AFL Betting Tips Round 14

Michael Kruse / 9 June 2023

AFL Expert Tips Round 14

As we head into Round 14 of the AFL season, there are some intriguing matchups on the horizon. Let’s dive into the AFL tips and predictions for the upcoming games.

14Port Adelaide Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
14Brisbane Lions Port Adelaide Power Icon Port Adelaide 98 65.28% 110
14GW Sydney Geelong Cats Icon Geelong 83 33.61% 72
14Richmond
14Carlton Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
14Kangaroos Brisbane Lions Icon Brisbane Lions 100 76.04% 97
Sydney Swans Icon Sydney 74 23.20% 81
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
GWS Giants Icon GW Sydney 88 53.93% 106
Fremantle Dockers Icon Fremantle 84 45.17% 36
Column to hide
after pasting Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
game keys above Richmond Tigers Icon Richmond 79 50.56% 90
St. Kilda Saints Icon St Kilda 78 48.19% 70
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Carlton Blues Icon Carlton 84 61.46% 120
Gold Coast Suns Icon Gold Coast 74 37.61% 61
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
North Melbourne Icon Kangaroos 68 17.24% 84
Western Bulldogs Icon Western Bulldogs 101 82.11% 105

 

Port Adelaide vs Geelong

Thursday, June 15, 2023

3:20 PM @ MCG

Given the recent form and stats, it’s clear Port Adelaide is the team to beat in the forthcoming clash against Geelong. Port Adelaide boasts an impressive 5-game win streak​​. In contrast, Geelong has been inconsistent, losing three of their last five games​.

In terms of player performance, Port Adelaide’s J. Finlayson and Z. Butters have been in stellar form, with Finlayson scoring 24 goals and Butters leading in disposals and contested possessions​​. These are key factors that could tip the balance in Port Adelaide’s favour.

Additionally, team stats favour Port Adelaide. They’ve outperformed Geelong in disposals, kicks, handballs, free kicks, clearances, inside 50, and tackles​​. Although Geelong leads in hit-outs, Port Adelaide’s superior stats in other areas suggest a stronger overall team performance.

Given these factors, it’s reasonable to predict that Port Adelaide will beat Geelong. However, considering the competitive nature of both these teams, the game will be close.

We predict Port Adelaide 96, Geelong 84. This is the footy we all love to see, where the outcome is decided by performance on the field, not by predictions off it.

Betting Tip: Power

Suggested Bet: Port Adelaide WINNING MARGIN 1-39

 

Brisbane vs Sydney

Friday, June 16, 2023

7:50 PM @ The Gabba

The Brisbane Lions are looking in top shape to take on the Sydney Swans in the upcoming AFL game. Brisbane has shown their attacking prowess with Charlie Cameron leading the goal tally with 34 to Tom Papley’s 22​​. Lachie Neale is the star in disposals and contested possessions, outdoing Callum Warner with 337 disposals to 305, and 173 contested possessions to 134 respectively​​.

The Lions boast a better record in clearances and inside 50s, hinting at their superior offensive capabilities​​. In the last five matches, Brisbane, although having suffered two losses, have also posted convincing wins, displaying resilience​. The Swans, in comparison, have been inconsistent, with two wins and three losses in their last five encounters​.

In terms of overall standing, Brisbane is ahead of Sydney, holding the 4th position in the 2023 AFL Standings with 32 points, while Sydney lags behind at 13th with 20 points​​.

In light of these stats, I predict a victory for the Brisbane Lions with a scoreline of 102-73.

Betting Tip: Lions

Suggested Bet: Brisbane HEAD-to-HEAD

 

GWS Giants vs Fremantle

Saturday, June 17, 2023

4:35 PM @ Giants Stadium

In the upcoming AFL clash, the GWS Giants are poised to gain the upper hand against the Fremantle Dockers. The Giants are displaying signs of a late season surge, clinching their biggest win margin of the season recently.

Key tactical changes, such as Lachie Keeffe’s move forward and Harry Himmelberg’s switch to defence, have shown promise. Additionally, Callum Brown’s forward spark and Keiran Briggs’s strong performance against veteran Todd Goldstein are clear indicators of their growing prowess​​.

On the other hand, Fremantle’s performance this season has been inconsistent. Although they managed a four-game winning streak, their recent loss to the Tigers at home demonstrates their vulnerability. Currently, they stand at an even 6-6, just one win ahead of the Giants​.

Given this analysis, it’s reasonable to predict a Giants win, boosted by their home ground advantage. The final score? A thrilling 87-86 victory for the Giants. An exhilarating game is on the cards, so get ready for a nail-biting finish!

Betting Tip: Giants

Suggested Bet: GWS WINNING MARGIN 1-39

 

Richmond vs St Kilda

Saturday, June 17, 2023

4:35 PM @ MCG

With a thrilling match on the horizon, Richmond and St Kilda are set to lock horns in a clash that promises to be a blockbuster. The teams are well-matched in terms of goals, with Richmond’s J. Riewoldt and St Kilda’s J. Higgins both boasting 23 goals apiece​. There’s a slight edge for Richmond in terms of disposals and contested possessions, thanks to T. Taranto’s stellar performance​​.

However, it’s not all one-way traffic.

St Kilda is holding its own in team stats, particularly in handballs and free kicks, keeping the competition fierce​. Their recent form, with three wins in the last five games, just like Richmond, indicates a close encounter​.

Both teams are in a fierce battle for position on the AFL ladder, adding to the intensity of the clash​​. Given both teams’ evenly matched stats and recent form, this game could end in a draw with a tantalising score of 78-78, leaving fans on the edge of their seats. Don’t miss this exhilarating showdown!

Betting Tip: Tigers

Suggested Bet: DRAW

 

Carlton vs Gold Coast

Sunday, June 18, 2023

1:10 PM @ MCG

The upcoming clash between Carlton and Gold Coast in the AFL is set to be a riveting contest. While Gold Coast’s recent form has been stronger with three wins in their last five games, Carlton’s performance is not to be overlooked​​.

Carlton, bolstered by C. Curnow’s 40 goals, A. Cerra’s 355 disposals, and P. Cripps’s 193 contested possessions this season, have shown their strength in key areas of the game​​. These stats reflect the tenacity of the Blues, and when they bring their A-game, they’re hard to beat.

Transitioning to the field, Carlton outperforms Gold Coast in disposals, kicks, and handballs, while also leading in tackles – a vital component of defensive pressure​. Carlton’s performance in these areas could be a deciding factor in the game.

Though Gold Coast may have the edge in clearances and hit-outs, the Blues’ superior stats in disposals and inside 50s hint at a strong midfield and attacking strategy. This balance could tip the scales in Carlton’s favour.

In light of these factors, my prediction is a triumphant victory for Carlton. The final score? Carlton 86, Gold Coast 74.

Betting Tip: Blues

Suggested Bet: Carlton WINNING MARGIN 1-39

 

North Melbourne vs Western Bulldogs

Sunday, June 18, 2023

4:40 PM @ Marvel Stadium

The Western Bulldogs are set to seize victory in the upcoming AFL face-off against North Melbourne. With an 85% chance of winning, the Bulldogs are clearly the favoured team this season. It’s hard to bet against these odds​​.

In terms of scores, the Bulldogs are expected to cover a 30.5-point line, suggesting a significant lead over the Kangaroos​1​. Pre-game analysis predicts a final score of 100-72 in favour of the Bulldogs​.

However, I firmly believe that the Bulldogs will outperform even these expectations. Given the team’s stellar form and undeniable spirit, they’re likely to command the field and finish strong with a score of 101-67. They’ve shown time and again that they can turn up the heat when it matters most, and this game will be no exception.

In conclusion, the Western Bulldogs are poised for a decisive victory over North Melbourne. It’s not just about the odds, it’s about their talent, teamwork, and tenacity. They’ve got the drive, they’ve got the skills, and they’re ready to show the AFL world once again why they’re a force to be reckoned with.

Betting Tip: Bulldogs

Suggested Bet: Western Bulldogs WINNING MARGIN 40+

 

Byes

  • Adelaide Crows
  • Collingwood Magpies
  • Hawthorn Hawks
  • Essendon Bombers
  • Melbourne Demons
  • West Coast Eagles

 

This week’s AFL Multi

  • Port
  • Brisbane
  • GWS
  • St Kilda
  • Blues

Take Bet: $15.80 with  Ladbrokes

Check out all of this week’s AFL multi tips on our Multi Bets Page.

Multi Bet Tips

 

AFL Fixture

Check the AFL fixture for upcoming AFL matches this season.

AFL Injury List

Keep up-to-date with your team’s injuries this week with our AFL injury list.

Other Betting Tips

We don’t just do AFL Tips; our team of experts Also specialise in NRL betting and horse racing tips.

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Michael Kruse
Michael loves all things all horse racing and has been in the game for quite some time. His knowledge in the betting space is second... [Read full bio]

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