Game 4 of Round 13 of the 2025 Toyota AFL Premiership predictions on June 7 sees Geelong vs Gold Coast at GMHBA Oval on Saturday afternoon. You can catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel. 🏉🔥
Geelong Cats vs Gold Coast SUNS Predictions
Saturday, June 7, 2025
4:15 pm AEDT @ GMHBA Stadium, Geelong
Final Score Prediction
Geelong
Gold Coast
Win Percentages (Model)
52.93%
47.07%
Quick Insight
At the time of writing Unibet had the head-to-head market at $1.35 for Geelong (≈ 74.07% implied) and $3.00 for Gold Coast (≈ 33.33% implied). Our model gives Geelong a 52.93% chance and Gold Coast a 47.07%. That implies clear value on Geelong @ $1.35 if you expect them to hold this close.
The Betting Edge
With Geelong trading at $1.35 (≈ 74.07% implied) but our model at 52.93%, there’s significant over-confidence baked into the market.
Likewise, Gold Coast at $3.00 (≈ 33.33% implied) is underpriced relative to our 47.07% model.
Therefore, despite Geelong being clear favourites, the best value is on **Gold Coast head-to-head @ $3.00**.
Power Rankings Breakdown
Geelong vs Gold Coast Head-to-Head Stats
- Average Points For: Geelong by 5.6
- Average Points Against: Gold Coast by 4.4
- Power Rank: Gold Coast by 3
- Avg Winning Margin: Geelong by 4.00
- SoS Adjusted PF: Geelong by 8
- Win %: Gold Coast by 6%
- Average Opponent Rank: Gold Coast by 2
- Average Opponent Win %: Geelong by 3%
- Average Opponent Points For: Gold Coast by 1
- Highest Score For: Geelong by 11
- Highest Score Against: Gold Coast by 17
- Highest Total Match Score: Geelong by 36
- Lowest Total Match Score: Gold Coast by 16
- Adjusted Points For: Geelong by 8
- Adjusted Points Against: Gold Coast by 5
- True Power Score (Weighted): Gold Coast by 1.8
Over/Under Tempo: 180.6
Game Style Prediction: Balanced Moderate Scoring – expect half-court setups, controlled ball use, and either side could get a late break.
What to do?
Best bet: Gold Coast head-to-head @ $3.00.
Multi Tip: Gold Coast +17.5 / Gold Coast 1-39 – combining to approx. $6.71* with Unibet
Geelong vs Gold Coast Betting Tips
Geelong vs Gold Coast Multi Tip:
Gold Coast +17.5
Gold Coast 1-39
@ $6.71* with Unibet
*Approx. price – will fluctuate with live odds.
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