West Coast vs Geelong Prediction

Game 7 of Round 12 of the 2025 Toyota AFL Premiership predictions on June 1 sees West Coast vs Geelong at Optus Stadium on Sunday night. You can catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel, & Channel 7. 🏉🔥

West Coast Eagles vs Geelong Cats Predictions

Sunday, June 1, 2025

7:20 pm AEDT @ Optus Stadium, Perth

Final Score Prediction

West Coast

62 : 103

Geelong

Win Percentages

West Coast 34.71%

Geelong 65.29%

West Coast

Geelong

Quick Insight

At the time of writing Unibet had the head to head for the West Coast Eagles set at $6.10, and $1.09 for the Geelong Cats, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Eagles 15.16%
Cats 84.84%

The Betting Edge

The bookies have Geelong as heavy favourites here, with odds of $1.09 translating to an 84.84% implied chance of winning. Our prediction also backs the Cats, but at a more modest 65.29%, suggesting the market might be overestimating their dominance.

West Coast are way out at $6.10, which implies just a 15.16% chance. But according to our model, they’ve actually got a 34.71% shot, more than double what the odds suggest.

That’s a massive gap, and it creates serious value on the Eagles. If our numbers are accurate, their true odds should be closer to $2.88. So that $6.25 price is huge overs.

Geelong are still the likely winners, but the market may be writing West Coast off too quickly. If you’re looking for a roughie with real upside, the Eagles are definitely worth a look at that price.

Power Rankings Breakdown

Let’s see how the two teams stack up across the board:

West Coast vs Geelong Head-to-Head Stats

Average Points For Per Match: Geelong by 30.1
Average Points Against Per Match: Geelong by 26
Power Rank: Geelong by 11
Average Winning Margin: Geelong by 5.71
SoS Adjusted Points For: Geelong by 17
Win Percentage: Geelong by 55%
Average Opponent Rank: Geelong by 8
Average Opponent Win %: West Coast by 27%
Average Opponent Points For: West Coast by 18
Highest Score For: Geelong by 39
Highest Score Against: Geelong by 23
Highest Total Match Score: Geelong by 42
Lowest Total Match Score: Geelong by 21
Adjusted Points For: Geelong by 17
Adjusted Points Against: Geelong by 6
True Power Score (Weighted): Geelong by 12
OVER/UNDER Tempo: 180.9
Game Style Prediction: Likely Blowout – Low Scoring
Average Opposition Ladder Rank: West Coast: 15, Geelong: 7 – (Geelong by 8)
Total Power Rank Score (Lower is Better): West Coast: 17.17, Geelong: 5.00 – (Geelong by 12.17)

Over/Under Tempo: Very high tempo expected; frequent scoring chances and open play should lead to fast-paced footy.

Game Style Prediction: Likely Blowout – Low Scoring. Despite the fast pace, Geelong’s defensive structure and overall dominance could suppress West Coast’s output, leading to a one-sided game.

What to do?

It’s always a bit difficult to find the best bet when one team is most likely to demolish the other, I would like to say taking the Geelong line -38.5 is a good option but when it is so close to the 40 point predicted margin it’s best to look at other alternatives.

Best value bet is to take the Geelong 40+ margin, but for the sake of a few cents, the safer bet with still some decent value is to take the UNDER 171.5 this game.

As for multis, take the Geelong -38.5, UNDER 171.5, Geelong 40+ for $3.90 with Unibet as shown below.