Adelaide vs Brisbane Prediction

Game 2 of Round 13 of the 2025 Toyota AFL Premiership predictions on June 6 sees Adelaide vs Brisbane at Adelaide Oval on Friday night. You can catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel, & Channel 7. 🏉🔥

Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions Predictions

Friday, June 6, 2025

7:40 pm AEDT @ Adelaide Oval, Adelaide

Final Score Prediction

Adelaide

90 : 86

Brisbane

Win Percentages (Model)

Adelaide
57.83%

Brisbane
42.17%

Adelaide

Brisbane

Quick Insight

At the time of writing Unibet had the head-to-head market at $1.64 for Adelaide (57.29% implied) and $2.20 for Brisbane (42.71% implied). Our model gives Adelaide a 57.83% chance and Brisbane a 42.17%. That gap points to slight over-confidence on Adelaide from the market:

Adelaide 57.29%
Brisbane 42.71%

The Betting Edge

The bookies have priced Adelaide as favourites at $1.64 (57.29% implied), and our model also leans slightly toward Adelaide at 57.83%.
However, Brisbane at $2.20 (42.71% implied) only has 42.17% in our model—so there’s modest value on Brisbane if you believe in a tighter contest.

Power Rankings Breakdown

Adelaide vs Brisbane Head-to-Head Stats

Average Points For: Adelaide by 15
Average Points Against: Adelaide by 3.3
Power Rank: Adelaide by 3
Avg Winning Margin: Adelaide by 28.32
SoS Adjusted PF: Adelaide by 15
Win %: Brisbane by 8%
Average Opponent Rank: Brisbane by 1
Average Opponent Win %: Adelaide by 12%
Average Opponent Points For: Brisbane by 6
Highest Score For: Adelaide by 43
Highest Score Against: Brisbane by 14
Highest Total Match Score: Adelaide by 46
Lowest Total Match Score: Adelaide by 29
Adjusted Points For: Adelaide by 15
Adjusted Points Against: Brisbane by 2
True Power Score (Weighted): Adelaide by 3.8

Over/Under Tempo: 173

Game Style Prediction: Balanced Moderate Scoring – neither team is expected to blow out; look for accurate ball use in midfield and controlled pacing.