Port Adelaide vs North Melbourne Prediction & Betting Analysis Round 7

Port Adelaide Power vs North Melbourne Kangaroos Predictions

Game 5 of Round 7 of the 2025 Toyota AFL Premiership predictions sees Port Adelaide vs North Melbourne on April 26 at Adelaide Oval on Saturday afternoon. You can catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel. 🏉🔥

Saturday, April 26, 2025

4:15 pm AEDT @ Adelaide Oval, Adelaide

Final Score Prediction

Power

89 : 81

Kangaroos

Win Percentages

Port Adelaide 59.05%

North Melbourne 40.95%

Power

North

Quick Insight

At the time of writing Unibet had the head to head for the Port Adelaide Power set at $1.11, and $6.40 for the North Melbourne Kangaroos, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Power 85.21%
Kangaroos 14.79%

Opportunity Bet

The bookies have gone all in on Port Adelaide, giving them a massive 85.21% chance of winning, but our numbers tell a very different story. We’ve still got the Power ahead, but only at 59.05%.

That makes North Melbourne a seriously undervalued underdog. The market’s only giving them a 14.79% shot, but our model reckons they win this matchup over 4 in 10 times, that’s a huge discrepancy.

According to our numbers, the Roos should be priced closer to $2.44, but they’re sitting at $6.40 with Unibet. That’s an enormous value gap and potentially one of the best longshot plays of the round.

Power Rankings Breakdown

This matchup’s closer than it looks on paper when you dig into the numbers:

Overall Power Ranking: North 3rd vs Port 9th
Score Rank: Port 7th vs North 6th
Balanced Power Score: North 1st vs Port 3rd
Points For Per Match Rank: Port 2nd vs North 8th
Points Against Rank: Port 9th vs North 16th (big weakness for North here)
Win % Rank: Port 7th vs North 15th
Total Power Rank Score: Port 6.17 vs North 8.17

What to do?

Despite their poor defensive record, North Melbourne are actually ranking higher in overall power and balance. They’ve struggled with wins, but they’re not playing like a team that should be at $6.40 odds.

Port Adelaide are rightfully favourites, but not by the margin the odds suggest. North Melbourne are offering outstanding value, and if our model is on point, backing the Roos at $6.40 could be the bold play that pays off if you think they’re going to win (If not, the Line still looks pretty juicy).

Honestly, we don’t think North will win this one, the real question is how much much will Port Adelaide win by? At home, Port could demolish them, but this one is really a toss up.

Play it safe and take the UNDER.

Suggested Betting Tip:

UNDER 183.5 @ $1.90 with
Unibet

H-2-H Bet:

Port Adelaide @ $1.11 with
Unibet

Line Bet:

North Melbourne +37.5 @ $1.90 with
Unibet

Winning Margin Bet:

Port Adelaide 1-39 @ $2.20 with
Unibet

Port Adelaide vs North Melbourne SGM