NRL Betting Tips Round 11

Ben H / 11 May 2023

NRL Footy Tips Round 11

Storm vs Broncos

The Brisbane Broncos are set to face the Melbourne Storm in a thrilling Round 11 matchup.

Despite their winless record against the Storm since 2016, the Broncos are currently on top of the ladder and look poised to break the 12-match losing streak against the storm.

Coming off a resounding 32-6 victory over Manly, they’ll be keen to maintain their undefeated away record.

The Storm, however, shouldn’t be underestimated.

They’ve shown dominance in recent encounters with Brisbane, covering the line in 10 of their last 11 matches.

Their team remains unchanged, and key players like Cameron Munster and Jahrome Hughes have consistently scored against the Broncos.

That being said, the Broncos’ Herbie Farnworth and Selwyn Cobbo have also displayed strong performances in recent games.

In what promises to be a high-scoring affair, with the total match points line set at over 41.5, this game is too close to call.

Ultimately, the Broncos’ current form and determination to break the losing streak give them a slight edge.

Expect a nail-biting finish with the Broncos clinching a victory with a scoreline of 24-20.

Betting Tip: Broncos

Suggested Bet: Broncos WINNING MARGIN 1-12

 

Bulldogs vs Warriors

In a clash between two teams seeking redemption after Magic Round, the Canterbury Bulldogs face the New Zealand Warriors on Friday evening.

The Warriors have the historical advantage, having won their last five encounters against the Bulldogs, including a narrow 16-14 victory earlier this season.

Returning Bulldogs player Josh Addo-Carr may play a key role in turning the tide, with a history of scoring tries against the Warriors.

However, the Warriors’ Addin Fonua-Blake and Wayde Egan have shown strong form lately, and Dallin Watene-Zelezniak’s success at Accor Stadium may prove influential.

Taking into account Canterbury’s poor record in covering the line in recent Friday matches and the tendency for high-scoring games at Accor Stadium, the Warriors appear to have the upper hand.

With both teams hungry for a win, this match is likely to be a thrilling contest.

Expect a hard-fought battle with the New Zealand Warriors emerging victorious, 28-22.

Betting Tip: Warriors

Suggested Bet: Warriors WINNING MARGIN 1-12

 

Panthers vs Roosters

In a showdown between two top-eight teams, the Penrith Panthers take on the Sydney Roosters, with Penrith keen to commemorate the 20th anniversary of their 2003 Grand Final triumph.

The Panthers have dominated the Roosters in recent years, boasting six consecutive victories.

Although both teams have had their share of inconsistency, Penrith managed an 18-6 win against the Warriors in Magic Round, while the Roosters suffered a loss to the Cowboys.

The Panthers have Stephen Crichton and Brian To’o in good form, and Tyrone Peachey has a history of scoring tries against the Roosters at home.

However, the Roosters’ Sitili Tupouniua and Brandon Smith have been scoring tries during away games, and the Panthers have struggled to cover the line in their last four matches.

Considering the Roosters’ tendency to play low-scoring night games and the Panthers’ recent close night match results, this game will be a tightly contested affair.

Expect the Penrith Panthers to edge out the Sydney Roosters in a thrilling match, with a final score of 20-16.

Betting Tip: Panthers

Suggested Bet: Panthers WINNING MARGIN 13+

 

Rabbitohs vs Wests Tigers

The Wests Tigers, striving for their third consecutive win, face the formidable South Sydney Rabbitohs on Saturday afternoon.

Despite recent improvements, the Tigers have a challenging task ahead, as the Rabbitohs have claimed five straight victories, including a stunning 28-12 win against the Storm.

Historically, the Tigers’ record against the Rabbitohs is not in their favor, having won only one of their last six meetings.

The Rabbitohs, on the other hand, have covered the line in their last five matches and have a strong record at Accor Stadium, with high-scoring games being the norm.

Key players like Cody Walker and Isaiah Tass for the Rabbitohs, and Starford Toa and David Nofoaluma for the Tigers, are expected to make an impact on the game.

However, given the Rabbitohs’ recent form, especially in day matches, they hold the advantage in this contest.

Anticipate a high-scoring match with the South Sydney Rabbitohs emerging victorious over the Wests Tigers with a final score of 34-18.

Betting Tip: Rabbitohs

Suggested Bet: Rabbitohs WINNING MARGIN 13+

 

Cowboys vs Dragons

In a contest between two teams with contrasting fortunes, the North Queensland Cowboys take on the struggling St. George Illawarra Dragons.

The Dragons have lost their last five matches, with each game being decided by a margin of 6 points or less.

On the other hand, the Cowboys have had some success with players like Murray Taulagi and Reece Robson excelling in night matches at Queensland Country Bank Stadium.

Despite their recent losses, the Dragons have consistently covered the line as underdogs, and their games tend to have a low-scoring outcome.

Key players like Mikaele Ravalawa, Kyle Feldt, and Ben Murdoch-Masila could prove vital in determining the match result.

Considering the Dragons’ fighting spirit in recent games and the Cowboys’ home advantage, this match is expected to be closely contested.

However, the North Queensland Cowboys should capitalize on the Dragons’ recent slump and secure a narrow victory with a final score of 22-16.

Betting Tip: Cowboys

Suggested Bet: Cowboys HEAD-to-HEAD

 

Raiders vs Eels

The Parramatta Eels face the Canberra Raiders in what promises to be a thrilling NRL encounter.

The Eels have a strong recent record against the Raiders, winning five of their last six matches, while their away games have consistently produced high-scoring outcomes.

The Raiders, on the other hand, have struggled to cover the line as favourites following a win.

Key players, such as Jordan Rapana and Hudson Young for the Raiders, and Clinton Gutherson, William Penisini, and Maika Sivo for the Eels, are expected to make significant contributions to the match.

Despite the Eels’ strong head-to-head record, the recent form of both teams suggests a closely contested game.

Considering the Eels’ ability to rack up points in away matches and the recent history of close games for the Raiders, this match will likely be a high-scoring affair.

Expect the Parramatta Eels to edge out the Canberra Raiders in a tight contest, with a final score of 28-24.

Betting Tip: Eels

Suggested Bet: Eels WINNING MARGIN 1-12

 

Knights vs Titans

In a highly anticipated NRL game, the Newcastle Knights take on the Gold Coast Titans.

The home team has emerged victorious in each of the last 11 matches between these two sides, giving the Knights a psychological edge.

Additionally, Newcastle has covered the line in five of their last six matches, while ten of their last 13 games at McDonald Jones Stadium have gone over the total match points line.

Despite the Titans’ recent success, including back-to-back wins, their historical record at Newcastle is less impressive.

The Knights, on the other hand, have won three of their last four matches at home and are eager to bounce back from recent defeats.

Considering the home advantage and the Knights’ strong record against the Titans, expect Newcastle to claim victory in a high-scoring encounter.

A realistic final score would be 30-24 in favour of the Knights.

Betting Tip: Knights

Suggested Bet: Knights WINNING MARGIN 1-12

 

Sea Eagles vs Sharks

In an exciting matchup between the Cronulla Sharks and Manly Sea Eagles, both teams are coming off disappointing losses at Magic Round.

However, the Sharks have an impressive record of winning each of their last nine matches as a favourite after losing as a favourite, and they have covered the line in their last four encounters against Manly.

The Sharks’ recent history against Manly also supports their chances, with three wins in their last four meetings, including a convincing 40-6 victory at 4 Pines Park last year.

Additionally, ten of Cronulla’s last 12 matches have gone over the total match points line.

Taking into account Cronulla’s strong performance as a favourite and their recent dominance over Manly, expect the Sharks to secure a victory in a high-scoring game.

A realistic final score prediction would be Cronulla Sharks 34, Manly Sea Eagles 24.

Betting Tip: Sharks

Suggested Bet: Sharks WINNING MARGIN 1-12

 

This Weeks NRL Multi

  • Broncos
  • Warriors
  • Cowboys
  • Eels
  • Knights

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NRL Draw

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Ben H
Ben Harris is the Communications Manager for KRUZEY, an AFL expert, and writer. He has one daughter that he loves dearly and four children's books... [Read full bio]

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