St Kilda vs Brisbane Prediction

Bookies have Brisbane as clear favourites, handing them a 65.47% chance of winning. But our model has things a lot closer, giving the Lions just a slight edge at 53.95%.

That creates some solid value on the Saints. The market only gives them a 34.53% chance, but we rate them much higher at 46.05%. That’s a decent gap, and one worth noting.

Based on our data, the Saints should be priced closer to $2.17, but they’re currently sitting at $2.75 with Unibet. That’s great value if you’re backing them to show up strong.

Power Rankings Breakdown

This one’s actually a dead heat in overall rank score, both teams sitting at 7.33, but they get there in very different ways:

• Overall Power Ranking: Lions 7th vs Saints 12th
• Score Rank: Lions 5th vs Saints 9th
• Balanced Power Score: Saints 2nd vs Lions 18th (huge gap in balance!)
• Points For Rank: Lions 3rd vs Saints 4th
• Points Against Rank: Both teams rank 10th
• Win % Rank: Lions 1st vs Saints 7th
• Total Power Rank Score: 7.33 each

Head-to-Head Stats

• Average Points For Per Match: Brisbane by 1.2
• Average Points Against Per Match: Brisbane by 13
• Power Rank: Brisbane by 3
• Average Winning Margin: Brisbane by 1913
• SoS Adjusted Points For: St Kilda by 4
• Win Percentage: Brisbane by 33%
• Average Opponent Rank: Brisbane by 1
• Average Opponent Win Percentage: Brisbane by 14%
• Average Opponent Points For: Brisbane by 0
• Highest Score For: St Kilda by 17
• Highest Score Against: Brisbane by 30
• Highest Total Match Score: Brisbane by 8
• Lowest Total Match Score: Brisbane by 30
• Adjusted Points For: St Kilda by 4
• Adjusted Points Against: Brisbane by 13
• True Power Score (Weighted): Brisbane by 3.2
• OVER/UNDER Tempo: 180.8
• Game Style Prediction: Balanced Matchup