Carlton vs Essendon Prediction

Ben H

1 June 2025

481 Views

Game 7 of Round 13 of the 2026 Toyota AFL Premiership predictions on June 8 sees Carlton vs Essendon at the MCG on Sunday night. You can catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel, & Channel 7.

Carlton Blues vs Essendon Bombers Predictions

Sunday, June 8, 2026

7:20 pm AEDT @ the MCG, Melbourne

Final Score Prediction

Carlton

72 : 70

Essendon

Win Percentages

Carlton
53.41%

Essendon
46.59%

Carlton

Essendon

Quick Insight

At the time of writing, Unibet had the head-to-head for the Carlton Blues set at $1.42 (70.42% implied probability), and $2.80 for the Essendon Bombers (35.71% implied). Our model gives Carlton 53.41% vs Essendon 46.59%. That suggests value on Essendon @ $2.80.

Carlton 70.42%
Essendon 35.71%

The Betting Edge

Carlton appears over-priced at $1.42 for 53.41% true chance, whereas Essendon $2.80 implies only 35.71% versus our 46.59%. That indicates value on Essendon head-to-head @ $2.80.

Power Rankings Breakdown

Carlton vs Essendon Head-to-Head Stats

Average Points For: Carlton by 6.2
Average Points Against: Carlton by 9.6
Power Rank: Even
Average Winning Margin: Carlton by 32.00
SoS Adjusted Points For: Essendon by 0
Win Percentage: Essendon by 18%
Average Opponent Rank: Carlton by 1
Average Opponent Win %: Carlton by 2%
Average Opponent Points For: Essendon by 8
Highest Score For: Carlton by 53
Highest Score Against: Carlton by 51
Highest Total Match Score: Essendon by 37
Lowest Total Match Score: Carlton by 18
Adjusted Points For: Essendon by 0
Adjusted Points Against: Carlton by 1
True Power Score (Weighted): Carlton by 5
OVER/UNDER Tempo: 157.7
Game Style Prediction: Balanced Low Scoring

Over/Under Tempo: 157.7

Game Style Prediction: Balanced Low Scoring – expect a tight, contested match.

What to do?

Best bet: Essendon head-to-head @ $2.80.

Carlton vs Essendon Betting Tips

Suggested Betting Tip:

Essendon head-to-head

@ $2.80 with Unibet

Line Bet Tip:

Essendon +14.5

@ $1.88 with Unibet

Winning Margin 1–39:

Essendon 1–39

@ $3.25 with Unibet

Winning Margin 40+:

Essendon 40+

@ $15.00 with Unibet

Draw

@ $51.00 with Unibet

Carlton vs Essendon Multi Tip:

Essendon +14.5

Essendon 1–39

@ $6.43* with Unibet

*Approximate combining odds: Essendon +14.5 @ $1.88 × Essendon 1–39 @ $3.25.

AFL Fixture

Check the AFL fixture for upcoming AFL matches this season.

AFL Injury List

Keep up-to-date with your team’s injuries this week with our AFL injury list.

Other Betting Tips

We don’t just do AFL Tips; our team of experts also specialise in NRL betting and horse racing tips.

All AFL Tips

Author Ben H

Ben's been analysing footy betting markets for over a decade - breaking down team form, player stats, and where the bookies have got it wrong. He leads KRUZEY's weekly AFL and NRL tips and writes our betting app reviews, testing everything from multi-builders to odds competitiveness. A lifelong Essendon supporter (yes, he's used to disappointment), Ben combines statistical analysis with genuine footy obsession. He watches more game tape than is probably healthy. Connect on LinkedIn Email Contact