AFL Betting Tips Round 9

Ben H / 11 May 2023

AFL Footy Tips Round 9

9Richmond Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
9West Coast Richmond Tigers Icon Richmond 75 25.13% 102
9Sydney Geelong Cats Icon Geelong 98 73.85% 78
9Kangaroos
9Hawthorn Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
9Brisbane Lions West Coast Eagles Icon West Coast 82 32.05% 43
9Carlton Gold Coast Suns Icon Gold Coast 99 66.90% 113
9Adelaide
9Collingwood Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Sydney Swans Icon Sydney 96 76.24% 86
Fremantle Dockers Icon Fremantle 71 22.92% 103
Column to hide
after pasting Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
game keys above North Melbourne Icon Kangaroos 68 15.44% 65
Port Adelaide Power Icon Port Adelaide 104 83.81% 135
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Hawthorn Hawks Icon Hawthorn 63 13.39% 49
Melbourne Demons Icon Melbourne 101 85.93% 103
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Brisbane Lions Icon Brisbane Lions 109 75.58% 87
Essendon Bombers Icon Essendon 82 23.49% 45
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Carlton Blues Icon Carlton 80 51.95% 59
Western Bulldogs Icon Western Bulldogs 79 46.71% 79
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Adelaide Crows Icon Adelaide 83 61.62% 121
St. Kilda Saints Icon St Kilda 73 37.08% 69
Image Team Predicted Score Win Chance Actual Score
Collingwood Magpies Icon Collingwood 103 87.58% 120
GWS Giants Icon GW Sydney 63 11.83% 55

 

Richmond vs Geelong

Friday, May 12, 2023

7:20 PM @ MCG

Strap in for an absolute belter as Geelong faces Richmond at the MCG this Friday night.

The Cats are on fire, with five consecutive wins and an impressive 55.2 point average margin.

Watch out for Jeremy Cameron, who’s booted 3+ goals in the past seven games.

With Mitch Duncan back in the lineup, Geelong’s winning streak is set to continue.

Richmond may be struggling this season, but don’t write ’em off yet – Bolton’s performance against West Coast proves they can still pack a punch.

However, Geelong’s recent dominance against Richmond, covering the line in their last three matches, and their powerful form at the MCG, suggest the Cats will come out on top.

Keep an eye on Tom Hawkins and Isaac Smith, who’ve consistently delivered in recent matches.

All things considered, I reckon Geelong will claw their way to victory, triumphing over Richmond with a final score of 98-75. Don’t miss this ripper of a game!

Betting Tip: Cats

Suggested Bet: Cats WINNING MARGIN 1-39

 

West Coast vs Gold Coast

Friday, May 12, 2023

8:40 PM @ Optus Stadium

As West Coast and Gold Coast prepare to face off in a Friday night clash at Optus Stadium, the stats reveal a promising outlook for the Suns.

West Coast has been hit hard by injuries, with 17 players on their injury list, and a record of 15 losses in their last 16 matches.

Although they demonstrated resilience in their recent loss to Richmond, their average margin of defeat in the last six games is a concerning 57.5 points.

Gold Coast, on the other hand, has shown strength against Melbourne in Round 8, with a standout performance from Noah Anderson, boasting 37 disposals, 10 clearances, and involvement in four goals.

The Suns have a recent history of success against the Eagles, winning both matchups last season.

Considering these factors, it’s likely that Gold Coast will emerge victorious in this encounter, with a predicted final score of 99-82.

The Suns’ ability to cover the line in four of their last five matches against West Coast and West Coast’s consistent losses by 40+ points further support this outcome.

Key players to watch include Noah Anderson, Ben King, and Dom Sheed, who have all displayed impressive consistency in recent games.

Betting Tip: Suns

Suggested Bet: LINE – WEST COAST EAGLES (+20.5)

 

Sydney vs Fremantle

Saturday, May 13, 2023

1:45 PM @ SCG

As Sydney and Fremantle prepare to face off at the SCG on Saturday afternoon, both teams have a mixed record in 2023, with three wins and five losses each.

However, the Swans are currently on a three-match losing streak, while Fremantle enjoyed a comfortable victory over Hawthorn in Round 8.

Key players to watch include Errol Gulden, who had a career-best performance in Sydney’s recent loss to Collingwood, and Andrew Brayshaw, who was dominant in Fremantle’s win over Hawthorn.

Despite Sydney’s recent struggles, Fremantle has a poor track record in New South Wales, losing each of their last six matches in the state.

Furthermore, Fremantle has consistently lost the first quarter in 11 of their last 12 matches.

Taking these factors into account, it’s more likely that Sydney will emerge victorious in this encounter.

However, it is important to note that Sydney has failed to cover the line in five of its last six matches, while each of Fremantle’s last six matches has gone over the total match points line.

With this in mind, a close contest is expected, but ultimately, Sydney should secure the win with a final score of 96-71.

Betting Tip: Swans

Suggested Bet: Fremantle LINE (+22.5)

 

North Melbourne vs Port Adelaide

Saturday, May 13, 2023

2:10 PM @ Blundstone Arena

North Melbourne and Port Adelaide will face off in Hobart on Saturday afternoon, with both teams experiencing contrasting fortunes.

North Melbourne is on a six-match losing streak, suffering a recent 64-34 defeat to St Kilda.

In contrast, Port Adelaide has won five consecutive games, including a thrilling 92-87 victory over Essendon.

Key players to watch include Jack Ziebell, who performed well for North Melbourne in their recent loss, and Zak Butters, who had an outstanding game for Port Adelaide.

Given North Melbourne’s poor track record against higher-ranked teams, with 23 losses in their last 24 matches, and their failure to cover the line in each of their last four matches at Blundstone Arena, it’s highly likely that Port Adelaide will emerge victorious in this encounter.

Furthermore, North Melbourne has consistently lost by a margin of 40+ points in their last four matches at Blundstone Arena.

Taking these factors into account, and considering that six of Port Adelaide’s last seven day matches have gone over the total match points line, a final score of 104-68 in favor of Port Adelaide seems realistic.

The Power should maintain their winning streak, while the Kangaroos will need to regroup and reevaluate their strategy moving forward.

Betting Tip: Power

Suggested Bet: Port Adelaide HEAD-to-HEAD

 

Hawthorn vs Melbourne

Saturday, May 13, 2023

4:35 PM @ MCG

Hawthorn and Melbourne, who currently occupy opposite ends of the ladder, will face off at the MCG on Saturday afternoon.

The struggling Hawks have a 1-7 record this season, suffering a recent 117-48 defeat to Fremantle.

In contrast, Melbourne has been performing well with a 6-2 record, including a close 90-85 victory over Gold Coast in Round 8.

Standout players to watch include Conor Nash for Hawthorn and Christian Petracca for Melbourne.

With Hawthorn losing nine of their last 10 matches and failing to cover the line in each of their last four matches at the MCG, Melbourne appears to be the clear favorite in this matchup.

Additionally, the Demons have an undefeated record against the Hawks in their last six encounters.

Considering these factors, it’s reasonable to predict that Melbourne will emerge victorious with a final score of 101-63.

The Demons’ strong performance this season, combined with Hawthorn’s struggles at the MCG, indicate that Melbourne should have a comfortable win in this encounter, further solidifying their position on the ladder.

Betting Tip: Demons

Suggested Bet: Demons WINNING MARGIN 1-39

 

Brisbane vs Essendon

Saturday, May 13, 2023

7:25 PM @ The Gabba

Brisbane and Essendon will clash at the Gabba on Saturday night, with both teams experiencing different fortunes lately.

Brisbane boasts a five-match winning streak, recently defeating Carlton 100-74.

Key players for the Lions include Josh Dunkley, Charlie Cameron, and Zac Bailey. In contrast, Essendon has suffered three consecutive losses, though it’s worth noting that they faced strong opponents, including a win over the 6-2 Demons before their losing streak.

Despite Essendon’s victory over Brisbane last season (100-90), the Lions have an impressive record at the Gabba, with only two losses in their last 15 matches at the venue.

Brisbane’s recent form also indicates a strong performance in this matchup, as they have won each of their last five matches.

Considering these factors, it’s reasonable to predict that Brisbane will secure a victory with a final score of 109-82.

The Lions’ impressive winning streak and home ground advantage should be enough to overcome Essendon, who will face a tough challenge in turning their fortunes around.

Betting Tip: Lions

Suggested Bet: Lions WINNING MARGIN 1-39

 

Carlton vs Bulldogs

Saturday, May 13, 2023

7:30 PM @ Marvel Stadium

In a crucial match for both teams, Carlton and the Western Bulldogs will battle it out at Marvel Stadium on Saturday night.

Carlton’s recent form has been patchy, with three losses in their last four matches.

Despite their recent 100-74 defeat against Brisbane, Adam Cerra’s impressive performance, with 33 disposals, seven clearances, and seven tackles, is a positive sign.

On the other hand, the Bulldogs have enjoyed a better run, with five wins from their last six games.

Their recent 86-71 victory over GWS saw Marcus Bontempelli’s stellar performance, boasting a career-high 14 clearances from 32 disposals.

However, Carlton managed a 102-90 win over the Bulldogs in their last encounter, thanks to Patrick Cripps’ 35-disposal, 11-clearance, and two-goal performance.

Considering Carlton’s strong record against the Western Bulldogs and their success at Marvel Stadium, winning seven of their last 10 matches, it’s plausible to predict a close Carlton victory with a final score of 80-79.

This game is set to be a nail-biter, with both teams eager to secure an important win to maintain their top-eight positions.

Betting Tip: Blues

Suggested Bet: Blues WINNING MARGIN 1-39

 

Adelaide vs St Kilda

Sunday, May 14, 2023

1:10 PM @ Adelaide Oval

In a compelling match-up, Adelaide will face St Kilda at the Adelaide Oval on Sunday afternoon, with both teams striving for a crucial win.

Adelaide, seeking to establish themselves as a top-eight contender, have recently endured narrow losses against strong opponents.

However, their track record of covering the line in nine of their last 12 matches against St Kilda bodes well for the home team.

St Kilda has shown solid form this season, improving to a 6-2 record after defeating North Melbourne 64-34.

Standout performances from Brad Hill and Callum Wilkie suggest they could pose a significant challenge for Adelaide.

Yet, it’s worth noting that Adelaide has a history of the favourite winning in their last 17 day matches.

Taking into account Adelaide’s past performance against St Kilda and their overall form, it’s reasonable to predict a close

Adelaide victory with a final score of 83-73. This match promises to be an engaging contest as both teams vie for their place among the league’s elite.

Betting Tip: Crows

Suggested Bet: Crows WINNING MARGIN 1-39

 

Collingwood vs GWS Giants

Sunday, May 14, 2023

4:40 PM @ MCG

As Collingwood hosts GWS at the MCG on Sunday afternoon, they look to continue their dominant form, currently holding a 7-1 record in 2023.

The Magpies have proven their prowess at the MCG, winning 15 of their last 16 matches at the venue, with 14 of those victories falling within a margin of 1-39 points.

Key players like Scott Pendlebury and Brody Mihocek have been on fire, driving the team to victory.

On the other hand, GWS has struggled to maintain consistency, with a 3-5 record this season.

Despite Tom Green’s outstanding performance last weekend, the Giants couldn’t secure a win, falling 86-71 to the Bulldogs.

Though the underdog has covered the line in each of the last nine matches between Collingwood and GWS, the Giants’ recent form raises concerns.

Taking into account Collingwood’s impressive record at the MCG and their consistent performance this season, it’s reasonable to predict a solid Magpies victory with a final score of 103-63.

Expect Collingwood to dominate the game and reinforce their position atop the ladder.

Betting Tip: Magpies

Suggested Bet: Magpies HEAD-to-HEAD

 

This week’s AFL Multi

  • Cats
  • Suns
  • Swans
  • Blues
  • Crows

Take Bet: $7.57 with  Ladbrokes

 

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Ben H
Ben Harris is the Communications Manager for KRUZEY, an AFL expert, and writer. He has one daughter that he loves dearly and four children's books... [Read full bio]

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