi Bets Page.

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Ben H
Ben Harris is the Communications Manager for KRUZEY, an AFL and NRL expert, and writer. He has one daughter that he loves dearly and five... [Read full bio]

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