AFL Grand Final Betting Tips

Ben H / 27 September 2023

Last Updated on 1 October 2023

2023 AFL Grand Final Betting Tips

The fourth and concluding week of the Australian Football League (AFL) finals series is marked by the eagerly anticipated Grand Final. This match, which serves as the climax of the AFL season, is a contest between the two triumphant teams from the Preliminary Finals.

16Brisbane Lions Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
16Sydney #N/A Collingwood 81 56.80% #N/A
16Adelaide #N/A Brisbane 76 43.20% #N/A

Collingwood Magpies vs Brisbane Lions

Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023

Time: 2:30 pm

The day of reckoning is finally upon us! The 2023 AFL Grand Final between the Collingwood Magpies and Brisbane Lions at the iconic MCG in front of what is guaranteed to be a packed stadium.

The history between these two leading into this game is pretty intense; the last time these two teams faced off in a Grand Final together was way back in 2003, with the Lions outplaying the Magpies while beating them once again the year before.

(That’s a big chunk of voodoo on Collingwood’s shoulders. However, that was two decades ago with a wealth of fresh talent and an eye on the prize).

More recently, Brisbane has maintained an upper hand, securing six consecutive victories against Collingwood. Players like Charlie Cameron, with his impressive 10-goal tally, and Lachie Neale, averaging 26.5 disposals, have been instrumental in these wins.

However, the MCG has been a challenging venue for the Lions, with a concerning 1-14 record from their last 15 matches. In contrast, the Magpies boast a strong 23-4 record from their last 27 games at home. This home advantage could be the game-changer for Collingwood that helps tip this game in the favourite’s favour.

Brisbane’s recent form against Collingwood though is hard to ignore; they’ve consistently outperformed the Magpies, even when tagged as the underdog. Notably, in their last six matches as underdogs, they’ve won five times by a margin of 1-39 points. This wasn’t up against Collingwood, but it definitely goes to show that they love being the underdog and have the tenacity to rise to the occasion.

Betting Tip: Collingwood @1.75

Suggested Bet: Magpies 1-39 @ $2.25 with Ladbrokes

 

Team Lineups

 

Collingwood Magpies Position Brisbane Lions
Full Backs
(28) Nathan Murphy (37) Brandon Starcevich
(30) Darcy Moore (31) Harris Andrews
(38) Jeremy Howe (27) Darcy Gardiner
Half Backs
(4) Brayden Maynard (26) Conor McKenna
(17) Billy Frampton (35) Ryan Lester
(3) Isaac Quaynor (18) Keidean Coleman
Centres
(22) Steele Sidebottom (6) Hugh McCluggage
(10) Scott Pendlebury (5) Josh Dunkley
(37) Oleg Markov (15) Dayne Zorko
Half Forwards
(23) Bobby Hill (23) Charlie Cameron
(41) Brody Mihocek (30) Eric Hipwood
(5) Jamie Elliott (4) Callum Ah Chee
Full Forwards
(31) beau McCreery (16) Cam Rayner
(2) Jordan De Goey (3) Joe Daniher
(7) Josh Daicos (33) Zac Bailey
Followers
(46) Mason Cox (46) Oscar McInerney
(35) Nick Daicos (9) Lachie Neale
(25) Jack Crisp (7) Jarrod Berry
Interchange
(6) Tom Mitchell (2) Deven Robertson
(14) Darcy Cameron (11) Lincoln McCarthy
(32) Will Hoskin-Elltiott (28) Jaspa Fletcher
(33) Jack Ginnivan (44) Darcy Wilmot
Emergencies
(1) Patrick Lipinski (17) Jarryd Lyons
(9) John Noble (29) James Tunstill
(18) Finlay Macrae (32) Darcy Fort
(36) Harvey Harrison (40) Jaspa Fletcher
IN
Billy Frampton
OUT
Daniel McStay (injured) Jarryd Lyons (Sub)
Patrick Lipinski (Omitted)

Umpires

Matt Stevic (9), Hayden Gavins (14), Simon Meredith (21), Robert Findlay (23)

Milestones

(30) Darcy Moore – Playing his 150th Game

(15) Dayne Zorko – Playing his 250th Game

 

Injuries

Collingwood Magpies

PLAYERINJURYEXPECTED RETURN
Aiden BeggKneeSeason
Jack BytelConcussion1 Week
Josh CarmichaelConcussionTBC
Jordan De GoeyAbdomenTBC
Jamie ElliottVascularTBC
Josh EyreHamstring3-4 Weeks
Will Hoskin-ElliottHamstring2 Weeks
Jeremy HoweGroin1-2 Weeks
Beau McCreeryConcussionTest
Reef McInnesConcussion1-2 Weeks
Dan McStayKneeTBC
Brodie MihocekHamstringTest
Tom MitchellFoot2-5 Weeks
Oscar SteeneToe8+ Weeks
Updated Friday, May 22, 2024

Brisbane Lions

PLAYERINJURYEXPECTED RETURN
Will AshcroftKnee6-7 Weeks
Keidan ColemanKneeSeason
Tom DoedeeKneeSeason
Darcy GardinerKneeSeason
Eric HipwoodSuspensionRound 13
Lincoln McCarthyKneeSeason
Carter MichaelKnee1 Week
Brandon StarcevichCalf2-3 Weeks
Updated Friday, May 22, 2024

This Week’s AFL Grand Final Multi Bet

  • Collingwood -WINNING MARGIN 1-39
  • Bobby Hill – Anytime Goal Scorer
  • OVER 165.5 – Total points

Take $4.56 Same Game Multi with Ladbrokes

Check out all of this week’s AFL Multi Tips on our Multi Bets Page.

Multi Bet Tips

 

AFL Grand Final

The Grand Final is traditionally held at the iconic Melbourne Cricket Ground (MCG), a venue steeped in history and renowned for its capacity to host large-scale events. The MCG, with its rich heritage and grandeur, provides an apt setting for the AFL’s most significant match, enhancing the excitement and spectacle of the occasion.

The Grand Final is more than just a game; it’s a national event that captures the attention of the entire country. It’s a day when the nation collectively holds its breath, as fans from diverse backgrounds come together to witness the thrilling finale of the AFL season. The match is a showcase of skill, strategy, and tenacity, as the two teams compete for the highest honor in Australian rules football.

The AFL Grand Final, therefore, represents the culmination of a season’s worth of effort, determination, and teamwork. It’s a testament to the competitive spirit of the AFL, where the two best teams of the season face off in a thrilling contest for the ultimate glory.

AFL Grand Final Venue

The AFL Grand Final is traditionally held at the iconic Melbourne Cricket Ground (MCG), a venue that has hosted countless memorable moments in Australian sports history, with a stadium capacity of just over 100,000, you will find the MCG jammed packed every year for the AFL Grand Final. 

AFL Grand Final Start Time

The AFL Grand Final time, or more specifically, the AFL Grand Final start time, is typically scheduled to maximize viewership, ensuring fans from all over the country can tune in to witness this pinnacle of Australian rules football.

AFL Grand Final Tickets

Securing AFL Grand Final tickets is often a top priority for fans, as the opportunity to witness this spectacle live is an experience like no other. The AFL Grand Final date 2023 is a day marked in every AFL enthusiast’s calendar, a day when the entire nation comes together to celebrate the sport.

Grand Final Public Holiday

In recognition of the significance of this event, the day of the AFL Grand Final is observed as the Grand Final Public Holiday in the state of Victoria. This public holiday allows fans to fully engage in the festivities surrounding the Grand Final (which usually comes with a hangover the following day). 

Grand Final Parade

The traditional Grand Final Parade is typically run in the late morning, the day before the AFL Grand Final. Featuring players from competing finals teams, the parade is a cherished tradition that adds to the excitement and anticipation leading up to the Grand Final, featuring food, activities, and entertainment that is excellent for family and friendly gatherings.


AFL Grand Final Winners

Due to the VFL changing its focus to a national game instead of just targeting the Victorian state, the VFL rebranded to the AFL In 1990.

 

AFL Season AFL Premiers Final Score AFL Runners Up Stadium Attendance
2023 Collingwood Magpies 90-86 Brisbane Lions (MCG) 100,024
2022 Geelong Cats 133-52 Sydney Swans (MCG) 100,024
2021 Melbourne Demons 140-66 Western Bulldogs Optus Stadium 61,118
2020 Richmond Tigers 81-50 Geelong Cats The Gabba 29,707
2019 Richmond Tigers 114-25 GWS Giants (MCG) 100,014
2018 West Coast Eagles 79-74 Collingwood Magpies (MCG) 100,022
2017 Richmond Tigers 108-60 Adelaide Crows (MCG) 100,021
2016 Western Bulldogs 89-67 Sydney Swans (MCG) 99,981
2015 Hawthorn Hawks 107-61 West Coast Eagles (MCG) 98,633
2014 Hawthorn Hawks 137-74 Sydney Swans (MCG) 99,454
2013 Hawthorn Hawks 77-62 Fremantle Dockers (MCG) 100,007
2012 Sydney Swans 91-81 Hawthorn Hawks (MCG) 99,683
2011 Geelong Cats 119-81 Collingwood Magpies (MCG) 99,537
2010 Collingwood Magpies 108-52 St. Kilda Saints (MCG) 93,853
2010 DRAW (Collingwood V St. Kilda) 68-68 DRAW (Collingwood V St. Kilda) (MCG) 100,016
2009 Geelong Cats 80-68 St. Kilda Saints (MCG) 99,251
2008 Hawthorn Hawks 115-89 Geelong Cats (MCG) 100,012
2007 Geelong Cats 163-44 Port Adelaide Power (MCG) 97,302
2006 West Coast Eagles 85-84 Sydney Swans (MCG) 97,431
2005 Sydney Swans 58-54 West Coast Eagles (MCG) 91,898
2004 Port Adelaide Power 113-73 Brisbane Lions (MCG) 77,671
2003 Brisbane Lions 134-84 Collingwood Magpies (MCG) 79,451
2002 Brisbane Lions 75-66 Collingwood Magpies (MCG) 91,817
2001 Brisbane Lions 108-82 Essendon Bombers (MCG) 91,482
2000 Essendon Bombers 135-75 Melbourne Demons (MCG) 96,249
1999 North Melbourne Kangaroos 124-89 Carlton Blues (MCG) 94,228
1998 Adelaide Crows 105-70 North Melbourne Kangaroos (MCG) 94,431
1997 Adelaide Crows 125-94 St. Kilda Saints (MCG) 99,645
1996 North Melbourne Kangaroos 131-88 Sydney Swans (MCG) 93,102
1995 Carlton Blues 141-80 Geelong Cats (MCG) 93,670
1994 West Coast Eagles 143-63 Geelong Cats (MCG) 93,860
1993 Essendon Bombers 133-89 Carlton Blues (MCG) 96,862
1992 West Coast Eagles 113-85 Geelong Cats (MCG) 95,007
1991 Hawthorn Hawks 139-86 West Coast Eagles Waverley Park 75,230
1990 Collingwood Magpies 89-41 Essendon Bombers (MCG) 98,944

AFL Fixture

Check the AFL fixture for upcoming AFL matches this season.

AFL Injury List

Keep up-to-date with your team’s injuries this week with our AFL injury list.

AFL Odds

Stay on top of the AFL odds for the Grand Final.

Other Betting Tips

We don’t just do AFL Tips; our team of experts Also specialise in NRL betting and horse racing tips.

Latest AFL News

Ben H
Ben Harris is the Communications Manager for KRUZEY, an AFL and NRL expert, and writer. He has one daughter that he loves dearly and five... [Read full bio]

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