Adelaide vs Brisbane Prediction

Ben H

1 June 2025

350 Views

Game 2 of Round 13 of the 2026 Toyota AFL Premiership predictions on June 6 sees Adelaide vs Brisbane at Adelaide Oval on Friday night. You can catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel, & Channel 7.

Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions Predictions

Friday, June 6, 2026

7:40 pm AEDT @ Adelaide Oval, Adelaide

Final Score Prediction

Adelaide

90 : 86

Brisbane

Win Percentages (Model)

Adelaide
57.83%

Brisbane
42.17%

Adelaide

Brisbane

Quick Insight

At the time of writing Unibet had the head-to-head market at $1.64 for Adelaide (57.29% implied) and $2.20 for Brisbane (42.71% implied). Our model gives Adelaide a 57.83% chance and Brisbane a 42.17%. That gap points to slight over-confidence on Adelaide from the market:

Adelaide 57.29%
Brisbane 42.71%

The Betting Edge

The bookies have priced Adelaide as favourites at $1.64 (57.29% implied), and our model also leans slightly toward Adelaide at 57.83%.
However, Brisbane at $2.20 (42.71% implied) only has 42.17% in our model–so there’s modest value on Brisbane if you believe in a tighter contest.

Power Rankings Breakdown

Adelaide vs Brisbane Head-to-Head Stats

Average Points For: Adelaide by 15
Average Points Against: Adelaide by 3.3
Power Rank: Adelaide by 3
Avg Winning Margin: Adelaide by 28.32
SoS Adjusted PF: Adelaide by 15
Win %: Brisbane by 8%
Average Opponent Rank: Brisbane by 1
Average Opponent Win %: Adelaide by 12%
Average Opponent Points For: Brisbane by 6
Highest Score For: Adelaide by 43
Highest Score Against: Brisbane by 14
Highest Total Match Score: Adelaide by 46
Lowest Total Match Score: Adelaide by 29
Adjusted Points For: Adelaide by 15
Adjusted Points Against: Brisbane by 2
True Power Score (Weighted): Adelaide by 3.8

Over/Under Tempo: 173

Game Style Prediction: Balanced Moderate Scoring – neither team is expected to blow out; look for accurate ball use in midfield and controlled pacing.

What to do?

Best bet: Brisbane head-to-head @ $2.20.

Multi Tip: Brisbane +6.5 / Brisbane 1-39 – combining to approx. $4.98 with Unibet*

Adelaide vs Brisbane Betting Tips

Suggested Bet:

Brisbane head-to-head

@ $2.20 with Unibet

H-2-H Bet:

Brisbane

@ $2.20 with Unibet

Line Bet Tip:

Brisbane +6.5

@ $1.88 with Unibet

Winning Margin Bet:

Brisbane 1-39

@ $2.65 with Unibet

Adelaide vs Brisbane Multi Tip:

Brisbane +6.5

Brisbane 1-39

@ $4.98* with Unibet

*Approx. price – will fluctuate with live odds.

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Author Ben H

Ben's been analysing footy betting markets for over a decade - breaking down team form, player stats, and where the bookies have got it wrong. He leads KRUZEY's weekly AFL and NRL tips and writes our betting app reviews, testing everything from multi-builders to odds competitiveness. A lifelong Essendon supporter (yes, he's used to disappointment), Ben combines statistical analysis with genuine footy obsession. He watches more game tape than is probably healthy. Connect on LinkedIn Email Contact