AFL Betting Tips Round 15

AFL Expert Tips Round 15

 

Carlton Blues vs Geelong Cats

Friday, June 21, 2024

7:40 PM @ MCG, Melbourne

It’s Friday night lights at the G, and the Blues are squaring off against the Cats. Carlton’s riding high with a three-game winning streak, looking slicker than a greased weasel, while Geelong’s coming off a loss, licking their wounds like a cat caught in the rain.

Head-to-Head Stats:

• Average Points For Per Match: Carlton Blues: 94.5, Geelong Cats: 93.0
• Average Points Against Per Match: Carlton Blues: 86.0, Geelong Cats: 85.4
• Current Streak: Carlton Blues: W3, Geelong Cats: L1
• Current Form: Carlton Blues: WLWWW, Geelong Cats: LLLWL
• Goal Accuracy For: Carlton Blues: 62.2%, Geelong Cats: 64.2%
• Goal Accuracy Against: Carlton Blues: 61.4%, Geelong Cats: 58.8%
• Tackles Inside 50: Carlton Blues: 13.3 AVG, Geelong Cats: 9.8 AVG
• Efficiency Inside 50: Carlton Blues: 50.4%, Geelong Cats: 47.3%
• Contested Possessions: Carlton Blues: 139.2 AVG, Geelong Cats: 135.7 AVG
• Marks: Carlton Blues: 92.5 AVG, Geelong Cats: 81.5 AVG

Outcome Prediction:

• Final Scores: Carlton Blues 94, Geelong Cats 85
• Win Percentages: Carlton Blues: 59.11%, Geelong Cats: 39.84%

Carlton’s got the edge in tackles inside 50, averaging 13.3 compared to Geelong’s 9.8. That’s the kind of pressure that makes a forward line sweat bullets. The Cats, though, are no slouches, boasting a higher goal accuracy – they can split the sticks like no other.

With both teams almost neck and neck in scoring averages, it’s like watching two blokes arm-wrestle after a few pints. But, with the Blues’ current form and their edge in tight spots at the G, Carlton’s looking to sneak this weeks win.

Final Score Prediction: Blues 94-85

Suggested Betting Tip: Blues to win by 1-39 @ $2.05 with Neds

OVER/UNDER Bet: TBC @ $1.88 with Neds

 

Port Adelaide Power vs Brisbane Lions

Saturday, June 22, 2024

1:45 PM @ Adelaide Oval, Adelaide

This Saturday arvo at the Adelaide Oval, it’s Port Adelaide Power up against the Brisbane Lions. The Power, fresh off two losses, are as desperate for a win as a koala searching for water in a drought, while the Lions are roaring in with two straight victories.

Head-to-Head Stats:

• Average Points For Per Match: Port Adelaide Power: 86.8, Brisbane Lions: 89.5
• Average Points Against Per Match: Port Adelaide Power: 79.8, Brisbane Lions: 77.3
• Current Streak: Port Adelaide Power: L2, Brisbane Lions: W2
• Current Form: Port Adelaide Power: WWWLL, Brisbane Lions: DWLWW
• Goal Accuracy For: Port Adelaide Power: 51.3%, Brisbane Lions: 56.6%
• Goal Accuracy Against: Port Adelaide Power: 59.0%, Brisbane Lions: 61.3%
• Tackles Inside 50: Port Adelaide Power: 14 AVG, Brisbane Lions: 11.8 AVG
• Efficiency Inside 50: Port Adelaide Power: 52.6%, Brisbane Lions: 46.5%
• Contested Possessions: Port Adelaide Power: 128.3 AVG, Brisbane Lions: 132.4 AVG
• Marks: Port Adelaide Power: 92.3 AVG, Brisbane Lions: 111.7 AVG

Outcome Prediction:

• Final Scores: Port Adelaide Power 85, Brisbane Lions 84
• Win Percentages: Port Adelaide Power: 50.78%, Brisbane Lions: 48.11%

Port Adelaide’s tackling inside 50 is a sight to behold – averaging 14 a game, it’s like they’ve got Velcro on their hands. The Lions, though, are no pushovers with their deadly goal accuracy sitting pretty at 56.6%. Both teams are neck and neck in terms of scoring, but the Lions have a slight edge in overall form and head-to-head matchups this season.

While the Lions will bring their A-game, the Power having the home field advantage may just tip the scales just in their favour.

Final Score Prediction: Power 85-84

Suggested Betting Tip: Power to win by 1-39 @ $2.05 with Neds

OVER/UNDER Bet: TBC @ $1.88 with Neds

 

 

GWS Giants vs Sydney Swans

Saturday, June 22, 2024

4:35 PM @ ENGIE Stadium, Sydney

This Saturday at ENGIE Stadium, the GWS Giants clash with the titans of Sydney in a game that’s going to be hotter than a jalapeño. The Giants have been all over the shop lately, but the Swans are flying high with nine wins on the trot.

Head-to-Head Stats:

• Average Points For Per Match: GWS Giants: 88.8, Sydney Swans: 104.1
• Average Points Against Per Match: GWS Giants: 77.8, Sydney Swans: 69.5
• Current Streak: GWS Giants: W1, Sydney Swans: W9
• Current Form: GWS Giants: LLWLW, Sydney Swans: WWWWW
• Goal Accuracy For: GWS Giants: 60.8%, Sydney Swans: 60.1%
• Goal Accuracy Against: GWS Giants: 52.6%, Sydney Swans: 53.4%
• Tackles Inside 50: GWS Giants: 10.8 AVG, Sydney Swans: 10.4 AVG
• Efficiency Inside 50: GWS Giants: 49.2%, Sydney Swans: 50.1%
• Contested Possessions: GWS Giants: 136.8 AVG, Sydney Swans: 132 AVG
• Marks: GWS Giants: 90.5 AVG, Sydney Swans: 96.8 AVG

Outcome Prediction:

• Final Scores: GWS Giants 82, Sydney Swans 93
• Win Percentages: GWS Giants: 37.53%, Sydney Swans: 61.32%

The Giants are no slouches in contested possessions, averaging 136.8, but the Swans’ efficiency inside 50 at 50.1% (even though ever so slightly higher than the Giants) means they don’t waste opportunities – they’re as sharp as a tack. The Swans’ scoring power is off the charts, averaging 104.1 points per match compared to the Giants’ 88.8.

Despite the Giants’ fierce tackling inside 50 and their solid form at home, the Swans’ offense and defense skills makes them the team to beat. There’s going to be more fireworks than New Year’s Eve, but the Swans are tipped to soar.

Final Score Prediction: Swans 93-82

Suggested Betting Tip: Swans to win by 1-39 @ $2.05 with Neds

OVER/UNDER Bet: TBC @ $1.88 with Neds

 

 

Melbourne Demons vs North Melbourne Kangaroos

Saturday, June 22, 2024

7:30 PM @ MCG, Melbourne

Saturday night at the G, it’s the Demons taking on the Kangaroos. The Demons, despite a couple of recent stumbles, are gearing up to bounce back harder than a kangaroo on a trampoline (and these roos are gonna be bouncing).

Head-to-Head Stats:

• Average Points For Per Match: Melbourne Demons: 77.3, North Melbourne Kangaroos: 70.5
• Average Points Against Per Match: Melbourne Demons: 77.2, North Melbourne Kangaroos: 114.0
• Current Streak: Melbourne Demons: L2, North Melbourne Kangaroos: L1
• Current Form: Melbourne Demons: LLWLL, North Melbourne Kangaroos: LLLWL
• Goal Accuracy For: Melbourne Demons: 54.8%, North Melbourne Kangaroos: 66.3%
• Goal Accuracy Against: Melbourne Demons: 59.1%, North Melbourne Kangaroos: 60.3%
• Tackles Inside 50: Melbourne Demons: 10.8 AVG, North Melbourne Kangaroos: 7.8 AVG
• Efficiency Inside 50: Melbourne Demons: 47.4%, North Melbourne Kangaroos: 42.8%
• Contested Possessions: Melbourne Demons: 129.1 AVG, North Melbourne Kangaroos: 125 AVG
• Marks: Melbourne Demons: 97.3 AVG, North Melbourne Kangaroos: 88.6 AVG

Outcome Prediction:

• Final Scores: Melbourne Demons 107, North Melbourne Kangaroos 58
• Win Percentages: Melbourne Demons: 91.85%, North Melbourne Kangaroos: 7.75%

Melbourne’s got the edge in just about every stat that matters – they average more disposals, inside 50s, and marks. The Demons’ defence is pretty solid, conceding only 77.2 points per game, while the Roos have been giving away goals like a local pub raffle, averaging 114 points against.

North’s goal accuracy might be better, but their inside 50 efficiency is lagging, meaning they often waste their chances. The Kangaroos’ form has been rockier than a billy cart on a gravel road, with Melbourne tipped to take this one comfortably.

Final Score Prediction: Demons 107-58

Suggested Betting Tip: Demons to win by 40+ @ $2.05 with Neds

OVER/UNDER Bet: TBC @ $1.88 with Neds

 

 

Essendon Bombers vs West Coast Eagles

Sunday, June 23, 2024

1:00 PM @ Marvel Stadium, Melbourne

Sunday arvo at Marvel Stadium, it’s the Bombers versus the Eagles, and the Bombers are about to show them why they are the bigger bird in the sky. Essendon’s been on a bit of a rollercoaster ride, but they’ve got more ups than downs lately. The Eagles, meanwhile, have been flapping about like a chook without a head, struggling to find any form.

Head-to-Head Stats:

• Average Points For Per Match: Essendon Bombers: 83.2, West Coast Eagles: 68.8
• Average Points Against Per Match: Essendon Bombers: 83.0, West Coast Eagles: 94.7
• Current Streak: Essendon Bombers: L2, West Coast Eagles: L3
• Current Form: Essendon Bombers: WWWLL, West Coast Eagles: LWLLL
• Goal Accuracy For: Essendon Bombers: 57.4%, West Coast Eagles: 54.2%
• Goal Accuracy Against: Essendon Bombers: 58.8%, West Coast Eagles: 58.8%
• Tackles Inside 50: Essendon Bombers: 11.2 AVG, West Coast Eagles: 9 AVG
• Efficiency Inside 50: Essendon Bombers: 44.6%, West Coast Eagles: 47.7%
• Contested Possessions: Essendon Bombers: 131.1 AVG, West Coast Eagles: 125.6 AVG
• Marks: Essendon Bombers: 94 AVG, West Coast Eagles: 84.5 AVG

Outcome Prediction:

• Final Scores: Essendon Bombers 95, West Coast Eagles 64
• Win Percentages: Essendon Bombers: 81.93%, West Coast Eagles: 17.29%

Essendon’s disposal efficiency is top-notch at 73.3%, making them as smooth as a cold beer on a hot day. Their tackling inside 50 is also impressive, averaging 11.2, while the Eagles lag behind at 9.0. The Bombers are putting up 83.2 points per game, compared to the Eagles’ 68.8 – a gap wider than the Nullarbor.

Despite both teams hitting a rough patch recently, the Bombers’ overall stats, form, home field advantage and mental game give them the edge.

Final Score Prediction: Bombers 95-64

Suggested Betting Tip: Bombers to win by 1-39 @ $2.05 with Neds

OVER/UNDER Bet: TBC @ $1.88 with Neds

 

 

Fremantle Dockers vs Gold Coast Suns

Sunday, June 23, 2024

4:00 PM @ Optus Stadium, Perth

Sunday arvo at Optus Stadium, it’s the Dockers versus the Suns. Fremantle’s been a bit hit-and-miss lately, like a blindfolded uncle with a piñata, while the Suns are glimmering with potential despite their inconsistency.

Head-to-Head Stats:

• Average Points For Per Match: Fremantle Dockers: 81.9, Gold Coast Suns: 87.2
• Average Points Against Per Match: Fremantle Dockers: 73.8, Gold Coast Suns: 80.8
• Current Streak: Fremantle Dockers: L1, Gold Coast Suns: L1
• Current Form: Fremantle Dockers: LWDWL, Gold Coast Suns: WWLWL
• Goal Accuracy For: Fremantle Dockers: 55.0%, Gold Coast Suns: 61.9%
• Goal Accuracy Against: Fremantle Dockers: 54.2%, Gold Coast Suns: 60.3%
• Tackles Inside 50: Fremantle Dockers: 10.9 AVG, Gold Coast Suns: 11 AVG
• Efficiency Inside 50: Fremantle Dockers: 51%, Gold Coast Suns: 42.7%
• Contested Possessions: Fremantle Dockers: 125.3 AVG, Gold Coast Suns: 134 AVG
• Marks: Fremantle Dockers: 97.8 AVG, Gold Coast Suns: 87 AVG

Outcome Prediction:

• Final Scores: Fremantle Dockers 87, Gold Coast Suns 67
• Win Percentages: Fremantle Dockers: 72.14%, Gold Coast Suns: 26.91%

The Dockers’ defence is solid, conceding just 73.8 points per game. But the Suns, with their impressive goal accuracy at 61.9%, are no pushovers and can light up the scoreboard quicker than a rabbit in spring. Fremantle’s efficiency inside 50 at 51% is better than Gold Coast’s 42.7%, meaning they make their chances count.

It’s going to be a slugfest, with both teams having their moments. The Dockers’ home ground advantage and solid form in tight matches give them the edge, we’re expecting a margin of around 20 points but this could easily be closers than a Bilby’s butt.

Final Score Prediction: Dockers 87-67

Suggested Betting Tip: Dockers to win by 1-39 @ $2.05 with Neds

OVER/UNDER Bet: TBC @ $1.88 with Neds

 

 

Byes

• Adelaide Crows
• Collingwood Magpies
• Western Bulldogs
• Hawthorn Hawks
• St Kilda Saints
• Richmond Tigers

This week’s AFL Multi

• Blues
• Swans
• Demons
• Bombers
• Dockers

Take Bet: $4.44 with  Ladbrokes

Check out all of this week’s AFL multi tips on our Multi Bets Page.

 

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