NRL Betting Tips Round 19

NRL Footy Tips Round 19

This week’s NRL Round 19 tips and predictions begins on Thursday with the Eels taking on the Rabbitohs at CommBank Stadium, and finishing up with the Raiders and the Knights at GIO Stadium with the Dolphins sitting out this round with a bye.

Dolphins vs Rabbitohs

Thursday, July 11, 2024

7:50 PM @ Kayo Stadium, Redcliffe

The Dolphins are hosting the Rabbitohs this Thursday at Kayo Stadium, Redcliffe, with kickoff set for 7:50 pm. Expect partly cloudy skies, with temperatures ranging from 16 to 18 degrees.

Head-to-Head Stats:

Average Points For Per Match: Dolphins: 24.7, Rabbitohs: 21.2
Average Points Against Per Match: Dolphins: 22.1, Rabbitohs: 27.6
Current Form: Dolphins: LLWLL, Rabbitohs: WWWWW
Completion Rate: Dolphins: 80%, Rabbitohs: 78%
Tackle Efficiency: Dolphins: 87.7%, Rabbitohs: 86.4%
Wins This Season: Dolphins: 8/15 (53%), Rabbitohs: 6/15 (40%)
Points Scored This Season: Dolphins: 371, Rabbitohs: 318
Points Conceded This Season: Dolphins: 331, Rabbitohs: 414
Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Rabbitohs won by 22 points (36-14) on 13 April 2023
Reliability to Win After Leading HT: Dolphins: 75.0%, Rabbitohs: 100%
HT/FT Double: Dolphins: 40.0%, Rabbitohs: 33.3%

Outcome Prediction:

Final Scores: Dolphins: 26, Rabbitohs: 22
Win Percentages: Dolphins: 54.7%, Rabbitohs: 45.4%

The Dolphins are on a shaky run with a LLWLL form, while the Rabbitohs are climbing the board with five consecutive wins. The Dolphins average 24.7 points per match and concede 22.1, while the Rabbitohs score 21.2 and let in a whopping 27.6. It’s set to be a high-scoring clash, with the Dolphins’ home-ground advantage possibly making the difference.

The Dolphins have an 80% completion rate compared to the Rabbitohs’ 78%, and their tackle efficiency is also only slightly better at 87.7% against 86.4%. The Rabbitohs defense has been subpar in comparison to the Dolphins, conceding 414 points this season, compared to the Dolphins’ 331.

In their only previous encounter, the Rabbitohs won 36-14.

Jamayne Isaako and Jack Bostock are both solid bets for first try scorer both sitting well in the $8 odds range, Dolphins have the odds on reaching 10, 20, and 30 points with odds dropping the higher the score so smart money would be on both of the Dolphins for the first try.

Final Score Prediction: Dolphins 26-22

Suggested Betting Tip: Dolphins to win by 1-12 @ $3.00 with bet365

OVER/UNDER Bet: UNDER 49.5 @ $1.90 with bet365

Same Game Multi:

First Try Scorer: Jamayne Isaako $8.25, or Jack Bostock $8.75

Winning Margin: Dolphins 1-12 $3.00

TOTAL: $20.90 – $22.26 with bet365

Sharks vs Wests Tigers

Friday, July 12, 2024

8:00 PM @ Pointsbet Stadium, Sydney

This Friday night, the Sharks are taking on the Wests Tigers at PointsBet Stadium in Sydney. Kickoff is at 8:00 pm, and we’re looking at a cool, partly cloudy evening with temps between 15-18 degrees.

Head-to-Head Stats:

Average Points For Per Match: Sharks: 24.0, Wests Tigers: 17.9
Average Points Against Per Match: Sharks: 19.4, Wests Tigers: 27.4
Current Form: Sharks: LWLLL, Wests Tigers: LWWLL
Completion Rate: Sharks: 79%, Wests Tigers: 79%
Tackle Efficiency: Sharks: 87.4%, Wests Tigers: 86.5%
Wins This Season: Sharks: 62% (10/16), Wests Tigers: 25% (4/16)
Points Scored This Season: Sharks: 384, Wests Tigers: 287
Points Conceded This Season: Sharks: 311, Wests Tigers: 438
Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Wests Tigers won by 26 points (32-6) on 23rd March 2024
Reliability to Win After Leading HT: Sharks: 100%, Wests Tigers: 50%
HT/FT Double: Sharks: 18.8%, Wests Tigers: 12.5%

Outcome Prediction:

Final Scores: Sharks: 28, Wests Tigers: 6
Win Percentages: Sharks: 57.9%, Wests Tigers: 42.1%

The Sharks, despite their recent form of LWLLL, are still the hot favourites. They’re averaging 24 points per game and conceding 19.4, while the Tigers, with a form of LWWLL, score 17.9 and let in a hefty 27.4. The Sharks have a 79% completion rate and 87.4% tackle efficiency, solidifying their edge against the Tigers’ 79% and 86.5%.

Historically, the Sharks have won 17 out of 37 clashes against the Tigers. The Tigers’ last win against the Sharks was a shocker at 32-6, but don’t expect a repeat of last time. The Sharks, bolstered by home ground support, should secure an obvious win.

Sione Katoa and Ronaldo Mulitalo are both solid bets for first try scorer with $7.75-8.00 odds, Sharks have super low odds for racing to 10, 20 and 30 points so tipping Katoa for the first try in with some other bets for a same game multi is wise.

Final Score Prediction: Sharks 28-6

Suggested Betting Tip: Sharks to win by 13+ @ $2.50 with bet365

OVER/UNDER Bet: UNDER 49.5 @1.90 $ with bet365

Same Game Multi:

First Try Scorer: Sione Katoa $7.75, or Ronaldo Mulitalo $8.00

Winning Margin: Sharks 13+ $2.50

TOTAL: $14.51 – $15.31 with bet365

Titans vs Eels

Saturday, July 13, 2024

5:30 PM @ Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast

This Saturday arvo, the Titans are up against the Eels at Cbus Super Stadium on the Gold Coast, with kickoff at 5:30 pm. Expect a balmy evening with a slight chance of showers and light winds, 18-21 degrees.

Head-to-Head Stats:

Average Points For Per Match: Titans: 21.7, Eels: 20.3
Average Points Against Per Match: Titans: 26.1, Eels: 29.4
Current Form: Titans: WLLWW, Eels: WLLLL
Completion Rate: Titans: 81%, Eels: 75%
Tackle Efficiency: Titans: 87.1%, Eels: 86.5%
Wins This Season: Titans: 5/15 (33%), Eels: 4/16 (25%)
Points Scored This Season: Titans: 325, Eels: 325
Points Conceded This Season: Titans: 392, Eels: 470
Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Titans won by 2 points (26-24) on 7th May 2023
Reliability to Win After Leading HT: Titans: 57.1%, Eels: 37.5%
HT/FT Double: Titans: 26.7%, Eels: 18.8%

Outcome Prediction:

Final Scores: Titans: 26, Eels: 23
Win Percentages: Titans: 52.32%, Eels: 47.68%

The Titans, coming off two straight wins, have a slight edge over the Eels, who’ve been wobbly as a drunk pirate this season with a current WLLLL 5 game record. The Titans are averaging 21.7 points per game and conceding 26.1, while the Eels manage 20.3 points but are letting in a hefty 29.4. Both teams are neck and neck in points scored this season at 325, but the Eels letting a lot more slip through with a dismal 470 points compared to the Titans’ 392.

With an 81% completion rate and 87.1% tackle efficiency, the Titans are only slightly more polished than the Eels’ 75% and 86.5%. Recent history favours the Titans, having edged out the Eels 26-24 in their last game.

Top three first try scorers are all for the Titans with Alofiana Khan-Pereria, Phillip Sami, and Jojo Fifita leading the charge and all decent bets for first try scorer in the $7-11 odds range, Titans have the early odds on reaching 10, 20, and 30 points and with Alofiana Khan-Pereria first try odds at $7.57 wise bets go towards a same game multi as shown below.

Final Score Prediction: Titans 26-23

Suggested Betting Tip: Titans to win by 13+ @ $2.50 with bet365

OVER/UNDER Bet: UNDER 52.5 @ $1.90 with bet365

Same Game Multi:

First Try Scorer: Alofiana Kham-Pereria $7.75

Winning Margin: Titans 13+ $2.50

TOTAL: $13.99 with bet365

Broncos vs Dragons

Saturday, July 13, 2024

7:35 PM @ Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

This Saturday night, the Broncos will face off against the Dragons at Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane, with a 7:35 pm kickoff. Expect a mild evening with temps hovering around 17-19 degrees and a slight chance of shower and light winds.

Head-to-Head Stats:

Average Points For Per Match: Broncos: 22.3, Dragons: 20.9
Average Points Against Per Match: Broncos: 21.5, Dragons: 24.6
Current Form: Broncos: LLLLL, Dragons: WWLWL
Completion Rate: Broncos: 75%, Dragons: 79%
Tackle Efficiency: Broncos: 87.4%, Dragons: 88.2%
Wins This Season: Broncos: 44% (7/16), Dragons: 50% (8/16)
Points Scored This Season: Broncos: 357, Dragons: 334
Points Conceded This Season: Broncos: 344, Dragons: 394
Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Broncos won by 22 points (40-18) on 18th March 2023
Reliability to win after leading HT: Broncos: 63.6%, Dragons: 62.5%

Outcome Prediction:

Final Scores: Broncos: 24, Dragons: 22
Win Percentages: Broncos: 52.5%, Dragons: 47.5%

The Broncos are on a grim run, losing their last five games, while the Dragons are riding a mixed form of WWLWL. The Broncos average 22.3 points per match but concede 21.5, whereas the Dragons are scoring slightly lower at 20.9 and letting in an average of 24.6. It’s pretty tight, but the Broncos at home have the upper hand.

With a completion rate of 75% for the Broncos and 79% for the Dragons, and tackle efficiencies of 87.4% vs. 88.2%, the Dragons seem a bit sharper defensively on paper however the conceding points don’t lie. Plus the Broncos have a history of turning up the heat at Suncorp.

Both Jesse Arthurs of the Broncos and Mikaele Ravalawa of the Dragons are in the $9.00 range for first try scorer, Broncos have the early odds on reaching 10, 20, and 30 points so smart money would be on Arthurs for the first try.

Final Score Prediction: Broncos 24-22

Suggested Betting Tip: Broncos to win by 1-12 @ $3.00 with bet365

OVER/UNDER Bet: @ $ with bet365

Same Game Multi:

First Try Scorer: Jesse Arthurs $9.25

Winning Margin: Broncos 1-12 $3.00

TOTAL: $24.38 with bet365

Sea Eagles vs Knights

Sunday, July 14, 2024

4:05 PM @ 4 Pines Park, Sydney

This Sunday, the Sea Eagles are set to clash with the Knights at 4 Pines Park in Sydney, with kickoff at 4:05 pm. The weather’s forecast is partly cloudy, slight chance of a shower, and a reasonably comfy 15-16 degrees.

Head-to-Head Stats:

Average Points For Per Match: Sea Eagles: 23.3, Knights: 18.6
Average Points Against Per Match: Sea Eagles: 21.4, Knights: 21.3
Current Form: Sea Eagles: WLWLW, Knights: LLLWW
Completion Rate: Sea Eagles: 77%, Knights: 80%
Tackle Efficiency: Sea Eagles: 86.1%, Knights: 88.9%
Wins This Season: Sea Eagles: 50% (8/16), Knights: 50% (8/16)
Points Scored This Season: Sea Eagles: 372, Knights: 298
Points Conceded This Season: Sea Eagles: 343, Knights: 341
Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Knights won by 10 points (28-18) on 28th May 2023
Reliability to Win After Leading HT: Sea Eagles: 62.5%, Knights: 85.7%
HT/FT Double: Sea Eagles: 31.3%, Knights: 37.5%

Outcome Prediction:

Final Scores: Sea Eagles: 22, Knights: 18
Win Percentages: Sea Eagles: 52.8%, Knights: 47.3%

Both teams are tied at 50% wins this season, but the Sea Eagles are averaging 23.3 points per game while conceding 21.4. The Knights, meanwhile, score 18.6 and let in 21.3. Current forms have the Sea Eagles unable to decide on winning or losing with a WLWLW streak, while the Knights have pulled off two wins after three losses.

Completion rates are 77% for the Sea Eagles and 80% for the Knights, with tackle efficiencies at 86.1% and 88.9% respectively. Last time they met, the Knights took it 28-18, but history favours the Sea Eagles at home.

Jason Saab, Tom Trbojevic, Lehi Hopoate of the Sea Eagles are all favoured for first try scorer sitting in the $8-9.00 odds range, and with the Sea Eagles getting the early odds on reaching 10, 20, and 30 points its a good idea to throw all three of them in a multi.

Final Score Prediction: Sea Eagles 22-18

Suggested Betting Tip: Sea Eagles to win by 1-12 @ $3.00 with bet365

OVER/UNDER Bet: UNDER 49.5 @ $1.90 with bet365

Same Game Multi:

First Try Scorer: Jason Saab $8.00, Tom Trbojevic $8.50, Lehi Hopoate $9.00

Winning Margin: Sea Eagles 1-12 $3.00

TOTAL: $22.16 – $25.96 with bet365