NRL Betting Tips Round 11

Ben H / 13 May 2024

Last Updated on 16 May 2024

NRL Footy Tips Round 11

Raiders vs Bulldogs

Friday, May 17, 2024

6:00 PM @ Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Magic Round’s opener is set to sizzle as the Raiders take on the Bulldogs at Suncorp. The Raiders, fresh off a bye and a dramatic comeback against Manly, sit at 7th, while the Bulldogs, despite a valiant effort against Penrith, are eyeing the top eight.

The Bulldogs’ defence has been solid, holding the reigning premiers to just 16 points. However, the Raiders welcome Jordan Rapana back at fullback, bolstering their attack.

Here’s the lowdown:

  • Raiders’ average points per match: 21.1
  • Bulldogs’ average points per match: 19.3
  • Raiders haven’t lost after leading at half-time this season

Look for the Raiders to edge this one out, 21-19. Get ready for a barnburner.

Betting Tip: Canberra Raiders

Suggested Bet: Raiders to win by 1-12 @ $3.35 with Bet365

Over/Under Bet: TBC @ $UNDER 42 @ $1.90 with Bet365

 

Sea Eagles vs Broncos

Friday, May 17, 2024

8:05 PM @ Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Friday night at Suncorp is set to be a ripper as the Sea Eagles clash with the Broncos. Manly’s been struggling, blowing double-digit leads in their last two games. Tom Trbojevic is out, replaced by Tolutau Koula, while Haumole Olakau’atu returns. The Broncos, fresh off a convincing win over Parramatta, are in top form.

Key head-to-head stats:

  • Broncos lead Magic Round head-to-head 3-1
  • Sea Eagles average 26.1 points per game
  • Broncos average 26.4 points per game
  • Broncos’ aggregate score over last two Magic Round games: 70-6

Expect a good game with the Broncos dominating at home, 34-6.

Betting Tip: Brisbane Broncos

Suggested Bet: Broncos to win by 13+ @ $2.05 with Bet365

Over/Under Bet: UNDER 48.5 @ $1.90 with Bet365

 

Titans vs Knights

Saturday, May 18, 2024

3:00 PM @ Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Saturday afternoon at Suncorp sees the Titans clashing with the Knights. Fresh from a 20-18 victory over the Cowboys, the Titans are riding high despite significant injuries. Meanwhile, the Knights are on a roll, chasing their fourth win on the trot after toppling the Tigers.

Key head-to-head stats:

  • Titans have won 2 games this season.
  • Knights boast a 50% win rate.
  • Titans concede an average of 27.1 points per game.
  • Knights have a strong second-half performance rate (83.3% when leading at halftime).

Expect the Knights to edge out the Titans 20-16.

Betting Tip: Newcastle Knights

Suggested Bet: Knights to win by 1-12 @ $2.85 with Bet365

Over/Under Bet: UNDER 45.5 @ $1.90 with Bet365

 

Sharks vs Roosters

Saturday, May 18, 2024

5:30 PM @ Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Saturday night at Suncorp, the Sharks face the Roosters in what promises to be a belter. The Sharks, riding high after a win over Melbourne, welcome back Nicho Hynes, boosting their already solid form. Meanwhile, the Roosters are no pushovers, boasting the top-ranked attack and a strong defence.

Key head-to-head stats:

  • Sharks have an 89% win rate this season.
  • Roosters have won 3 on the trot, scoring 38+ each game.
  • Sharks average 27.1 points per game, conceding just 14.2.
  • Roosters average 29.6 points per game, conceding 18.1.

Expect a tight contest, with the Sharks edging it 24-22.

Betting Tip: Cronulla Sharks

Suggested Bet: Sharks to win by 1-12 @ $3.35 with Bet365

Over/Under Bet: OVER 41.5 @ $1.85 with Bet365

 

Rabbitohs vs Cowboys

Saturday, May 18, 2024

7:45 PM @ Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Saturday night at Suncorp Stadium, the Rabbitohs and Cowboys square off in a clash of the struggling sides. Souths, unbeaten in Magic Round history, are eager to turn around a dismal run of form, winning just 5 of their last 22. The Cowboys, too, are in a slump, losing five straight after a strong start to the season.

Key head-to-head stats:

  • Rabbitohs average 15.6 points per game, conceding 35.6.
  • Cowboys average 24.7 points per game, conceding 26.5.
  • Souths are 4-0 in Magic Round history.
  • Both teams on a five-game losing streak.

Expect the Cowboys to edge out the Rabbitohs 24-16.

Betting Tip: North Queensland Cowboys

Suggested Bet: Cowboys to win by 13+ @ $2.30 with Bet365

Over/Under Bet: UNDER 51.5 @ $1.90 with Bet365

 

Warriors vs Panthers

Sunday, May 19, 2024

1:50 PM @ Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Sunday at Suncorp kicks off with the Warriors taking on the Panthers. The Warriors are in a slump, winless in five and hit hard by injuries, including Shaun Johnson. Meanwhile, the Panthers are on a roll, winning four straight but missing Nathan Cleary.

Key head-to-head stats:

  • Panthers have a 78% win rate this season.
  • Warriors average 19.4 points per game, conceding 20.3.
  • Panthers average 22.9 points per game, conceding 14.9.
  • Panthers haven’t lost to the Warriors since 2019.

Expect the Panthers to maintain their streak, winning 27-12.

Betting Tip: Penrith Panthers

Suggested Bet: Panthers to win by 13+ @ $1.87 with Bet365

Over/Under Bet: UNDER 41.5 @ $1.90 with Bet365

 

Storm vs Eels

Sunday, May 19, 2024

4:05 PM @ Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Sunday arvo at Suncorp Stadium sees the Storm taking on the Eels. Melbourne, coming off a close loss, rarely drops two in a row. They face an Eels side missing Mitch Moses, who’s 1-5 without him this season. Melbourne welcomes back Xavier Coates, adding firepower to their attack.

Key head-to-head stats:

  • Storm win rate: 78% this season.
  • Eels without Moses: 1-5.
  • Storm average 23.6 points per game.
  • Eels concede 26.9 points per game.

Expect Melbourne to bounce back strong, 25-18.

Betting Tip: Melbourne Storm

Suggested Bet: Storm to win by 1-12 @ $3.05 with Bet365

Over/Under Bet: UNDER 43.5 @ $1.90 with Bet365

 

Wests Tigers vs Dolphins

Sunday, May 19, 2024

6:25 PM @ Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Sunday evening at Suncorp wraps up Magic Round with the Tigers clashing against the Dolphins. The Dolphins are flying high, winning three of their last four, while the Tigers are stuck in a rut with six consecutive losses.

The Tigers are further hit by suspensions and injuries, missing key players like Isaiah Papali’i and John Bateman. The Dolphins, however, are bolstered by the return of Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow.

Key head-to-head stats:

  • Dolphins win rate: 67% this season.
  • Tigers win rate: 22% this season.
  • Dolphins average 26.9 points per game.
  • Tigers average 14.8 points per game.

Expect the Dolphins to cruise past the Tigers 28-16.

Betting Tip: Redcliffe Dolphins

Suggested Bet: Dolphins to win by 1-12 @ $3.00 with Bet365

Over/Under Bet: UNDER 45.5 @ $2.00 with Bet365

 

Bye:

St. George Illawarra Dragons

This Week’s NRL Multi

  • Sharks
  • Cowboys
  • Panthers
  • Storm
  • Dolphins

Take Bet: $6.15 with Bet365

Check out all this week’s NRL Multi Tips on our Multi Bets Page.

Multi Bet Tips

NRL Draw

Check the NRL Draw for upcoming NRL matches this season.

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Ben H
Ben Harris is the Communications Manager for KRUZEY, an AFL and NRL expert, and writer. He has one daughter that he loves dearly and five... [Read full bio]

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