AFL Betting Tips Round 13

AFL Footy Tips Round 13

 

Adelaide Crows vs Richmond Tigers

Thursday, June 6, 2024

7:30 PM @ Adelaide Oval, Adelaide

This Thursday night at the Adelaide Oval, the Crows are set to tangle with a battered Richmond side.

Adelaide, licking their wounds from a 107-80 thumping by Hawthorn, are looking to bounce back in style. Richmond, on the other hand, is practically holding their team together with duct tape after suffering their fifth ACL injury of the year. The Tigers’ recent loss to Geelong, despite an early 29-point lead, shows they’re struggling more than a ute in the outback without a spare tyre.

Head-to-Head Stats:

• Average Points For Per Match: Adelaide: 83.3, Richmond: 63.8
• Average Points Against Per Match: Adelaide: 76.8, Richmond: 102.4
• Current Streak: Adelaide: L1, Richmond: L8
• Current Form: Adelaide: WDLWL, Richmond: LLLLL
• Goal Accuracy For: Adelaide: 64.2%, Richmond: 53.5%
• Goal Accuracy Against: Adelaide: 51.8%, Richmond: 61.0%

Outcome Prediction:

• Final Scores: Adelaide 105, Richmond 67
• Win Percentages: Adelaide: 85.61%, Richmond: 13.71%

Historically, the Tigers have the upper hand, winning their last clash in 2023, but recent form tells a different story. With Adelaide averaging 83.3 points per game and Richmond leaking like a sieve at an incredible 102.4 points allowed per game, the Crows will be pecking their way to victory this week.

Final Score Prediction: Adelaide Crows 105 – 67

 

 

Western Bulldogs vs Brisbane Lions

Friday, June 7, 2024

7:40 PM @ Marvel Stadium, Melbourne

This Friday night at Marvel Stadium, the Western Bulldogs are gearing up to host the Brisbane Lions.

The Bulldogs are sniffing the top eight after a stellar run, recently dismantling Collingwood 100-82, with Bontempelli playing like a man possessed, racking up 38 disposals and even snagging two goals. Meanwhile, the Lions, fresh from a bye, are licking their wounds after a 100-75 thumping by Hawthorn.

Head-to-Head Stats:

• Average Points For Per Match: Western Bulldogs: 93.3, Brisbane Lions: 84.0
• Average Points Against Per Match: Western Bulldogs: 76.9, Brisbane Lions: 75.3
• Current Streak: Western Bulldogs: W1, Brisbane Lions: L1
• Current Form: Western Bulldogs: LWWLW, Brisbane Lions: LWDWL
• Goal Accuracy For: Western Bulldogs: 59.3%, Brisbane Lions: 54.6%
• Goal Accuracy Against: Western Bulldogs: 57.4%, Brisbane Lions: 60.8%

Outcome Prediction:

• Final Scores: Western Bulldogs 89, Brisbane Lions 78
• Win Percentages: Western Bulldogs: 62.23%, Brisbane Lions: 36.58%

Historically, the Dogs have had the upper hand, winning seven of their last eight clashes. With Ugle-Hagan’s five-goal haul still fresh in the Lions’ memory from their last Marvel game, Brisbane will be wary. But with the Dogs averaging 93.3 points per game and the Lions not far behind at 84, it’s going to be closer than a gym junkies thigh gap. Look out for Naughton and Daniher in a shootout, but my money’s on the Bulldogs.

Final Score Prediction: Western Bulldogs 89 – 78

 

 

Hawthorn Hawks vs GWS Giants

Saturday, June 8, 2024

1:45 PM @ University of Tasmania Stadium, Launceston

This Saturday arvo at the University of Tasmania Stadium, it’s the Hawks taking on the GWS Giants.

Hawthorn’s been in fine form, covering the line in their last five games, but GWS is coming in hot with a six-match winning streak after long breaks. Last time these teams met, GWS snatched a tight win, and they’re looking to repeat the dose.

Head-to-Head Stats:

• Average Points For Per Match: Hawthorn: 76.3, GWS Giants: 91.2
• Average Points Against Per Match: Hawthorn: 88.1, GWS Giants: 79.5
• Current Streak: Hawthorn: W2, GWS Giants: W1
• Current Form: Hawthorn: WWLWW, GWS Giants: WLLLW
• Goal Accuracy For: Hawthorn: 55.5%, GWS Giants: 63.0%
• Goal Accuracy Against: Hawthorn: 64.3%, GWS Giants: 54.1%

Outcome Prediction:

• Final Scores: Hawthorn 81, GWS Giants 85
• Win Percentages: Hawthorn: 44.79%, GWS Giants: 54.23%

The Giants have been a first-quarter dynamo, winning the opening term in their last nine outings as favourites. Hawthorn’s fans might be hopeful, especially with their knack for low-scoring tussles in Tassie, but with GWS’s Jesse Hogan on the prowl, expect the Giants to keep their winning ways.

Statistically, the Giants’ 91.2 points per game compared to the Hawks’ 76.3 tells the story. With the Hawks’ defence wobblier than a drunk pirate, GWS should take this one out.

Final Score Prediction: GWS Giants 85 – 81

 

 

West Coast Eagles vs North Melbourne Kangaroos

Saturday, June 8, 2024

4:35 PM @ Optus Stadium, Perth

This Saturday at Optus Stadium, the Eagles take on the Kangaroos.

North Melbourne has had a rough trot, losing 31 of their last 32 – talk about needing a win! The Eagles aren’t flying high either, missing the line in 10 of their last 11 as favourites.

Head-to-Head Stats:

• Average Points For Per Match: West Coast Eagles: 69.1, North Melbourne Kangaroos: 65.9
• Average Points Against Per Match: West Coast Eagles: 96.4, North Melbourne Kangaroos: 118.0
• Current Streak: West Coast Eagles: L2, North Melbourne Kangaroos: L11
• Current Form: West Coast Eagles: LLWLL, North Melbourne Kangaroos: LLLLL
• Goal Accuracy For: West Coast Eagles: 56.1%, North Melbourne Kangaroos: 63.5%
• Goal Accuracy Against: West Coast Eagles: 58.5%, North Melbourne Kangaroos: 61.6%

Outcome Prediction:

• Final Scores: West Coast Eagles 104, North Melbourne Kangaroos 73
• Win Percentages: West Coast Eagles: 79.86%, North Melbourne Kangaroos: 19.29%

Both teams like to keep it close; their last five clashes have been settled by 15 points or less. Jake Waterman and Nick Larkey are your go-to guys for snagging the first goal.

Statistically, West Coast just pips North in scoring, averaging 69.1 points to North’s 65.9. But North’s defence is terrible at the moment , conceding 118 points per game compared to the Eagles’ 96.4.

Final Score Prediction: Eagles 104-79

 

 

St Kilda Saints vs Gold Coast Suns

Saturday, June 8, 2024

7:30 PM @ Marvel Stadium, Melbourne

This Saturday night at Marvel Stadium, the Saints are gearing up to take on the Suns in what should end up being be a cracker of a match.

St Kilda’s been lugging around a monkey on their back, losing their last 13 games against higher-ranked teams. Meanwhile, the Suns have been basking in success, covering the line in seven of their last ten matchups against the Saints.

Head-to-Head Stats:

• Average Points For Per Match: St Kilda Saints: 72.2, Gold Coast Suns: 90.5
• Average Points Against Per Match: St Kilda Saints: 77.9, Gold Coast Suns: 83.3
• Current Streak: St Kilda Saints: W1, Gold Coast Suns: W1
• Current Form: St Kilda Saints: WLLLW, Gold Coast Suns: LWWLW
• Goal Accuracy For: St Kilda Saints: 56.1%, Gold Coast Suns: 61.5%
• Goal Accuracy Against: St Kilda Saints: 54.1%, Gold Coast Suns: 61.2%

Outcome Prediction:

• Final Scores: St Kilda Saints 79, Gold Coast Suns 78
• Win Percentages: St Kilda Saints: 51.05%, Gold Coast Suns: 47.76%

Last time these two battled it out, Gold Coast ran away with a solid 77-51 win. Offensively, the Saints are averaging a modest 72.2 points per game while the Suns are lighting up the scoreboard with 90.5.

Expect the Kings, Jack Higgins for St Kilda and Ben King for Gold Coast, to battle it out for the first goal.

Final Score Prediction: Saints 79-78

 

 

Sydney Swans vs Geelong Cats

Sunday, June 9, 2024

3:20 PM @ SCG, Sydney

This Sunday at the SCG, the Swans and the Cats are set for what should be one of the best games this season.

The Swans are flying high with seven straight wins, making them as unstoppable as a runaway train. Meanwhile, the Cats have been more unpredictable than Melbourne weather, though they did snag a win last week.

Head-to-Head Stats:

• Average Points For Per Match: Sydney Swans: 102.9, Geelong Cats: 93.9
• Average Points Against Per Match: Sydney Swans: 68.5, Geelong Cats: 83.2
• Current Streak: Sydney Swans: W7, Geelong Cats: W1
• Current Form: Sydney Swans: WWWWW, Geelong Cats: LLLLW
• Goal Accuracy For: Sydney Swans: 60.3%, Geelong Cats: 64.2%
• Goal Accuracy Against: Sydney Swans: 50.7%, Geelong Cats: 58.7%

Outcome Prediction:

• Final Scores: Sydney Swans 103, Geelong Cats 74
• Win Percentages: Sydney Swans: 78.04%, Geelong Cats: 20.84%

Sydney’s got the home-ground advantage and loves lighting up the scoreboard in the second half. The Cats might come out swinging early – they’ve been the surprise package in their last five first halves. But don’t be fooled; the Swans are likely to soar as the game progresses.

Statistically, the Swans are outscoring the Cats 102.9 to 93.9 per game and defending like Fort Knox, allowing just 68.5 points on average.

Final Score Prediction: Swans 103-74

 

 

Essendon Bombers vs Carlton Blues

Sunday, June 9, 2024

7:20 PM @ MCG Melbourne

This Sunday night at the G, it’s the Bombers versus the Blues.

Carlton’s riding high, having won their last four night games at the G against higher-ranked teams. But don’t count Essendon out – they’ve got a knack for covering the line as underdogs.

Head-to-Head Stats:

• Average Points For Per Match: Essendon Bombers: 84.3, Carlton Blues: 94.3
• Average Points Against Per Match: Essendon Bombers: 81.9, Carlton Blues: 87.3
• Current Streak: Essendon Bombers: L1, Carlton Blues: W2
• Current Form: Essendon Bombers: WWWWL, Carlton Blues: LWLWW
• Goal Accuracy For: Essendon Bombers: 58.3%, Carlton Blues: 61.3%
• Goal Accuracy Against: Essendon Bombers: 57.5%, Carlton Blues: 62.8%

Outcome Prediction:

• Final Scores: Essendon Bombers 78, Carlton Blues 90
• Win Percentages: Essendon Bombers: 35.74%, Carlton Blues: 63.18%

Their recent clashes have seen the Blues snatching victory from the Bombers’ grasp, and this one looks set to follow suit. Carlton’s matches at the G have been closer than a game of two up with a war veteran, with the last seven decided by 15 points or less.

On the field, Kyle Langford and Charlie Curnow are the men to watch. Essendon’s averaging 84.3 points per game, while Carlton’s hitting 94.3. Defensively, it’s close – the Bombers allow 81.9 points and the Blues 87.3, making this game super tight.

Final Score Prediction: Blues 90-78

 

 

Collingwood Magpies vs Melbourne Demons

Monday, June 10, 2024

3:20 PM @ MCG, Melbourne

This Monday at the G, it’s the Magpies versus the Demons.

Melbourne’s been on fire, winning their last seven day games at the G and loving a good cover line, nailing 11 out of their last 12 against higher-ranked teams. But Collingwood won’t just roll over – they’ve been battling hard and have a habit of starting with a bang.

Head-to-Head Stats:

• Average Points For Per Match: Collingwood Magpies: 85.8, Melbourne Demons: 79.5
• Average Points Against Per Match: Collingwood Magpies: 82.1, Melbourne Demons: 76.3
• Current Streak: Collingwood Magpies: L1, Melbourne Demons: L1
• Current Form: Collingwood Magpies: WWWDL, Melbourne Demons: WLLWL
• Goal Accuracy For: Collingwood Magpies: 56.3%, Melbourne Demons: 56.6%
• Goal Accuracy Against: Collingwood Magpies: 62.1%, Melbourne Demons: 57.6%

Outcome Prediction:

• Final Scores: Collingwood Magpies 82, Melbourne Demons 77
• Win Percentages: Collingwood Magpies: 55.54%, Melbourne Demons: 43.26%

Their last encounters have been cliffhangers, with margins cooler than a VB on a hot day. Expect Bayley Fritsch and Bobby Hill to be the ones to watch for the first goal. Stat-wise, the Magpies average 85.8 points per game to the Dees’ 79.5, but defensively it’s almost neck and neck.

Final Score Prediction: Magpies 82-77

 

 

Byes

• Port Adelaide Power
• Fremantle Dockers

 

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