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Melbourne vs Collingwood Prediction

Ben H 2 June 2025 Last Updated: 02/06/25

Game 8 of Round 13 of the 2025 Toyota AFL Premiership predictions on June 9 sees Melbourne vs Collingwood at the MCG on Monday afternoon. You can catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel. 🏉🔥

Melbourne Demons vs Collingwood Magpies Predictions

Monday, June 9, 2025

3:20 pm AEDT @ the MCG, Melbourne

Melbourne vs Collingwood tips

Final Score Prediction

Melbourne Demons
Melbourne

77 : 83

Collingwood Magpies
Collingwood

Win Percentages

Melbourne
37.08%
Collingwood
62.92%

 

Melbourne



Collingwood



Quick Insight

At the time of writing, Unibet had the head-to-head for the Melbourne Demons set at $3.75, and $1.25 for the Collingwood Magpies. This implies:

Demons

26.67%
Magpies

80.00%

(Implied probabilities sum to >100% due to bookmaker margin. Normalized: 26.67/106.67 ≈ 25.00%, 80/106.67 ≈ 75.00%.)

 

The Betting Edge

Our model gives Melbourne 37.08% vs Collingwood 62.92%. Collingwood’s normalized implied chance is 75.00%, so the line suggests slight overconfidence—value on Collingwood head-to-head @ $1.25 (true odds ≈ $1.59).

Power Rankings Breakdown

Melbourne vs Collingwood Head-to-Head Stats

  • Average Points For: Collingwood by 14.4
  • Average Points Against: Collingwood by 22
  • Power Rank: Collingwood by 11
  • Average Winning Margin: Collingwood by 10.60
  • SoS Adjusted Points For: Collingwood by 2
  • Win Percentage: Collingwood by 42%
  • Average Opponent Rank: Collingwood by 6
  • Average Opponent Win %: Melbourne by 21%
  • Average Opponent Points For: Melbourne by 9
  • Highest Score For: Collingwood by 5
  • Highest Score Against: Collingwood by 21
  • Highest Total Match Score: Melbourne by 22
  • Lowest Total Match Score: Collingwood by 22
  • Adjusted Points For: Collingwood by 2
  • Adjusted Points Against: Collingwood by 13
  • True Power Score (Weighted): Collingwood by 10
  • OVER/UNDER Tempo: 162.5
  • Game Style Prediction: Blowout – Moderate Scoring

Over/Under Tempo: 162.5

Game Style Prediction: Blowout – moderate scoring expected, as Collingwood’s offense and defense both rate significantly higher.

What to do?

Best bet: Collingwood head-to-head @ $1.25.

Melbourne vs Collingwood Betting Tips

Suggested Betting Tip:

Collingwood head-to-head

@ $1.25 with Unibet

Line Bet Tip:

Collingwood −23.5

@ $1.88 with Unibet

Winning Margin 1–39:

Collingwood 1–39

@ $2.02 with Unibet

Winning Margin 40+:

Collingwood 40+

@ $2.85 with Unibet

Draw

@ $56.00 with Unibet

Melbourne vs Collingwood Multi Tip:

Collingwood −23.5

Collingwood 1–39

@ $5.72* with Unibet

*Approximate combined odds: Collingwood −23.5 @ $1.88 × Collingwood 1–39 @ $2.02 ≈ $3.80, plus bookmaker rounding.

 


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