NRL Round 7 Footy Tips
Dolphins vs Rabbitohs
The South Sydney Rabbitohs are taking on the Redcliffe Dolphins in an interesting NRL match. Both teams are in fantastic shape, but I believe the Bunnies will win. They’ve recently been on a roll, winning 16 of their past 19 games in Queensland. They also thrashed the Bulldogs 50-16 last week, and they have talents like Latrell Mitchell and Cody Walker who are always a threat to score.
The Dolphins, on the other hand, have been impressive as well, covering the line in five of their six games. Jamayne Isaako has been on fire, scoring a hat-trick last week and tying Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow for the most tries in the league. Yet, I doubt it will be enough to deter the Rabbitohs.
The total points line is set at 44.5, and I believe the total will be UNDER. Souths have scored fewer points in their last four night meetings, and the Dolphins may struggle to score against their solid defence.
As for the final result, I believe it will be close, but the Rabbitohs will win 28-18. Latrell Mitchell’s try-scoring streak will continue at Suncorp Stadium, while Cody Walker will also have a big game. The return of Jesse Bromwich will help the Dolphins, but it will not be enough to beat the Bunnies.
Betting Tip: Rabbitohs
Suggested Bet: Rabbitohs WINNING MARGIN 1-12
Sharks vs Roosters
Despite missing some key players, like Dale Finucane and Toby Rudolph, the Sharks have covered the line in 14 of their previous 15 road games. The Roosters, on the other hand, are a force to be reckoned with, having won each of their last seven meetings with Cronulla.
Seven of the Sharks’ past eight matches have gone OVER the total match points line, and with both teams boasting some great attacking players, this game looks to be a high-scoring affair. The Sharks’ Sione Katoa and William Kennedy have been in excellent form, while the Roosters’ Jaxson Paulo and Daniel Tupou have been scoring.
The Roosters have a good chance of winning with James Tedesco back in the lineup. Tedesco has scored a try in each of his past four night outings at PointsBet Stadium, and he will seek to keep that streak going. The Sharks, on the other hand, will put up a spirited fight, especially with Wade Graham returning from injury.
In the end, I believe the Sydney Roosters will win by a slim margin, with a final score of 26-22 in their favour. The Roosters have much too much talent throughout the field and should be able to outscore the Sharks.
Betting Tip: Roosters
Suggested Bet: Roosters HEAD-to-HEAD
Sea Eagles vs Storm
To take on the mighty Melbourne Storm, the Sea Eagles will need to recover from their humiliating setback to the Panthers. Although Manly defeated the Storm at home in their most recent meeting, Melbourne has won five of their past six games at 4 Pines Park. With Manly lacking important players, the Storm are clear favourites to win this match.
Melbourne has been in terrific form, winning three consecutive games and covering the spread in all of them. Manly, on the other hand, has struggled with short turnarounds, losing their last six games. In addition, the Storm have been strong defensively in their last five night matchups, with each game finishing under the total match points line.
In terms of individual statistics, Haumole Olakauatu of Manly has been a consistent try-scorer, scoring at least one try in three of his past four games. The Storm’s Justin Olam and Cameron Munster, on the other hand, have been in fantastic try-scoring form, with Olam scoring in four of Melbourne’s previous five matches against Manly, and Munster scoring in each of their last three.
Taking all of these considerations into account, it’s difficult to see Manly beating the Storm. Realistically, Melbourne’s ultimate score should be around 28-16.
Betting Tip: Storm
Suggested Bet: Storm LINE -4.5
Warriors vs Cowboys
In a rematch from four weeks ago, the North Queensland Cowboys take on the New Zealand Warriors. The Warriors defeated the Cowboys convincingly in Round 3, but both teams have since lost and are desperate for a win. The Warriors have suffered huge losses in Te Maire Martin and Wayde Egan, but they have Tohu Harris back at lock. Meanwhile, Griffin Neame is out for two months, while Jeremiah Nanai has returned from suspension, and Murray Taulagi has returned to the Cowboys’ lineup.
The Cowboys have won four of their previous five games against the Warriors, giving them a small advantage in this contest. Furthermore, the Warriors have a troubling tendency of losing their next encounter after losing to Newcastle, which could benefit the Cowboys. Kyle Feldt and Scott Drinkwater have a history of scoring tries against the Warriors, while Viliami Vailea and Shaun Johnson have been reliable home try scorers.
Based on my data, I anticipate the North Queensland Cowboys will win a close game with a final score of 24-20 in their favour.
Betting Tip: Cowboys
Suggested Bet: Cowboys WINNING MARGIN 1-12
Knights vs Panthers
The Penrith Panthers are on a roll, scoring 97 points in their last two games, and they face the Newcastle Knights, who will be missing key player Jayden Brailey. The Panthers have won their last three encounters by 18 points or more, and the Knights have only won once against the Panthers since 2015. With the Panthers remaining intact, the Knights will need to step up to have a chance.
The Panthers are the overwhelming favourites to win, and it’s easy to understand why. The reigning champions have won all 18 of their April games, while Newcastle has failed to cover the spread in all five of its previous meetings with the reigning champions. With a line of -15.5, the Panthers appear to be favourites to win by a huge margin.
The Knights, on the other hand, have been playing well this season, winning three and drawing one, and they’ll be playing at McDonald Jones Stadium. Ten of their last 12 home matches have gone ABOVE the total match points line, so we should expect a high-scoring affair.
Both teams have remarkable try-scoring records in terms of players. Greg Marzhew has scored in six of his past seven home appearances as a starter, while Dominic Young has scored in six of his last seven. Stephen Crichton has scored in all three of Penrith’s previous games against Newcastle, and Brian To’o has scored in three of his previous four outings against Newcastle. Nathan Cleary has also been on fire recently, scoring in both of Penrith’s previous two games.
Based on the statistics and present play, the Knights have a difficult time stopping the Panthers. In reality, the final score should be anything like 36-12 in Penrith’s favour.
Betting Tip: Panthers
Suggested Bet: Panthers WINNING MARGIN 13+
Titans vs Broncos
The Brisbane Broncos will play the Gold Coast Titans in a thrilling Queensland derby this weekend. The Broncos suffered their first loss of the season last week, but they’ll be keen to get back on track and maintain their current domination against the Titans. The Titans have three wins under their belt and will be seeking to build to their unbeaten home record in 2023. But, Toby Sexton’s injury is a significant setback to their prospects, and the return of Kieran Foran is a timely boost for the Titans.
The Broncos will be without Thomas Flegler, but their formidable offensive line should be enough to keep the Titans at bay in the middle of the field. Brisbane has covered the line in five consecutive games against Gold Coast, and they should do so again in this encounter. Selwyn Cobbo and Kotoni Staggs have been outstanding for the Broncos and will be crucial to their success in this encounter.
Gold Coast has struggled recently against other Queensland clubs, losing their last five games against teams from the state. Alofi’ana Khan-Pereira has been a shining light for the Titans, scoring the first try in three of their previous four games. Yet, the Broncos should be able to contain the Titans’ onslaught and easily win this game.
The Broncos should win by 10 points, with a total score of 26-16 in favour of Brisbane.
Betting Tip: Broncos
Suggested Bet: Broncos WINNING MARGIN 1-12
Raiders vs Dragons
This weeks NRL match between the Canberra Raiders and the St. George Illawarra Dragons promises to be a competitive one, with both teams eagerly trying to climb the ranks. While the Raiders are coming off a stunning win over the Broncos, the Dragons came up just short against the Titans last week. The Raiders have won five of their previous seven games, and with important players returning to the lineup, they are well positioned to maintain this run. Meanwhile, the Dragons will be without Francis Molo, who is suspended, and Mikaele Ravalawa, who is also hurt.
The Raiders are also favoured in the betting odds, with a 1.50 chance of winning the game. The home team has covered the line in seven of St. George Illawarra’s last eight games, and the Raiders’ line for this game is set at -6.5. Four of the Dragons’ previous five matches have gone over the 41.5 point line, indicating that there could be plenty of points on offer in this encounter.
The Raiders’ player form also implies that they could win, with Hudson Young and Jack Wighton in strong try-scoring form for the home team. Nick Cotric, who has scored the first try in four of his past eight outings against St. George Illawarra, is another guy to keep an eye on. The Dragons will be hoping that Ben Hunt and Tautau Moga can keep up their recent try-scoring success to help their team win.
Overall, I expect the Canberra Raiders to win in a close game, with a final score of 24-18 in favour of the home team.
Betting Tip: Raiders
Suggested Bet: Raiders WINNING MARGIN 1-12
Eels vs Bulldogs
The Eels and Bulldogs square battle at CommBank Stadium in what promises to be an exciting game this week. On Easter Monday, Parramatta won their second game of the season against the Tigers, while the Bulldogs were crushed by Souths. The Bulldogs’ chances of winning appear dismal after losing one of their main players, Josh Addo-Carr, and having Viliame Kikau out with an injury. The Eels, on the other hand, have just made one alteration, with Junior Paulo returning from suspension, which could raise their chances even further.
In this encounter, history favours the Eels, who have won 10 of their last 14 home games versus Canterbury. Furthermore, Canterbury has failed to cover the line in four of their last five games, significantly reducing their chances of winning. At odds of 1.35, the home team is clearly the favourite, while the Bulldogs are at 3.10.
In terms of player statistics, Maika Sivo, William Penisini, and Clinton Gutherson have all been prolific try scorers for the Eels, with Sivo scoring at least one try in eight of Parramatta’s last nine games as a favourite. Jake Averillo has also been a standout for the Bulldogs, scoring at least one try in three of their previous five games against the Parramatta Eels.
Based on the statistics and recent form, the Eels are likely to win this game handily, probably by a score of 28-12. The Bulldogs’ recent poor form and significant player injuries make matching the Eels’ firepower impossible, making the Eels the clear favourites.
Betting Tip: Eels
Suggested Bet: Eels LINE -9.5
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