Richmond vs Sydney Prediction

Ben H

1 June 2025

417 Views

Game 3 of Round 13 of the 2026 Toyota AFL Premiership predictions on June 7 sees Richmond vs Sydney at the MCG on Saturday afternoon. You can catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel.

Richmond Tigers vs Sydney Swans Predictions

Saturday, June 7, 2026

1:20 pm AEDT @ the MCG, Melbourne

Final Score Prediction

Richmond

65 : 72

Sydney

Win Percentages (Model)

Richmond
47.73%

Sydney
52.73%

Richmond

Sydney

Quick Insight

At the time of writing Unibet had the head-to-head market at $2.80 for Richmond (35.71% implied) and $1.42 for Sydney (70.42% implied). Our model gives Richmond 47.73% and Sydney 52.73%, which indicates slight value on Richmond if you expect a tighter contest.

Richmond 35.71%
Sydney 70.42%

The Betting Edge

The bookies have priced Richmond at $2.80 (35.71% implied) and Sydney at $1.42 (70.42% implied).
Our model splits it 47.73/52.73, suggesting Richmond could outperform market expectations if they control play.

Power Rankings Breakdown

Richmond vs Sydney Head-to-Head Stats

Average Points For: Sydney by 8.9
Average Points Against: Sydney by 6
Power Rank: Sydney by 4
Avg Winning Margin: Sydney by 15.83
SoS Adjusted PF: Sydney by 4
Win %: Sydney by 8%
Average Opponent Rank: Sydney by 3
Average Opponent Win %: Richmond by 9%
Average Opponent Points For: Richmond by 7
Highest Score For: Sydney by 27
Highest Score Against: Sydney by 9
Highest Total Match Score: Sydney by 1
Lowest Total Match Score: Sydney by 6
Adjusted Points For: Sydney by 4
Adjusted Points Against: Richmond by 2
True Power Score (Weighted): Sydney by 3.2

Over/Under Tempo: 160.7

Game Style Prediction: Balanced Low Scoring – expect tight contests through midfield and controlled defense.

What to do?

Best bet: Richmond +14.5 @ $1.88.

Multi Tip: Richmond +14.5 / Richmond 1-39 – combining to approx. $6.65 with Unibet*

Richmond vs Sydney Betting Tips

Suggested Bet:

Richmond +14.5

@ $1.88 with Unibet

H-2-H Bet:

Richmond

@ $2.80 with Unibet

Winning Margin Bet:

Richmond 1-39

@ $3.25 with Unibet

Winning Margin 40+:

Richmond 40+

@ $15.00 with Unibet

Richmond vs Sydney Multi Tip:

Richmond +14.5

Richmond 1-39

@ $6.65* with Unibet

*Approx. price – will fluctuate with live odds.

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Author Ben H

Ben's been analysing footy betting markets for over a decade - breaking down team form, player stats, and where the bookies have got it wrong. He leads KRUZEY's weekly AFL and NRL tips and writes our betting app reviews, testing everything from multi-builders to odds competitiveness. A lifelong Essendon supporter (yes, he's used to disappointment), Ben combines statistical analysis with genuine footy obsession. He watches more game tape than is probably healthy. Connect on LinkedIn Email Contact