NRL Footy Tips Round 13
Dolphins vs Dragons
Thursday, May 25, 2023
7:50 PM @ Moreton Daily Stadium
The Dolphins are primed to overpower the Dragons. After a fiery defeat to the Storm in Round 12, the Dolphins are all set for a comeback.
A significant boost comes from the return of Mark Nicholls, overcoming a thumb injury, while Kenny Bromwich’s positional shift could bring new dynamics to the game.
The Dolphins have shown their mettle on Queensland soil, winning five of their eight games, and their victory over the Raiders at Kayo Stadium illustrates their adaptability.
In contrast, the Dragons’ away-game record has been subpar, with only one win in their last 20 games outside New South Wales.
Furthermore, the Dragons’ previous encounter with the Dolphins was a defeat, 38-12, marking one of their best performances.
Despite the Dragons having new talent in the form of Jayden Sullivan and a potentially returning Tautau Moga, their overall game record casts a shadow over their prospects.
In light of the analysis, the Dolphins stand as the clear favourites. Considering their previous scores, our prediction is a Dolphins win by a margin of 26-14.
Of course, this could change based on the day’s conditions and the players’ form, but the statistics favour the Dolphins.
Betting Tip: Dolphins
Suggested Bet: Dolphins WINNING MARGIN 1-12
Eels vs Cowboys
Friday, May 26, 2023
8:00 PM @ CommBank Stadium
With the Eels and the Cowboys battling it out, it’s a match that promises to keep us on our toes.
The Cowboys are coming off a losing streak, having lost their last match against the Eels. However, their away game record is promising with five wins out of eight games.
On the other hand, the Eels have a mixed record but have shown strength in recent games.
A crucial factor here is their performance on the back of a win, where they have a strong head-to-head record of 9 wins against 4 losses.
Even though the Eels have been underperforming in terms of betting value in the head-to-head and line markets recently, they have shown a positive return in the ‘Overs’ market, indicating they tend to be involved in high-scoring games.
Conversely, the Cowboys have been struggling in this area with negative returns in all markets except the ‘Unders’ market.
Given these stats, I reckon the Eels have a decent shot at victory, demonstrating a stronger form and resilience.
I’d wager a final score in the vicinity of 24-18 to the Eels, making for a thrilling match and a victory to savour.
Betting Tip: Eels
Suggested Bet: Eels HEAD-to-HEAD
Warriors vs Broncos
Saturday, May 27, 2023
5:30 PM @ McLean Park Napier
Coming off a victorious game against the Bulldogs and a well-timed bye week, the Warriors are stepping onto the field recharged, with key players like Luke Metcalf and Jackson Ford back in the fray.
Their track record reveals a strong hold over the Broncos, having clinched two out of their last three encounters, and an impressive eight out of their past eleven games on home soil.
Meanwhile, despite a robust defence, the Broncos are grappling with losses and injuries.
Their attack has been significantly hampered without their pivotal player, Adam Reynolds. Furthermore, this is their first game in New Zealand since 2019, with more than half of the squad new to the turf.
Given these factors, the Warriors, with their home advantage and rejuvenated line-up, seem to be in a stronger position for the upcoming game. However, in sports, nothing is set in stone.
We anticipate a close and thrilling match, with the Warriors edging out the Broncos in a 20-15 victory.
Betting Tip: Warriors
Suggested Bet: Warriors WINNING MARGIN 1-12
Rabbitohs vs Raiders
Saturday, May 27, 2023
7:35 PM @ Accor Stadium
The Rabbitohs and the Raiders are set to face off this week. The Rabbitohs suffered a recent defeat against the Eels, with a final score of 36-16. Despite this loss, Alex Johnston continued his impressive scoring streak, notching up nine tries over his last four games against the Eels.
On the other hand, the Raiders fell short against the Sea Eagles, losing 42-14, though they have the prospect of Zac Woolford returning from a head knock.
With both teams coming off losses, it’s a chance for redemption.
With the return of key forwards Tom Burgess, Shaquai Mitchell, and Jed Cartwright, the Rabbitohs show strong promise.
In contrast, the Raiders, still reeling from their loss, may struggle to find their footing.
Considering these factors, the Rabbitohs seem more likely to secure a win, with a predicted score of 28-18.
Betting Tip: Rabbitohs
Suggested Bet: Rabbitohs WINNING MARGIN 1-12
Knights vs Sea Eagles
Sunday, May 28, 2023
4:05 PM @ McDonald Jones Stadium
Based on the data analysed from the upcoming Knights vs Sea Eagles game, it appears that the Knights are more likely to secure the win. This is because the Knights are fresh, with key players like Kalyn Ponga and Dane Gagai on the field, not distracted by Origin duties. This stands in contrast to the Sea Eagles, who will miss vital players like Tom Trbojevic and Daly Cherry-Evans due to Origin commitments.
Moreover, the Knights are eager for redemption, following their previous loss to the Sharks. With Ponga returning to fullback, the Knights’ playmaking potential is notably amplified. In contrast, the Sea Eagles have to rely on Cooper Johns to fill the void left by Cherry-Evans in the halves, an unproven substitution.
The match odds favour the Knights, suggesting a higher confidence in their performance. However, considering the strength and form of both teams, a realistic scoreline could be a close 26-20 victory for the Knights.
Considering all this, it’s reasonable to back the Knights for this contest.
Betting Tip: Knights
Suggested Bet: Knights HEAD-to-HEAD
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NRL Injury List
Keep up-to-date with your team’s injuries this week with our NRL injury list.