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Richmond vs Sydney Prediction

Ben H 2 June 2025 Last Updated: 02/06/25

Game 3 of Round 13 of the 2025 Toyota AFL Premiership predictions on June 7 sees Richmond vs Sydney at the MCG on Saturday afternoon. You can catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel. 🏉🔥

Richmond Tigers vs Sydney Swans Predictions

Saturday, June 7, 2025

1:20 pm AEDT @ the MCG, Melbourne

Richmond vs Sydney tips

Final Score Prediction

Richmond Tigers
Richmond

65 : 72

Sydney Swans
Sydney

Win Percentages (Model)

Richmond
47.73%
Sydney
52.73%

 

Richmond



Sydney



Quick Insight

At the time of writing Unibet had the head-to-head market at $2.80 for Richmond (35.71% implied) and $1.42 for Sydney (70.42% implied). Our model gives Richmond 47.73% and Sydney 52.73%, which indicates slight value on Richmond if you expect a tighter contest.

 

Richmond

35.71%
Sydney

70.42%

The Betting Edge

The bookies have priced Richmond at $2.80 (35.71% implied) and Sydney at $1.42 (70.42% implied).
Our model splits it 47.73/52.73, suggesting Richmond could outperform market expectations if they control play.

Power Rankings Breakdown

Richmond vs Sydney Head-to-Head Stats

  • Average Points For: Sydney by 8.9
  • Average Points Against: Sydney by 6
  • Power Rank: Sydney by 4
  • Avg Winning Margin: Sydney by 15.83
  • SoS Adjusted PF: Sydney by 4
  • Win %: Sydney by 8%
  • Average Opponent Rank: Sydney by 3
  • Average Opponent Win %: Richmond by 9%
  • Average Opponent Points For: Richmond by 7
  • Highest Score For: Sydney by 27
  • Highest Score Against: Sydney by 9
  • Highest Total Match Score: Sydney by 1
  • Lowest Total Match Score: Sydney by 6
  • Adjusted Points For: Sydney by 4
  • Adjusted Points Against: Richmond by 2
  • True Power Score (Weighted): Sydney by 3.2

Over/Under Tempo: 160.7

Game Style Prediction: Balanced Low Scoring – expect tight contests through midfield and controlled defense.

What to do?

Best bet: Richmond +14.5 @ $1.88.

Multi Tip: Richmond +14.5 / Richmond 1-39 – combining to approx. $6.65 with Unibet*

Richmond vs Sydney Betting Tips

Suggested Bet:

Richmond +14.5

@ $1.88 with Unibet

H-2-H Bet:

Richmond

@ $2.80 with Unibet

Winning Margin Bet:

Richmond 1-39

@ $3.25 with Unibet

Winning Margin 40+:

Richmond 40+

@ $15.00 with Unibet

Richmond vs Sydney Multi Tip:

Richmond +14.5

Richmond 1-39

@ $6.65* with Unibet

*Approx. price – will fluctuate with live odds.

 


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