AFL Grand Final Betting Tips

Ben H

23 September 2025

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AFL Tips & Predictions – Grand Final

The 2025 Toyota AFL Finals Series culminates with the Grand Final on Saturday, September 27 at the MCG. Catch it live on Kayo, Foxtel & Channel 7.

Geelong Cats vs Brisbane Lions – 2025 AFL Grand Final

Saturday, September 27, 2025
@ MCG, Melbourne

GEELONG

70.00%

BRISBANE

30.00%

See Matchup

Grand Final Summary

Key Predictions:

Win Probabilities: Geelong Cats 70.0% | Brisbane Lions 30.0%
Predicted Score: Geelong 103 – Brisbane 76 (total 179)
Best Bet (H2H): Geelong Cats @ $1.48 (small positive edge vs market)
Line Lean: Geelong −12.5 (27-point model margin supports cover)
Total Lean: Over 170.5 @ $1.90 (model total 179)

Grand Final Notes:

Venue: MCG – traditional home of the AFL Grand Final
Coverage: Kayo, Foxtel & Channel 7
Market Watch: Odds subject to change; check latest prices before placing bets

Note: Probabilities reflect KRUZEY model; always gamble responsibly.

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Author Ben H

Ben's been analysing footy betting markets for over a decade - breaking down team form, player stats, and where the bookies have got it wrong. He leads KRUZEY's weekly AFL and NRL tips and writes our betting app reviews, testing everything from multi-builders to odds competitiveness. A lifelong Essendon supporter (yes, he's used to disappointment), Ben combines statistical analysis with genuine footy obsession. He watches more game tape than is probably healthy. Connect on LinkedIn Email Contact