AFL Betting Tips Round 6

Ben H / 4 days ago

Last Updated on 18 April 2024

AFL Round 6 Tips

6St Kilda Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
6Adelaide St. Kilda Saints Icon St Kilda 76 48.42%
6Collingwood Western Bulldogs Icon Western Bulldogs 73 50.38%
6Carlton
6Brisbane Lions Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
6West Coast Adelaide Crows Icon Adelaide 94 75.65%
6Sydney Essendon Bombers Icon Essendon 71 23.54%
6Kangaroos
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Collingwood Magpies Icon Collingwood 85 49.73%
Column to hide Port Adelaide Power Icon Port Adelaide 84 49.10%
after pasting
game keys above Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Carlton Blues Icon Carlton 89 53.68%
GWS Giants Icon GW Sydney 86 45.34%
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Brisbane Lions Icon Brisbane Lions 92 65.18%
Geelong Cats Icon Geelong 78 33.87%
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
West Coast Eagles Icon West Coast 61 12.79%
Fremantle Dockers Icon Fremantle 94 86.69%
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Sydney Swans Icon Sydney 96 71.69%
Gold Coast Suns Icon Gold Coast 79 27.42%
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
North Melbourne Icon Kangaroos 74 27.72%
Hawthorn Hawks Icon Hawthorn 96 71.30%

 

Saints vs Bulldogs

Thursday, April 18, 2024

7:30 PM @ Marvel Stadium

Thursday night at Marvel Stadium is set to be a ripsnorter as St Kilda clashes with the Western Bulldogs. Both teams are eager to shake off recent stumbles, with the Saints narrowly losing last week despite a gutsy comeback, and the Dogs showing about as much bite as a toothless chihuahua in their drubbing by Essendon.

St Kilda’s Jack Sinclair might just be the ace up their sleeve again, having torched the Dogs last time with a blistering 33 disposals. Meanwhile, the Dogs are licking their wounds and will miss Tom Liberatore’s grunt in the guts due to a nasty knock.

Head-to-head, St Kilda’s had the wood on the Dogs, winning four of their last six encounters. With the Dogs’ midfield looking more patched-up than a nanna’s quilt, expect St Kilda to exploit this and edge a win. Odds are leaning towards the Saints too, reflecting their slight upper hand in what’s tipped to be a tight tussle.

Betting Tip: St Kilda Saints

Suggested Bet: Saints to win by 1-39 points @ $2.25 with Neds

 

Crows vs Bombers

Friday, April 19, 2024

7:40 PM @ Adelaide Oval

At Adelaide Oval this Friday, the Crows host Essendon in a clash tipped more one-sided than a sumo vs. a jockey. The Crows, fresh from a heroic comeback against Carlton, are the hot favourites, boasting a win chance of 66% against the Bombers’ 39%.

Essendon, aiming to halt a six-game skid against the Crows, will need more than just gumption. They’re limping in without key midfielders, who are as banged up as a retiree’s bumper. Last year, Darcy Parish and Zach Merrett gave a valiant effort against Adelaide, but still ended up short, highlighting Essendon’s struggle to turn possession into points against the Crows.

The Crows are expected to not only win but cover the 12.5 point spread easily. With the total points pegged around 174.5, it’s looking like a scoreboard spinner.

Betting Tip: Adelaide Crows

Suggested Bet: Adelaide Crows to win by 1-39 points @ $2.15 with Neds

 

Magpies vs Power

Saturday, April 20, 2024

1:45 PM @ MCG

At the MCG this Saturday, the Magpies will face the Power in a stoush that’s more eagerly anticipated than a snag at a footy match. Collingwood, fresh from a bye and a nail-biter win against Hawthorn, is looking to thump Port Adelaide, who just scraped through against Freo with some last-gasp heroics.

The Pies have a bit of a hoodoo over the Power, having cooked their goose in the last couple of meetups, including a shellacking at the ‘G last season by 71 points. With Josh Daicos in red-hot form and the Power limping in from a cliffhanger, odds are favouring a black-and-white day out.

Port’s not to be underestimated though, they’ve turned the tables more times than a DJ at a wedding. But with Collingwood’s mob revved up and the Power still patching holes, expect the Magpies to swoop in.

Tipping the Magpies to clip the Power’s wings, with the scoreboard ticking just over the 166.5 mark in what promises to be a cracker of a game.

Betting Tip: Collingwood Magpies

Suggested Bet: Collingwood to win by 1-39 points @ $2.30 with Neds

 

Blues vs Giants

Saturday, April 20, 2024

4:35 PM @ Marvel Stadium

Saturday arvo at Marvel, the Blues are set to clash with the Giants in a match that’s as hotly contested as a snag at a Bunnings barbie. Last time they met at this ground, GWS walked away with the bragging rights, but the Blues haven’t forgotten and are keen to even the scores.

Carlton’s comeback king, Sam Walsh, dazzled in his season debut despite their narrow loss last week, and he’s itching to turn those 34 disposals into a win. The Giants, clinging to a slender victory themselves last round, know all too well the sting of a close game.

Head-to-head, it’s a see-saw battle, with Carlton looking to leverage their home-ground advantage this time around. The bookies are barely splitting them, with the Blues just a nose ahead in the odds at 1.82, suggesting a super close game.

Tipping the Blues to edge out the Giants by a whisker, expect a high-octane scrap just tipping over the 173.5 point line. It’ll be close, but look for the Blues to pull a rabbit out of the hat late in the game.

Betting Tip: Carlton Blues

Suggested Bet: Carlton to win by 1-39 points @ $2.35 with Neds

 

Lions vs Cats

Saturday, April 20, 2024

7:30 PM @ Gabba

This Saturday at the Gabba, it’s a rip-snorter between the Brisbane Lions and the Geelong Cats. The Cats are prancing in unbeaten, but the Lions have the home turf and a recent upset win over Melbourne to boost their spirits. Last year, the Lions pipped the Cats at home, and they’re chomping at the bit to repeat that.

Geelong might have the stats with Jeremy Cameron kicking bags of goals, but key Cats like Hawkins and Dangerfield are just off the sick list, which could ruffle some feathers. Brisbane’s Charlie Cameron is back with a bang from suspension, aiming to outshine Geelong’s big guns.

The bookies are barely splitting them, but with Brisbane’s roar is getting louder at the Gabba and the Cats are facing their first real test of the season, I’d back the Lions to take this by the scruff. Expect a tough one with just a whisker over the 168.5 points line, as these two titans clash in a cracker that’ll have more bounces than a kangaroo on a trampoline.

Betting Tip: Brisbane Lions

Suggested Bet: Brisbane Lions to win by 1-39 points @ $2.15 with Neds

 

Eagles vs Dockers

Saturday, April 20, 2024

8:10 PM @ Optus Stadium

This Saturday night at Optus, it’s the Western Derby with the Eagles hosting the Dockers. Fresh off a thumping win, the Eagles are keen to clip the Dockers’ wings who’ve had the wood on them in recent tussles, winning the last five derbies by a hefty margin.

Last round, the Eagles soared over Richmond, while the Dockers dipped against Port in a heartbreaker. With Elliot Yeo and Jake Waterman firing, the Eagles might just have a very slim chance to turn their fortunes around. But the Dockers, despite recent wobbles, are favourites with a whopping 87.72% win chance and a -34.5 point line suggesting another squashing.

It’s more than just bragging rights; it’s about whether the Eagles can stop the rot or if the Dockers continue their derby dominance. Tip the Dockers to sail through, potentially racking up the points just over the 167.5 line in a showdown that’ll have more sparks than a bushfire.

Betting Tip: Fremantle Dockers

Suggested Bet: Fremantle to win by 40+ points @ $2.02 with Neds

 

Swans vs Suns

Sunday, April 21, 2024

1:00 PM @ SCG

Sunday arvo at the SCG, the Swans are set to swoop on the Suns. Fresh from a bye, Sydney’s looking sharp, especially with Isaac Heeney turning on the style recently. The Suns, meanwhile, might’ve dazzled at home, but their road trips? Not so sunny.

Historically, the Swans have had the Suns’ number at the SCG, and with Sydney’s knack for a strong third quarter surge, they’re tipped to do it again. The Suns are battlers but often get a bit lost in the big smoke.

Odds are leaning heavily towards the Swans (1.32), suggesting they’ll glide through comfortably, covering the -20.5 point spread with a bit of dazzle. Expect a flurry of goals, likely pushing past the 172.5 point line, as the Swans put on a clinic in front of a home crowd.

Betting Tip: Sydney Swans

Suggested Bet: Sydney Swans by 20-39 @ $3.60 with Neds

 

Kangaroos vs Hawks

Sunday, April 21, 2024

4:00 PM @ Marvel Stadium

This Sunday at Marvel, it’s a scrap for pride as the winless Kangaroos clash with the Hawks. Both teams are desperate to break their duck, but the Hawks look the better bet, having dusted the Roos comfortably in their last two meets.

The Kangaroos, leaking points like a sieve, have Harry Sheezel shining amidst the gloom, but that might not be enough. The Hawks, slightly steadier, are tipped to have Karl Amon steering the ship through choppy waters again.

Head-to-head and the bookies reckon the Hawks will feather their nest nicely, with odds leaning heavily in their favour (1.45). Expect the Hawks to swoop early and maintain the lead, covering the -15.5 spread with room to spare.

Betting Tip: Hawthorn Hawks

Suggested Bet: Hawthorn Hawks by 1-39 @ $2.15 with Neds

 

Bye

  • Richmond Tigers
  • Melbourne Demons

 

This week’s AFL Multi

  • Crows
  • Lions
  • Dockers
  • Swans
  • Hawks

Take Bet: $4.89 with Neds

Check out this all of week’s AFL multi tips on our Multi Bets Page.

Multi Bet Tips

Related:

AFL Fixture

Check the AFL fixture for upcoming AFL matches this season.

AFL Injury List

Keep up-to-date with your team’s injuries this week with our AFL injury list.

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Ben H
Ben Harris is the Communications Manager for KRUZEY, an AFL and NRL expert, and writer. He has one daughter that he loves dearly and five... [Read full bio]

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