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Carlton vs Essendon Prediction

Ben H 2 June 2025 Last Updated: 02/06/25

Game 7 of Round 13 of the 2025 Toyota AFL Premiership predictions on June 8 sees Carlton vs Essendon at the MCG on Sunday night. You can catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel, & Channel 7. 🏉🔥

Carlton Blues vs Essendon Bombers Predictions

Sunday, June 8, 2025

7:20 pm AEDT @ the MCG, Melbourne

Carlton vs Essendon tips

Final Score Prediction

Carlton Blues
Carlton

72 : 70

Essendon Bombers
Essendon

Win Percentages

Carlton
53.41%
Essendon
46.59%

 

Carlton



Essendon



Quick Insight

At the time of writing, Unibet had the head-to-head for the Carlton Blues set at $1.42 (70.42% implied probability), and $2.80 for the Essendon Bombers (35.71% implied). Our model gives Carlton 53.41% vs Essendon 46.59%. That suggests value on Essendon @ $2.80.

Carlton

70.42%
Essendon

35.71%

 

The Betting Edge

Carlton appears over-priced at $1.42 for 53.41% true chance, whereas Essendon $2.80 implies only 35.71% versus our 46.59%. That indicates value on Essendon head-to-head @ $2.80.

Power Rankings Breakdown

Carlton vs Essendon Head-to-Head Stats

  • Average Points For: Carlton by 6.2
  • Average Points Against: Carlton by 9.6
  • Power Rank: Even
  • Average Winning Margin: Carlton by 32.00
  • SoS Adjusted Points For: Essendon by 0
  • Win Percentage: Essendon by 18%
  • Average Opponent Rank: Carlton by 1
  • Average Opponent Win %: Carlton by 2%
  • Average Opponent Points For: Essendon by 8
  • Highest Score For: Carlton by 53
  • Highest Score Against: Carlton by 51
  • Highest Total Match Score: Essendon by 37
  • Lowest Total Match Score: Carlton by 18
  • Adjusted Points For: Essendon by 0
  • Adjusted Points Against: Carlton by 1
  • True Power Score (Weighted): Carlton by 5
  • OVER/UNDER Tempo: 157.7
  • Game Style Prediction: Balanced Low Scoring

Over/Under Tempo: 157.7

Game Style Prediction: Balanced Low Scoring – expect a tight, contested match.

What to do?

Best bet: Essendon head-to-head @ $2.80.

Carlton vs Essendon Betting Tips

Suggested Betting Tip:

Essendon head-to-head

@ $2.80 with Unibet

Line Bet Tip:

Essendon +14.5

@ $1.88 with Unibet

Winning Margin 1–39:

Essendon 1–39

@ $3.25 with Unibet

Winning Margin 40+:

Essendon 40+

@ $15.00 with Unibet

Draw

@ $51.00 with Unibet

Carlton vs Essendon Multi Tip:

Essendon +14.5

Essendon 1–39

@ $6.43* with Unibet

*Approximate combining odds: Essendon +14.5 @ $1.88 × Essendon 1–39 @ $3.25.

 


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