AFL Expert Tips Round 18
18Sydney | Image | Team | Predicted Score | Win Chance | Actual Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18Melbourne | Sydney | 91 | 67.20% | 78 | |
18Collingwood | Western Bulldogs | 75 | 31.69% | 76 | |
18Gold Coast | |||||
18Carlton | Image | Team | Predicted Score | Win Chance | Actual Score |
18Geelong | Melbourne | 83 | 56.79% | 105 | |
18Adelaide | Brisbane Lions | 77 | 41.78% | 104 | |
18Kangaroos | |||||
18West Coast | Image | Team | Predicted Score | Win Chance | Actual Score |
Collingwood | 94 | 84.83% | 113 | ||
Fremantle | 59 | 14.48% | 67 | ||
Column to hide | |||||
after pasting | Image | Team | Predicted Score | Win Chance | Actual Score |
game keys above | Gold Coast | 82 | 63.47% | 77 | |
St Kilda | 70 | 35.35% | 51 | ||
Image | Team | Predicted Score | Win Chance | Actual Score | |
Carlton | 83 | 51.70% | 122 | ||
Port Adelaide | 82 | 47.14% | 72 | ||
Image | Team | Predicted Score | Win Chance | Actual Score | |
Geelong | 93 | 65.64% | 122 | ||
Essendon | 79 | 33.40% | 45 | ||
Image | Team | Predicted Score | Win Chance | Actual Score | |
Adelaide | 102 | 74.18% | 57 | ||
GW Sydney | 78 | 24.87% | 71 | ||
Image | Team | Predicted Score | Win Chance | Actual Score | |
Kangaroos | 80 | 35.14% | 40 | ||
Hawthorn | 94 | 64.09% | 88 | ||
Image | Team | Predicted Score | Win Chance | Actual Score | |
West Coast | 64 | 7.92% | 60 | ||
Richmond | 116 | 91.72% | 98 |
Sydney Swans vs Western Bulldogs
Thursday, July 13, 2023
7:20 PM @ SCG
The Sydney Swans are set to take on the Western Bulldogs at the SCG this Thursday night. Despite the Bulldogs’ recent loss to Collingwood, their performance was commendable, with Aaron Naughton and Cody Weightman each scoring four goals. However, their track record against top-eight teams is less than stellar, which could be a concern.
On the other hand, despite their position at 15th, Sydney Swans have shown potential. Their recent match against Richmond was a close call, with Errol Gulden leading the team with 31 disposals. The Swans’ performance against West Coast, one of their recent victories, also shows their capability to turn the tide.
While the Bulldogs have a strong record against teams outside the top eight, Sydney’s home-ground advantage at the SCG could be a game-changer. The Swans have shown resilience and the ability to bounce back, which could be crucial in this match-up.
Considering the recent performances and the home-ground advantage, Sydney Swans are likely to emerge victorious in this encounter. The final score could be a close 91-75 in favour of Sydney. This match promises to be an exciting clash, with both teams eager to prove their mettle.
Betting Tip: Sydney Swans
Suggested Bet: Swans WINNING MARGIN 1-39
Melbourne Demons vs Western Bulldogs
Friday, July 14, 2023
7:50 PM @ MCG
Melbourne, fresh from their victory over St Kilda, are eager to reassert their dominance. Their impressive 8-1 record in Melbourne this season is a testament to their home ground advantage.
On the other hand, Brisbane’s performance on the road has been less than stellar, with a 4-4 record when playing interstate. Their track record at the MCG is particularly concerning, with 13 losses in their last 14 matches at this venue.
However, it’s worth noting that Brisbane’s single victory at the MCG was against Melbourne during the 2022 finals series, proving they have the potential to upset the Demons. But given Melbourne’s recent form and Brisbane’s struggles on the road, it’s reasonable to predict a Melbourne victory with a score of 83-77.
Key players to watch include Melbourne’s Christian Petracca and Jack Viney, who have consistently delivered high disposals in recent matches. For Brisbane, Joe Daniher and Eric Hipwood’s goal-scoring prowess will be crucial.
Betting Tip: Melbourne Demons
Suggested Bet: Demons WINNING MARGIN 1-39
Collingwood Magpies vs Fremantle Dockers
Saturday, July 15, 2023
1:45 PM @ MCG
With Collingwood leading the ladder and Fremantle struggling to find their footing, the outcome seems to be leaning towards a Magpies victory.
Collingwood’s recent triumph over the Western Bulldogs, with a score of 89-77, is a testament to their strong form this season. Nick Daicos and Jamie Elliott were the standout performers, with Daicos securing 29 disposals, 11 clearances, and two goals, and Elliott booting four majors.
On the other hand, Fremantle’s recent loss to Carlton by a significant margin of 98-45, along with their overall record of 7-9 this season, paints a less promising picture. Despite Luke Ryan’s impressive 35 disposals and 17 intercept possessions, the Dockers were unable to secure a win.
Moreover, Collingwood’s track record against Fremantle at the MCG is impressive, with seven wins from their last eight encounters. The Magpies have also won each of their last 14 home matches, further strengthening their position.
Given these factors, it’s reasonable to predict a Collingwood victory with a final score of 94-59. This match is an opportunity for the Magpies to further solidify their position at the top of the ladder, and given their current form, they are likely to seize it.
Betting Tip: Collingwood Magpies
Suggested Bet: Magpies WINNING MARGIN 40+
Gold Coast Suns vs St Kilda Saints
Saturday, July 15, 2023
2:10 PM @ Heritage Bank Stadium
Despite recent setbacks, the Suns are showing resilience and are ready to shine on their home turf at Heritage Bank Stadium. The Saints, on the other hand, are grappling with injuries and a shaky position in the eight. The loss of Max King to a season-ending shoulder injury is a significant blow to their offensive capabilities.
The Suns’ recent performance against Port Adelaide, despite the loss, showcased their potential. They are eager to bounce back and prove their mettle. The Saints, while they have a history of victories over the Suns, are not in their best form. Their solitary win in the last four matches was against a struggling West Coast side, which doesn’t inspire much confidence.
The Suns are determined to break the Saints’ winning streak against them. With the home-ground advantage and a renewed vigour following their coach’s departure, the Suns are expected to rise to the occasion. The final score prediction is in favour of Gold Coast, with a score of 82-70. This match promises to be a thrilling encounter, with the Suns looking to turn the tide in their favour.
Betting Tip: Gold Coast Suns
Suggested Bet: Suns WINNING MARGIN 1-39
Carlton Blues vs Port Adelaide Power
Saturday, July 15, 2023
4:35 PM @ Marvel Stadium
Carlton Blues are poised to edge out Port Adelaide Power in a tough game at Marvel Stadium. Carlton, on a three-match winning streak, has shown remarkable form, recently trouncing Fremantle 98-45. Key players like Patrick Cripps and Harry McKay have been instrumental in this resurgence, with their performances in the last match being nothing short of spectacular.
Port Adelaide, despite their impressive 13-match winning streak, will face a formidable challenge against the Blues. The last time these teams met, Carlton emerged victorious, and with their current momentum, they are likely to repeat that feat.
Carlton’s recent performance at home games also bodes well for them. They’ve consistently won the first quarter in five of their last six matches against Port Adelaide. This early dominance often sets the tone for the rest of the match, giving them an edge.
In conclusion, while Port Adelaide has been a force to reckon with, Carlton’s recent form, home advantage, and past record against the Power make them the favourites. Expect a nail-biting finish with Carlton edging out Port Adelaide 83-82 in a match that promises to be a classic.
Betting Tip: Carlton Blues
Suggested Bet: Blues WINNING MARGIN 1-39
Geelong Cats vs Essendon Bombers
Saturday, July 15, 2023
7:45 PM @ GMHBA Stadium
Geelong, with their impressive home record, are the favourites to win this match. They have won each of their last 14 home matches against Essendon, a streak they’ll be keen to extend.
Moreover, Geelong has covered the line in each of its last seven night matches at GMHBA Stadium, indicating their comfort and dominance under the lights. Essendon, despite their recent form, has struggled against reigning premiers, losing each of their last four matches by a margin of 1-39 points.
Geelong’s recent victory against North Melbourne, where they claimed a straightforward 125-63 win, showcases their scoring prowess. Given these factors, it’s reasonable to predict a Geelong victory with a score of 93-79.
This match is crucial for both teams, with the winner set to take the ascendancy in the battle for finals positions. However, Geelong’s home advantage, night match record, and Essendon’s struggles against top-tier teams tilt the scales in favour of the Cats.
Betting Tip: Geelong Cats
Suggested Bet: LINE -20.5
Adelaide Crows vs GWS Giants
Saturday, July 15, 2023
7:40 PM @ Adelaide Oval
Both teams are evenly matched with eight wins and eight losses each this season. However, Adelaide’s home advantage at the Adelaide Oval, where they have a 7-2 record, could be the deciding factor.
The Crows’ recent loss to Essendon was a setback, but their strong first quarter performances, especially when they are the favourites, suggest they will start strong. On the other hand, the Giants are coming off a four-game winning streak, but their inconsistent performance at home and on the road raises questions about their ability to handle the pressure at the Adelaide Oval.
In their previous encounter, the Giants emerged victorious, but the Crows have since shown significant improvement. The home team has won each of Adelaide’s last nine matches, and they have covered the line in their last eight matches at the Adelaide Oval.
Taking all these factors into account, it’s reasonable to predict that Adelaide will turn the tables on GWS this time. The final score? Adelaide 102, GWS 78. This match promises to be an exciting spectacle of Australian football at its finest.
Betting Tip: Adelaide Crows
Suggested Bet: Crows LINE -16.5
North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Hawthorn Hawks
Sunday, July 16, 2023
1:10 PM @ Marvel Stadium
In the upcoming AFL clash between the Hawthorn Hawks and the North Melbourne Kangaroos, the Hawks are poised for victory. Despite their recent losing streak, the Hawks have shown resilience and determination, with Jai Newcombe’s impressive 28-disposal, nine-clearance performance standing out.
On the other hand, the Kangaroos are grappling with a 14-match losing streak and key player injuries. The absence of co-captain Jy Simpkin due to concussion and Griffin Logue’s ACL tear will undoubtedly impact their performance.
Moreover, the Hawks have already demonstrated their superiority over the Kangaroos this season, with a 80-61 triumph in Round 3. James Sicily’s 28-disposal, 18-mark performance and Dylan Moore’s 26-disposal, two-goal display were instrumental in this victory. Sicily’s return from a three-match suspension will further bolster the Hawks’ chances.
Given these factors, it’s reasonable to predict a Hawthorn victory with a final score of 94-80. This game will be a testament to the Hawks’ tenacity and their ability to bounce back from adversity.
Betting Tip: Hawthorn Hawks
Suggested Bet: Hawks WINNING MARGIN 1-39
West Coast Eagles vs Richmond Tigers
Sunday, July 16, 2023
4:40 PM @ Optus Stadium
Richmond’s recent performance in the AFL has been nothing short of impressive. Their pursuit for a place in the top eight is well justified, given their comeback from a 26-point deficit to defeat Sydney 88-75 at the MCG. Shai Bolton’s outstanding performance, with 31 disposals, nine clearances, and four goal assists, has been a significant factor in their success. Richmond’s winning streak of four out of the last five matches further strengthens their position.
On the other hand, West Coast’s performance has been less than stellar, with a record 14 straight losses and 23 losses out of their last 24 matches. Their average losing margin from their last seven matches stands at a staggering 87.3 points. This, coupled with their failure to cover the line in six of their last seven matches at Optus Stadium, paints a grim picture.
Given these factors, it’s reasonable to predict a Richmond victory in the upcoming match against West Coast. The final score could very well be a decisive 116-64 in favour of Richmond, reflecting their current form and the struggles of West Coast.
Betting Tip: Richmond Tigers
Suggested Bet: Tigers LINE -40.5
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- Pies
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- Crows
- Tigers
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