AFL Betting Tips Round 9

Last Updated on 10 May 2024

AFL Footy Tips Round 9

 

Blues vs Demons

Thursday, May 9, 2024

7:30 PM @ MCG, Melbourne

This Thursday night at the MCG, Carlton and Melbourne reignite their rivalry in a top-eight clash that’s set to sizzle. The Blues are aiming to bounce back from a narrow loss, while the Demons look to extend their winning streak.

Head-to-Head Stats:

• Carlton holds the higher scoring average this season at 97.6 points per game, while Melbourne trails with 82.4.
• Defensively, the Demons have been rock-solid, conceding only 66.3 points on average per game compared to the Blues’ 88.9.
• In their last five encounters, the Demons lead 3-2, with the most recent being a thrilling 73-71 victory by Carlton in the 2023 semi-final.

Carlton’s inconsistency, with a current form of W-L-W-L-L, puts Melbourne at an advantage. The Demons, powered by Clayton Oliver’s strong form, should rely on their formidable defence to contain Carlton’s scoring threats and secure a win. Melbourne is expected to maintain their defensive end and edge the Blues, we’re expecting a final score of Demons 83-79.

Betting Tip: Melbourne Demons

Suggested Bet: Demons to win by 1-39 @ $2.30 with Neds

Over/Under Bet: UNDER 165.5 @ $1.88 with Neds

 

 

Cats vs Power

Friday, May 10, 2024

7:10 PM @ GMHBA Stadium, Geelong

Friday night at GMHBA Stadium, it’s Geelong and Port Adelaide ready to square off in a crucial Round 9 encounter. With both teams seeking to solidify their top-eight standing, this promises to be a game with more tension than a tightrope.

Key Head-to-Head Stats:

• The Cats hold a narrow lead in points scored this season, averaging 94.9 compared to the Power’s 89.9.
• Geelong’s defence has been tighter, conceding just 73.3 points per match while Port Adelaide leaks 79.5.
• Port Adelaide has a higher winning margin (32.4 vs. 25.9) and better form for comebacks.

Despite the Power’s edge in winning margins, the Cats’ stronger defence and reliable scoring are likely to give them the upper hand at home. Geelong’s historical success at GMHBA Stadium should play a pivotal role in securing another win over Port Adelaide, extending their impressive head-to-head record. Expect the Cats to claw their way over the line and keep the crowd roaring with a final score around 98-76.

Betting Tip: Geelong Cats

Suggested Bet: Cats to win by 1-39 @ $2.10 with Neds

Over/Under Bet: OVER 171.5 @ $1.88 with Neds

 

 

Dockers vs Swans

Friday, May 10, 2024

8:30 PM @ Optus Stadium, Perth

Friday night at Optus Stadium, Fremantle and Sydney are set to square off where the Dockers will be looking to clip the wings of the Swannies and keep them grounded. Fremantle will be looking to maintain their home-ground advantage, while the Swans aim to extend their winning streak.

Key Head-to-Head Stats:

• The Swans have won four of their last five encounters with the Dockers, including a 105-76 win in Perth last year.
• Sydney averages 103.3 points per game this season, whereas Fremantle averages just 82.0.
• Defensively, Fremantle concedes 68.0 points per match, compared to Sydney’s 70.3.

With their high-scoring attack and recent form, the Swans appear set to edge Fremantle even away from home. Their superior scoring and strong midfield should help them cover the -13.5 point spread. Expect the Dockers to push back with their defence, but the Swans have the offensive edge to keep their winning streak alive, this one is going to be close, but we see the Dockers taking the lead at the final siren 79-78.

Betting Tip: Fremantle Dockers

Suggested Bet: Dockers to win by 1-39 @ $2.65 with Neds

Over/Under Bet: UNDER 159.5 @ $1.88 with Neds

 

 

Hawks vs Saints

Saturday, May 11, 2024

1:45 PM @ University of Tasmania Stadium, Launceston

This Saturday afternoon at University of Tasmania Stadium, Hawthorn hosts St Kilda. With both teams eager to climb the ladder, expect a clash more heated than a summer’s day.

Key Head-to-Head Stats:

• St Kilda has won the last two encounters, including a close 88-78 victory in Round 11 last year.
• Hawthorn averages 71.5 points per game this season while conceding 96.1, whereas the Saints score 76.8 on average and concede 79.6.
• The Saints have a 33.3% comeback rate after trailing at halftime, while the Hawks are at 0%.

Given the Saints’ offensive edge and the Hawks’ struggles to close games, St Kilda is likely to win this contest 75-74.

Betting Tip: Saints

Suggested Bet: Saints to win by 1-39 @ $2.10 with Neds

Over/Under Bet: UNDER 158.5 @ $1.88 with Neds

 

 

Bombers vs Giants

Saturday, May 11, 2024

4:35 PM @ Marvel Stadium, Melbourne

This Saturday afternoon at Marvel Stadium, Essendon and GWS Giants face off in a crucial Round 9 AFL encounter. With both teams eyeing a top-four finish, expect an intense battle for supremacy.

Key Head-to-Head Stats:

• GWS holds a stronger recent record, winning three of the last five encounters, including a 36-point victory last year.
• The Giants average 102.5 points per match this season, while Essendon trails with 82.1.
• Defensively, GWS concedes only 81.1 points on average compared to the Bombers’ 86.3.

GWS comes in as clear favourites given their recent form and strong attack. Expect the Giants to maintain their dominance, leveraging their high-scoring ability and solid defence to secure a convincing win over Essendon Giants win 90-85.

Betting Tip: GWS Giants

Suggested Bet: Giants to win by 1-39 @ $2.25 with Neds

Over/Under Bet: UNDER 178.5 @ $1.88 with Neds

 

 

Tigers vs Bulldogs

Saturday, May 11, 2024

7:30 PM @ MCG, Melbourne

This Saturday night at the MCG, Richmond and Western Bulldogs square off with both teams looking to lock jaws and see who has the bigger bite. Both teams are desperate to climb the ladder, but the Dogs have been the more consistent unit this season.

Key Head-to-Head Stats:

• The Bulldogs average 91.1 points per game, while the Tigers trail with 67.0.
• The Dogs also have a stronger defensive record, conceding only 81.8 points compared to Richmond’s 93.5.
• In their last encounter, the Dogs won 126-71, continuing a winning streak against the Tigers.

Given the Bulldogs’ higher average points scored and their consistent defensive pressure, they are favourites to edge out the Tigers. Expect the Bulldogs to cover the spread, leveraging their superior goal accuracy and solid midfield to deliver a convincing victory 95-77.

Betting Tip: Western Bulldogs

Suggested Bet: Bulldogs to win by 1-39 @ $2.05 with Neds

Over/Under Bet: OVER 167.5 @ $1.88 with Neds

 

 

Suns vs Kangaroos

Saturday, May 11, 2024

7:30 PM @ TIO Stadium, Darwin

This Saturday at TIO Stadium in Darwin, the Gold Coast Suns will take on the Kangaroos in a match where the Suns are looking to shine so bright the Roos won’t be able to see the goal posts from the glare.

Key Head-to-Head Stats:

• The Suns have won their last four encounters with North Melbourne, including a 97-54 win in their most recent clash.
• Gold Coast averages 79.8 points per game this season while conceding 83.3, while the Kangaroos score only 69.9 and concede a whopping 120.6.
• The Suns are less accurate with their kicks, with a 57.5% goal accuracy compared to North Melbourne’s 66.7%.

The Suns’ stronger form, and tighter defence suggest they will keep the Kangaroos at bay once again. Expect the Suns to extend their winning streak with a comfortable victory over a struggling North Melbourne side 106-68.

Betting Tip: Gold Coast Suns

Suggested Bet: Total points OVER 169.5 @ $1.88 with Neds

Over/Under Bet: OVER 169.5 @ $1.88 with Neds

 

 

Magpies vs Eagles

Sunday, May 12, 2024

1:00 PM @ Marvel Stadium, Melbourne

Sunday afternoon at Marvel Stadium, Collingwood hosts the West Coast Eagles. The Magpies are aiming to strengthen their top-eight position while the Eagles are keen to well… just get some more points on the board.

Key Head-to-Head Stats:

• Collingwood has dominated recent encounters, winning four of their last five meetings, including a 78-point thrashing in 2023.
• The Magpies average 86.5 points per match, significantly higher than the Eagles’ 72.6.
• Defensively, Collingwood concedes 87.4 points per game, better than the Eagles’ 95.6.

Given Collingwood’s superior offensive record and their strong defensive line, the Magpies are set to outplay the Eagles and secure a convincing win. They’re expected to win by at least 20-30 points, with their offense and home-ground advantage making them clear favourites, we’re tipping a healthy win of 102-68.

Betting Tip: Collingwood Magpies

Suggested Bet: Magpies to win by 1-39 @ $2.40 with Neds

Over/Under Bet: UNDER 172.5 @ $1.88 with Neds

 

 

Crows vs Lions

Sunday, May 12, 2024

4:00 PM @ Adelaide Oval, Adelaide

Sunday afternoon at Adelaide Oval, the Adelaide Crows face the Brisbane Lions in a battle where both teams seek crucial points to climb the ladder.

Key Head-to-Head Stats:

• Adelaide has won their last two encounters with Brisbane, including a 95-78 win at home last year.
• The Crows average 77.4 points per game while conceding 76.0, compared to the Lions’ 74.5 points for and 74.3 against.
• Adelaide boasts a 100% reliability rate when leading at halftime, whereas Brisbane’s choke rate sits at 40%.

Given Adelaide’s strong head-to-head record and their higher reliability, expect the Crows to edge out the Lions at home. With accurate goal-kicking and solid defence, Adelaide should maintain their winning streak only by a whisker 79-78.

Betting Tip: Adelaide Crows

Suggested Bet: Crows to win by 1-39 @ $2.25 with Neds

Over/Under Bet: UNDER 167.5 @ $1.88 with Neds

 

 

This week’s AFL Multi

• Geelong Cats
• Western Bulldogs
• Gold Coast Suns
• Collingwood Magpies

Take Bet: $2.13 with  Ladbrokes

 

Check out this all of week’s AFL multi tips on our Multi Bets Page.

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