AFL Betting Tips Round 11

Ben H 21 May 2024Last Updated: 27 May 2024

AFL Footy Tips Round 11

11Western Bulldogs Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
11Fremantle Western Bulldogs Icon Western Bulldogs 87 53.59%
11Kangaroos Sydney Swans Icon Sydney 84 45.29%
11Carlton
11Geelong Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
11Richmond Fremantle Dockers Icon Fremantle 77 55.77%
11Hawthorn Collingwood Magpies Icon Collingwood 72 42.91%
11Melbourne
11Adelaide Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
North Melbourne Icon Kangaroos 70 11.80%
Port Adelaide Power Icon Port Adelaide 115 87.55%
Column to hide
after pasting Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
game keys above Carlton Blues Icon Carlton 94 63.45%
Gold Coast Suns Icon Gold Coast 81 35.62%
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Geelong Cats Icon Geelong 97 65.56%
GWS Giants Icon GWS 82 33.38%
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Richmond Tigers Icon Richmond 68 21.91%
Essendon Bombers Icon Essendon 95 77.21%
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Hawthorn Hawks Icon Hawthorn 71 36.56%
Brisbane Lions Icon Brisbane Lions 82 62.39%
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Melbourne Demons Icon Melbourne 80 72.23%
St. Kilda Saints Icon St Kilda 61 26.71%
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Adelaide Crows Icon Adelaide 97 78.62%
West Coast Eagles Icon West Coast 69 20.39%

 

Bulldogs vs Swans

Thursday, May 23, 2024

7:30 PM @ Marvel Stadium, Melbourne

This Thursday night at Marvel Stadium, the Bulldogs will face the Swans. The Swans are flying high, sitting six points clear at the top of the ladder and coming off a string of six straight wins, including a thumping 117-65 victory over Carlton. Chad Warner and Isaac Heeney are in sizzling form, lighting up the field with their disposals and goals.

Meanwhile, the Bulldogs pulled off an upset against GWS last weekend despite some woeful accuracy in front of goal. Their eight goals and 22 behinds marked their worst accuracy since 2018, but they still managed a 70-43 win.

  • Average Points For Per Match: Western Bulldogs: 93.2, Sydney Swans: 103.0
  • Average Points Against Per Match: Western Bulldogs: 73.9, Sydney Swans: 66.6
  • Current Form: Western Bulldogs: WLLWW, Sydney Swans: WWWWW
  • Current Streak: Western Bulldogs: W2, Sydney Swans: W6
  • Goal Accuracy For %: Western Bulldogs: 55.7, Sydney Swans: 50.8
  • Reliability % (Win % After Leading At HT): Western Bulldogs: 100.0, Sydney Swans: 88.9
  • Biggest Win: Western Bulldogs: 91, Sydney Swans: 76

Outcome Prediction:

  • Final Scores: Western Bulldogs: 87, Sydney Swans: 84
  • Win Percentages: Western Bulldogs: 50.5%, Sydney Swans: 49.5%

Last year’s clash was full-on, with the Swans snatching a 78-76 win. Expect another close match. All eyes will be on the Bulldog’s scoring accuracy after last week’s debacle, but with the Swans’ current form, it’s going to be a super close game.

Final Score Prediction: Western Bulldogs 87 -84

Suggested Betting Tip: Swans to Win by 1-39 @ $2.55 with Neds

Over/Under Bet: TBC @ $- with Neds

 

Dockers vs Magpies

Friday, May 24, 2024

8:10 PM @ Optus Stadium, Perth

This Friday night at Optus Stadium, the Dockers and Magpies clash in a nail-biter. Fremantle, fresh off a gritty win over St Kilda, face a Collingwood side on a seven-game tear. Last time these teams met, the Pies walked away with a 113-67 win, and with Nick Daicos in hot form, they’ll be hard to beat.

The Dockers boast a fierce clearance game, led by Caleb Serong, but they’ll need every trick in the book to topple the Magpies. Collingwood’s midfield, anchored by Daicos and Pendlebury, has been dominant, winning the stoppage battle in four of their last five games.

Head-to-Head Stats:

  • Average Points For Per Match: Fremantle Dockers: 76.7, Collingwood Magpies: 87.3
  • Average Points Against Per Match: Fremantle Dockers: 68.6, Collingwood Magpies: 81.0
  • Current Form: Fremantle Dockers: LWWLW, Collingwood Magpies: WDWWW
  • Current Streak: Fremantle Dockers: W1, Collingwood Magpies: W3
  • Goal Accuracy For %: Fremantle Dockers: 51.7, Collingwood Magpies: 57.5
  • Reliability % (Win % After Leading At HT): Fremantle Dockers: 71.4, Collingwood Magpies: 83.3
  • Biggest Win: Fremantle Dockers: 54, Collingwood Magpies: 66

Outcome Prediction:

  • Final Scores: Fremantle Dockers: 72, Collingwood Magpies: 77
  • Win Percentages: Fremantle Dockers: 50.5%, Collingwood Magpies: 49.5%

Expect a close game with Collingwood’s superior firepower and form giving them the edge, Fremantle coming out on top will be highly reliant on clearances and upping their goal accuracy.

Final Score Prediction: Fremantle Dockers 77 – 72

Suggested Betting Tip: Fremantle to Win by 1-39 @ $2.30 with Neds

Over/Under Bet: TBC @ $- with Neds

 

 

Kangaroos vs Power

Saturday, May 25, 2024

1:45 PM @ Blundstone Arena, Hobart

This Saturday arvo at Blundstone Arena, the Kangaroos will be bouncing on their hind legs as the Power are set to prove that tackling is better than boxing.

North Melbourne, still searching for a win this season, will face a Port Adelaide side that’s been firing on all cylinders. Last year’s match saw Port thrash the Roos 135-65, and this year might not be much different.

Head-to-Head Stats:

  • Average Points For Per Match: North Melbourne: 67.7, Port Adelaide: 90.0
  • Average Points Against Per Match: North Melbourne: 119.1, Port Adelaide: 81.0
  • Current Form: North Melbourne: LLLLL, Port Adelaide: LWLWW
  • Current Streak: North Melbourne: L10, Port Adelaide: W2
  • Goal Accuracy For %: North Melbourne: 64.3, Port Adelaide: 51.6
  • Reliability % (Win % After Leading At HT): North Melbourne: 0.0, Port Adelaide: 100.0
  • Biggest Win: North Melbourne: -, Port Adelaide: 69

Outcome Prediction:

  • Final Scores: North Melbourne: 70, Port Adelaide: 115
  • Win Percentages: North Melbourne: 41.7%, Port Adelaide: 58.3%

The Roos are struggling defensively, leaking points like a sieve, while the Power’s offence, led by the likes of Charlie Dixon, is running hot. Port Adelaide’s defence has also been solid, making them the favourites to take this one comfortably.

Expect the Power to dominate from start to finish. Predicted score: Power 115, Kangaroos 70.

Final Score Prediction: Port Adelaide Power 115 – 70

Suggested Betting Tip: Power to Win by 40+ @ $1.70 with Neds

Over/Under Bet: TBC @ $- with Neds

 

 

Blues vs Suns

Saturday, May 25, 2024

1:45 PM @ Marvel Stadium, Melbourne

Get ready for a ripper of a match this Saturday arvo at Marvel Stadium as the Blues take on the Suns. It’s set to be a cracker, with both teams neck and neck in terms of offensive firepower. The Blues have been a bit of a mixed bag recently, but they’ve got the home crowd behind them. Meanwhile, the Suns are riding high on a two-game winning streak, and their defense is tighter than a drum.

Carlton’s fans will be hoping for a bit of magic from their key forwards, while Gold Coast’s defensive wall, even without a star or two, will be hard to break. The Suns’ recent form and defensive grit make them slight favourites.

Head-to-Head Stats:

  • Average Points For Per Match: Carlton Blues: 92.3, Gold Coast Suns: 92.2
  • Average Points Against Per Match: Carlton Blues: 90.4, Gold Coast Suns: 81.8
  • Current Form: Carlton Blues: WLLWL, Gold Coast Suns: LWLWW
  • Current Streak: Carlton Blues: L1, Gold Coast Suns: W2
  • Goal Accuracy For %: Carlton Blues: 61.6, Gold Coast Suns: 60.5
  • Reliability % (Win % After Leading At HT): Carlton Blues: 66.7, Gold Coast Suns: 100.0

Outcome Prediction:

  • Final Scores: Carlton Blues: 84, Gold Coast Suns: 88
  • Win Percentages: Carlton Blues: 48.9%, Gold Coast Suns: 51.1%

Expect a close game with the Suns edging out the Blues by a whisker, say 88 to 84. It’s going to be one of those games where you can’t look away – every kick, mark, and handball will count!

Final Score Prediction: Gold Coast Suns 88 – 84

Suggested Betting Tip: Suns to Win by 1-39 @ $3.35 with Neds

Over/Under Bet: TBC @ $- with Neds

 

 

Cats vs Giants

Saturday, May 25, 2024

4:35 PM @ GMHBA Stadium, Geelong

This Saturday arvo, the Cats are set to clash with the Giants at GMHBA Stadium, and it’s shaping up to be a real Jack and the Beanstalk scenario (know little guys and the giants).

Both teams are coming off a string of losses, so they’ll be desperate to turn things around. The Cats, with their home-ground advantage, are looking to pounce back into form. They’ve been a bit inconsistent, like a cat on a hot tin roof, but their firepower up front is still formidable.

The Giants, on the other hand, have shown they can be giant killers, especially with their rock-solid defence. It’s like trying to break through a brick wall. Both teams are scoring nearly the same, but the Cats’ defence has been a touch leakier.

Head-to-Head Stats:

  • Average Points For Per Match: Geelong Cats: 95.4, GWS Giants: 92.5
  • Average Points Against Per Match: Geelong Cats: 85.1, GWS Giants: 80.1
  • Current Form: Geelong Cats: WWLLL, GWS Giants: LWLLL
  • Current Streak: Geelong Cats: L3, GWS Giants: L3
  • Goal Accuracy For %: Geelong Cats: 63.8, GWS Giants: 64.0
  • Reliability % (Win % After Leading At HT): Geelong Cats: 100.0, GWS Giants: 75.0

Outcome Prediction:

  • Final Scores: Geelong Cats: 97, GWS Giants: 82
  • Win Percentages: Geelong Cats: 49.6%, GWS Giants: 50.4%

In a game that’s tighter than a drum, expect every kick and handball to count. But with the home crowd roaring, the Cats might just edge this one out by a whisker.

Predicted score: Geelong Cats 97 – 82

Suggested Betting Tip: Cats to Win by 1-39 @ $2.25 with Neds

Over/Under Bet: OVER 161.5 @ $1.88 with Neds

 

 

Tigers vs Bombers

Saturday, May 25, 2024

7:40 PM @ MCG, Melbourne

Saturday night at the ‘G, the Tigers are up against the Bombers as the Dons look to bomb the Tiges back into the jungle. Richmond’s been as shaky as a cat on a hot tin roof with a six-game losing streak, while the Bombers have been flying high with three wins on the trot only having their winning streak marred by a draw against the Pies.

The Tigers’ defence has been leakier than a rusty tap, conceding an average of 104.4 points per game. Meanwhile, the Bombers’ forward line, scoring 84.5 points per game on average, is likely to have a field day. Richmond’s attack hasn’t exactly been roaring either, averaging just 62.2 points.

Head-to-Head Stats:

  • Average Points For Per Match: Richmond Tigers: 62.2, Essendon Bombers: 84.5
  • Average Points Against Per Match: Richmond Tigers: 104.4, Essendon Bombers: 81.8
  • Current Form: Richmond Tigers: LLLLL, Essendon Bombers: WDWWW
  • Current Streak: Richmond Tigers: L6, Essendon Bombers: W3
  • Goal Accuracy For %: Richmond Tigers: 53.4, Essendon Bombers: 60.2
  • Reliability % (Win % After Leading At HT): Richmond Tigers: 0.0, Essendon Bombers: 83.3

Outcome Prediction:

  • Final Scores: Richmond Tigers: 68, Essendon Bombers: 95
  • Win Percentages: Richmond Tigers: 43.2%, Essendon Bombers: 56.8%

Essendon’s defence, tighter than the door seals on a Tesla, will make life tough for the Tigers. Despite their best efforts, the Tigers’ recent form shows they are going to struggle to keep pace. Expect the Bombers to swoop in and dominate.

Looks like it’ll be a long night for the Tigers faithful.

Predicted score: Essendon Bombers 95 – 68

Suggested Bet: Bombers to Win by 1-39 @ $2.55 with Neds

Over/Under Bet: TBC @ $- with Neds

 

 

Hawks vs Lions

Sunday, May 26, 2024

1:10 PM @ Marvel Stadium, Melbourne

Sunday arvo at Marvel Stadium, it’s the Hawks versus the Lions in what’s set to be a corker of a game. The Hawks have been as unpredictable as Melbourne weather, with wins and losses all over the shop. Meanwhile, the Lions, though not exactly roaring, have a bit more consistency.

The Hawks’ defence has been nicer than Mr. Beast lately, conceding over 90 points per game, while their attack has struggled to hit the high notes. The Lions, on the other hand, boast a more balanced game, scoring around 85 points and keeping opponents to 72 on average. It’s no wonder the bookies are favouring them.

Head-to-Head Stats:

  • Average Points For Per Match: Hawthorn Hawks: 70.9, Brisbane Lions: 84.9
  • Average Points Against Per Match: Hawthorn Hawks: 90.2, Brisbane Lions: 72.8
  • Current Form: Hawthorn Hawks: WLWWL, Brisbane Lions: LLWDW
  • Current Streak: Hawthorn Hawks: L1, Brisbane Lions: W1
  • Goal Accuracy For %: Hawthorn Hawks: 53.4, Brisbane Lions: 55.8
  • Reliability % (Win % After Leading At HT): Hawthorn Hawks: 75.0, Brisbane Lions: 66.7

Outcome Prediction:

  • Final Scores: Hawthorn Hawks: 71, Brisbane Lions: 82
  • Win Percentages: Hawthorn Hawks: 45.1%, Brisbane Lions: 54.9%

Expect the Lions’ forwards to have a day out, while the Hawks will need more than a miracle to keep up. In a game that might be closer than it seems, the Lions are tipped to prevail.

Predicted score: Brisbane Lions 82 – 71

Suggested Bet: Lions to Win by 1-39 @ $2.15 with Neds

Over/Under Bet: TBC @ $- with Neds

 

 

Demons vs Saints

Sunday, May 26, 2024

3:20 PM @ MCG, Melbourne

Sunday arvo at the ‘G, the Demons and the Saints are set to slug it out in a clash that has the potential to be as close as two coats of paint. Both teams are coming off a couple of losses, so they’ll be hungrier than a dingo in a butcher shop. The Demons have been slightly better in both attack and defence, scoring an average of 80.5 points while conceding 71.2.

St Kilda, on the other hand, has been a bit hit and miss, averaging 72.2 points for and 76.7 against. Melbourne’s forwards will need to be sharper than a tack, but if they hit their straps, the Saints might find themselves chasing shadows.

Head-to-Head Stats:

  • Average Points For Per Match: Melbourne Demons: 80.5, St Kilda Saints: 72.2
  • Average Points Against Per Match: Melbourne Demons: 71.2, St Kilda Saints: 76.7
  • Current Form: Melbourne Demons: LWWLL, St Kilda Saints: LLWLL
  • Current Streak: Melbourne Demons: L2, St Kilda Saints: L2
  • Goal Accuracy For %: Melbourne Demons: 57.7, St Kilda Saints: 55.7
  • Reliability % (Win % After Leading At HT): Melbourne Demons: 100.0, St Kilda Saints: 50.0

Outcome Prediction:

  • Final Scores: Melbourne Demons: 81, St Kilda Saints: 61
  • Win Percentages: Melbourne Demons: 52.3%, St Kilda Saints: 47.7%

The Saints will put up a fight, but the Demons, with their solid form at home, are tipped to edge this one. Expect a tight tussle with the Demons pulling ahead late.

Predicted score: Melbourne Demons 81 – 61

Suggested Bet: Demons to Win by 1-39 @ $2.05 with Neds

Over/Under Bet: TBC @ $- with Neds

 

 

Crows vs Eagles

Sunday, May 26, 2024

4:40 PM @ Adelaide Oval, Adelaide

Sunday arvo at Adelaide Oval, the Crows and Eagles are set to duke it out in a clash that’ll have more twists and turns than a country road. The Crows, with their recent form consisting of two wins, two losses and a draw, leaves the question in the back of our minds whether the Eagles might be able to steal a win this week. The Crows have got a solid average of 78.3 points per game and a defence that’s tighter than a jar of pickles compared to the Eagles.

West Coast, bless their hearts, have struggled to keep opponents from running up the score, conceding an average of 93.8 points. Their attack isn’t too shabby, but it’s like bringing a butter knife to a sword fight against Adelaide’s more balanced game.

Head-to-Head Stats:

  • Average Points For Per Match: Adelaide Crows: 78.3, West Coast Eagles: 72.3
  • Average Points Against Per Match: Adelaide Crows: 77.6, West Coast Eagles: 93.8
  • Current Form: Adelaide Crows: LWWDL, West Coast Eagles: WLLLW
  • Current Streak: Adelaide Crows: L1, West Coast Eagles: W1
  • Goal Accuracy For %: Adelaide Crows: 62.0, West Coast Eagles: 56.5
  • Reliability % (Win % After Leading At HT): Adelaide Crows: 66.7, West Coast Eagles: 75.0

Outcome Prediction:

  • Final Scores: Adelaide Crows: 97, West Coast Eagles: 69
  • Win Percentages: Adelaide Crows: 53.3%, West Coast Eagles: 46.7%

Adelaide’s home turf advantage and higher goal accuracy mean they’re tipped to edge this one out. Expect the Crows to fly high and secure the win, despite the Eagles putting up a valiant fight.

Predicted score: Adelaide Crows 97 – 69

Suggested Bet: Crows to Win by 1-39 @ $2.15 with Neds

Over/Under Bet: TBC @ $- with Neds

 

 

This week’s AFL Multi

  • Power
  • Bombers
  • Demons
  • Crows

Take Bet: $1.82 with  Ladbrokes

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Ben H
Ben Harris is the Communications Manager for KRUZEY, an AFL and NRL expert, and writer. He has one daughter that he loves dearly and five... [Read full bio]

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