State Of Origin 2024 Game 1 Tips

Ben H 4 June 2024Last Updated: 4 June 2024

NRL State of Origin Game 1

Wednesday, June 5, 2024

8:05 PM @ Accor Stadium, Sydney

Wednesday night at Accor Stadium, it’s State of Origin Game 1 with the Blues playing home team against the Maroons at Accor Stadium.

With new coach Michael Maguire at the helm, NSW is looking to break their drought and reclaim the shield. The Blues have thrown in a bunch of fresh faces, hoping a shake-up will turn the tide.

Queensland, under Billy Slater, has been as consistent as a metronome, winning the last two series. Despite missing Cameron Munster, they’ve got Tom Dearden stepping in, and Jaydn Su’A making waves in the lineup.

The Blues, though, are hit with injuries, swapping Dylan Edwards with veteran James Tedesco at the last minute.

Offensive Strength:

  • Blues: 16.0 points per game
  • Maroons: 22.7 points per game

Defensive Strength:

  • Blues: 22.7 points allowed per game
  • Maroons: 16.0 points allowed per game

Head-to-Head Stats:

  • Average Points For Per Match: Blues: 16.0, Maroons: 22.7
  • Average Points Against Per Match: Blues: 22.7, Maroons: 16.0
  • Current Form: Blues: LLWLL, Maroons: WWLWW
  • Current Streak: Blues: W1, Maroons: L1
  • Wins at This Venue: Blues: 19/31 (61%), Maroons: 11/31 (35%)
  • Wins Overall: Blues: 57/129 (44%), Maroons: 70/129 (54%)

The Maroons’ balanced attack and solid defence give them the upper hand, especially with the Blues juggling so many debutants. With the Maroons looking sharp and confident, I’m backing Queensland to take this one.

Outcome Prediction:

  • Final Scores: Blues: 19, Maroons: 28
  • Win Percentages: Blues: 41.2%, Maroons: 58.8%

 

Final Score Prediction: Maroon 28 – 12

SUGGESTED BET
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Maroons
Winning Margin 13+
Odds: $3.75


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OVER/UNDER BET
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OVER 36.5
Odds: $1.90


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OPTIMAL MULTI BET
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Maroons to win by 13+
HT/FT Double Mar/Mar
OVER 36.5
Odds: $7.11


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bet365 Code: KRUZEY

State of Origin Team Lineups

BLUESMAROONS
BACKS
James tedesco1 FULLBACKReece Walsh
Brian To'o2 WINGERXavier Coates
Stephen Crichton3 CENTREValentine Holmes
Joseph-Aukuso Sua'ali'i4 CENTREHamiso Tubuai-Fidow
Zac Lomax5 WINGERMurray Taulagi
Jarome Luai6 FIVE-EIGHTHTom Dearden
Nicholas Hynes7 HALFBACKDaly Cherry-Evans (captain)
FORWARDS
Jake Trbojevic (captain)8 PROPReuben Cotter
Reece Robson9 HOOKERBen Hunt
Payne Haas10 PROPLindsay Collins
Liam Martin11 2ND ROWJaydn Su'A
Angus Crichton12 2ND ROWJeremiah Nanai
Cameron McInnes13 LOCKPatrick Carrigan
INTERCHANGE
Isaah Yeo14 INTERCHANGEHarry Grant
Haumole Olakau'atu15 INTERCHANGEMeoaki Fotuaika
Spencer Leniu16 INTERCHANGEJ'maine Hopgood
Hudson Young17 INTERCHANGESelwyn Cobbo
RESERVES
Matt Burton18 REPLACEMENTFelise Kaufusi
Luke Keary19 RESERVEBrendan Piakura
Mitchell Barnett20 RESERVEEzra Mam
OFFICIALS
ASHLEY KLEINREFEREE
DAVE MUNROTOUCH JUDGE
CHRIS SUTTONTOUCH JUDGE
LIAM KENNEDYSENIOR REVIEW OFFICIAL

Best Picklebet Bets

2+ TRY BET
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QLD Supporter Special
Any 2+ Of Xavier Coates, Murray Taulagi Or Reece Walsh To Score A Try
Odds: $3.00


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WINNING MARGIN BET
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Origin Dominance
Either Team To Win 13+
Odds: $3.00


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2+ TRY BET
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NSW Supporter Special
Any 2+ Of Zac Lomax, Brian To’o Or Stephen Crichton To Score A Try
Odds: $3.00


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FIRST TRY BET
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Wingers Win
Either Brian To’o Or Xavier Coates To Score The FIRST Try
Odds: $5.00


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FIRST TRY BET
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Fullbacks First
Either Reece Walsh Or James Tedesco To Score The FIRST Try
Odds: $7.00


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FIRST TRY BET
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Centre Showdown
Either Stephen Crichton Or Valentine Holmes To Score The FIRST Try
Odds: $8.00


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DOUBLE TRY BET
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Full Back Fillup
Reece Walsh, Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow AND James Tedesco All To Score A Try
Odds: $20.00


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Picklebet Code: KRUZEY

Check out all this weeks NRL Multi Tips on our Multi Bets Page.

Multi Bet Tips

 

State of Origin Odds

If you want to know what this week’s odds are don’t forget to check the State of Origin Odds page.

NRL Draw

Check the NRL Draw for upcoming NRL matches this season.

NRL Injury List

Keep up-to-date with your team’s injuries this week with our NRL injury list.

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We don’t just do NRL tips; our experts also specialise in AFL betting and horse racing tips.

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Ben H
Ben Harris is the Communications Manager for KRUZEY, an AFL and NRL expert, and writer. He has one daughter that he loves dearly and five... [Read full bio]

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