AFL Betting Tips Round 6

Ben H / 20 April 2023

AFL Round 6 Tips

6Fremantle Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
6Port Adelaide Fremantle Dockers Icon Fremantle 80 58.96% 69
6GW Sydney Western Bulldogs Icon Western Bulldogs 72 40.08% 118
6Hawthorn Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
6Carlton Port Adelaide Power Icon Port Adelaide 107 84.40% 109
6Gold Coast West Coast Eagles Icon West Coast 69 14.79% 69
6Collingwood Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
GWS Giants Icon GW Sydney 79 26.31% 87
Brisbane Lions Icon Brisbane Lions 102 72.74% 108
Column to hide
after pasting Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
game keys above Geelong Cats Icon Geelong 97 65.89% 130
Sydney Swans Icon Sydney 82 33.21% 37
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Hawthorn Hawks Icon Hawthorn 74 23.35% 76
Adelaide Crows Icon Adelaide 100 75.84% 79
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Carlton Blues Icon Carlton 72 42.46% 60
St. Kilda Saints Icon St Kilda 78 56.47% 82
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Gold Coast Suns Icon Gold Coast 107 78.31% 97
North Melbourne Icon Kangaroos 78 21.06% 54
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Melbourne Demons Icon Melbourne 94 62.79% 96
Richmond Tigers Icon Richmond 81 36.19% 78
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Collingwood Magpies Icon Collingwood 97 68.94% 90
Essendon Bombers Icon Essendon 79 30.28% 77


Fremantle vs Western Bulldogs

Friday, April 21, 2023

8:10 PM @ Optus Stadium

Fremantle will take on the Western Bulldogs in what looks to be a competitive encounter. While both teams have had a mixed start to the season, Fremantle appears to be in better shape, having won its most recent game, a come-from-behind triumph over Gold Coast. In their previous game, the Bulldogs were defeated by Port Adelaide.

Fremantle has a great home record against the Bulldogs, having won seven of their last nine home games. Furthermore, they have covered the line in all eight of their April games at this site. As a result, they are the overwhelming favourites to win this match, and the betting odds reflect this.

The game is predicted to be low-scoring, as the Bulldogs have gone UNDER the total match points line in 19 of their last 20 April night contests. While the Western Bulldogs have some strong players in Jack Macrae, Adam Treloar, and Caleb Daniel, Fremantle’s Caleb Serong and Michael Walters are in top form and will offer a serious challenge to the Bulldogs’ defence.

In terms of the ultimate score, Fremantle should win by roughly 80-72. This would be consistent with their recent performance and home advantage. Viewers should keep a watch on players like Marcus Bontempelli and Luke Ryan, who have a good record at Optus Stadium and could be pivotal in the match’s outcome.

Betting Tip: Dockers

Suggested Bet: Dockers WINNING MARGIN 1-39


Port Adelaide vs West Coast

Saturday, April 22, 2023

1:45 PM @ Adelaide Oval

Port Adelaide appears to be in a strong position to defeat West Coast Eagles. Port Adelaide has won their previous two games, and crucial players like Zak Butters and Darcy Byrne-Jones have been outstanding. Furthermore, the Power trounced West Coast in their most recent meeting at the Adelaide Oval, giving them a psychological advantage in this match.

West Coast Eagles, on the other side, have been struggling recently, having lost their last 10 interstate meetings. They were humiliated by Geelong in their last game and may struggle to replicate Port Adelaide’s form.

When it comes to player statistics, Port Adelaide’s Ollie Wines has been on fire, averaging 26 disposals in 22 of the team’s previous 25 games as a favourite. Meanwhile, Andrew Gaff has had 25+ disposals in each of his last seven matches against Port Adelaide for the West Coast Eagles. Individual achievements, though, may not be enough to overcome Port Adelaide’s outstanding team play.

Finally, with Port Adelaide in solid form and the advantage of playing at home, they are likely to win this game against the West Coast Eagles by a score of 107-69.

Betting Tip: Power

Suggested Bet: Port Power HEAD-to-HEAD (Though not worth the payout)


GWS Giants vs Brisbane

Saturday, April 22, 2023

4:35 PM @ Manuka Oval

According to the statistics, Brisbane should defeat GWS Giants by a score of 102-79. Brisbane won both games against GWS last season, but GWS has lost all 12 of its games against top-eight opponents. Also, the away team has covered the line in 12 of the last 13 GWS-Brisbane matchups, indicating that Brisbane will perform well in this game.

Brisbane boasts excellent performers in Joe Daniher, Lachie Neale, Lincoln McCarthy, and Charlie Cameron, who have posted impressive stats in recent games versus GWS. GWS boasts some standout players in Jack Gunston, Jesse Hogan, Toby Greene, Stephen Coniglio, Isaac Cumming, Josh Dunkley, and Callan Ward, but Brisbane’s players appear to have a stronger track record specifically against GWS.

Generally, Brisbane appears to have the advantage in this encounter, with a better record versus GWS and a track record of covering the line as the away team. Given the clubs’ recent results, the anticipated score of 102-79 seems reasonable, but anything may happen on game day.

Betting Tip: Lions

Suggested Bet: Lions WINNING MARGIN 1-39


Geelong vs Sydney

Saturday, April 22, 2023

4:35 PM @ GMHBA Stadium

According to the statistics, Geelong is likely to win the game against Sydney by a score of 97-82. Despite some solid form this season, Sydney’s recent record against Geelong has been terrible, with the Swans losing eight of their past nine games at GMHBA Stadium. Geelong, on the other hand, has a good home record, having won 50 of their last 58 games at the venue. Furthermore, Geelong has covered the spread in each of its last seven games at GMHBA Stadium, making them a solid option.

In terms of player statistics, Tom Hawkins and Jeremy Cameron have been in fantastic form for Geelong, each kicking multiple goals in recent matches. Sydney’s Jake Lloyd, Will Hayward, and Tom Papley, on the other hand, have been scoring well, but they will need to do something exceptional to overcome Geelong’s home ground advantage.

In terms of disposals, Geelong’s Zach Tuohy and Mitch Duncan have been excellent, while Sydney’s Chad Warner has been outstanding in night matches. Nonetheless, it is worth remembering that the last five meetings between Geelong and Sydney have all gone OVER the total match points line, implying that both teams will have plenty of chances to score.

Based on the statistics provided, Geelong is a strong favourite to win the game against Sydney by a score of 97-82. Yet, given their recent track record of high-scoring games, it wouldn’t be strange to see a closer game with both teams scoring substantially.

Betting Tip: Cats

Suggested Bet: Cats WINNING MARGIN 1-39


Hawthorn vs Adelaide

Sunday, April 23, 2023

1:10 PM @ University of Tasmania Stadium

Adelaide is in good form coming into Sunday’s encounter against Hawthorn. They’re preparing to face the Hawks after a stunning Gather Round victory against the Blues. Darcy Fogarty scored five goals in the past game, making him a force to be reckoned with, and Rory Laird had 37 disposals and nine clearances. Hawthorn, on the other side, came close to defeating GWS, but it wasn’t enough, and they’re still hunting for a win.

Adelaide is the overwhelming favourite, and it’s easy to see why. They’ve won their last five games as favourites, and with their present form, it’s difficult to see them losing. Hawthorn, on the other hand, has covered the line as the underdog in four of the last five games against Adelaide, so they should not be overlooked.

Adelaide 100 – 74 Hawthorn is the predicted final score. Adelaide has gone above the total match points line in eight of their last nine games, suggesting their capacity to score, and the 26 point line indicates a comfortable win for the Crows. Overall, Adelaide’s form, paired with their track record as a favourite, suggests they should be able to win easily, but they should be aware of Hawthorn’s capacity to create an upset.

Betting Tip: Crows

Suggested Bet: Crows HEAD-to-HEAD


Carlton vs St Kilda

Sunday, April 23, 2023

3:20 PM @ Marvel Oval

St Kilda will be seeking to bounce back following their first loss of the season in this Sunday afternoon match, while Carlton will be looking to end their own losing streak. Despite Carlton’s excellent start to the season, St Kilda has a history of winning this matchup, having won six of their last six head-to-head games, and they look ready to maintain this trend with their strong form.

Brad Crouch and Rowan Marshall, St Kilda’s star players, will be crucial in ensuring a victory over the Blues. Furthermore, St Kilda has covered the line in each of their last six games, demonstrating that they are constantly playing effectively.

Carlton, on the other side, has struggled recently, having lost their last eight games at Marvel Stadium. While Carlton has a history of heavy scoring, it is unlikely that they will be able to stay up with St Kilda.

Taking all of this in mind, St Kilda is expected to win the match by a score of 78-72.

Betting Tip: Saints

Suggested Bet: Saints WINNING MARGIN 1-39


Gold Coast vs North Melbourne

Sunday, April 23, 2023

4:40 PM @ Heritage Bank Stadium

This weekend’s matchup between Gold Coast and North Melbourne should see Gold Coast come out on top. Despite both sides’ dismal starts to the season, Gold Coast appears to have the upper hand. Despite a tight loss to Fremantle last weekend, Gold Coast has a strong record against North Melbourne, having won four of their last five meetings by a margin of 40 points or more. North Melbourne, on the other hand, has lost their last ten games in Queensland, including a 152-77 setback to Brisbane last weekend.

With such a disparity in form between the two teams, it’s difficult to imagine North Melbourne beating Gold Coast. Gold Coast has covered the line in all five of their previous meetings with North Melbourne as a favourite, and recent form suggests they will do so again. Based on their prior history of winning by a margin of 40+ points versus North Melbourne, the ultimate score should be 107-78 for Gold Coast.

Nonetheless, the encounter should provide an opportunity for Gold Coast to regain momentum after a sluggish start to the season. They have a strong record against North Melbourne, and their recent results indicate that they are more likely to win. North Melbourne, on the other hand, will need to turn things around fast if they are not to fall farther down the table.

Betting Tip: Suns

Suggested Bet: Suns LINE -22.5


Melbourne vs Richmond

Monday, April 24, 2023

7:20 PM @ MCG

In an entertaining Monday night match, Melbourne will take on Richmond. Notwithstanding their problems to cover the line in their past Monday matches, Melbourne should win against a Richmond team that has lost their last three. Although Richmond’s last three MCG meetings have been close, Melbourne’s stronger form should give them the advantage.

The total match points line has gone UNDER in their last six night matchups versus Richmond. This predicts that the game will be a close one, with both teams expected to play a tight defensive game. Melbourne’s ability to maintain possession and limit turnovers, as well as capitalise on scoring opportunities, will be critical to their success.

According on their current performance, Melbourne should win this game by a score of 94-81. While Richmond may keep the gap tight, Melbourne’s powerful defence and precision finishing should be too much for the Tigers to handle in the end. Melbourne’s players will be revved up for this crucial encounter, hoping to capitalise on their current fine form with a solid performance on Monday night.

Betting Tip: Demons

Suggested Bet: Demons WINNING MARGIN 1-39


Collingwood vs Essendon

Tuesday, April 25, 2023

3:20 PM @ MCG

Collingwood should defeat Essendon by a score of 97-79, according to the statistics. Collingwood has a strong record at the MCG, having won 13 of their last 14 games. In contrast, Essendon has covered the line in six of their last seven games against Collingwood. Nonetheless, Essendon has lost the first quarter in each of their last ten MCG matchups, giving Collingwood an advantage in the early phases of the game.

Despite the fact that the last six MCG day matches have gone ABOVE the total match points line, Collingwood has a good defence and should be able to minimise Essendon’s scoring possibilities. Collingwood is the obvious favourite to win this match, owing to their recent form and Essendon’s troubles at the MCG.

While Essendon will put up a fair fight, Collingwood’s overall record and current results indicate that they will win. Collingwood will win with a final score of 97-79 and extend their winning streak at the MCG.

Betting Tip: Magpies

Suggested Bet: Collingwood HEAD-to-HEAD


This week’s AFL Multi

  • Lions
  • Cats
  • Crows
  • Suns
  • Demons

Take Bet: $4.29 with  Ladbrokes

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Ben H
Ben Harris is the Communications Manager for KRUZEY, an AFL expert, and writer. He has one daughter that he loves dearly and four children's books... [Read full bio]

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