Carlton vs Western Bulldogs Prediction & Betting Round 3

Carlton Blues vs Western Bulldogs Predictions

Game 2 of Round 3 of the 2025 Toyota AFL Premiership predictions sees Carlton vs Western Bulldogs on March 28 at Marvel Stadium on Friday night. You can catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel & Channel 7. 🏉🔥

Friday, March 28, 2025

7:40 pm @ Marvel Stadium, Melbourne

Final Score Prediction

Blues

73 : 88

Bulldogs

Win Percentages

Carlton 47.9%

Western Bulldogs 52.1%

Carlton

Bulldogs

Quick Insight

At the time of writing Ladbrokes had the head to head for Carlton Blues set at $2.00, and $1.80 for the Western Bulldogs, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Blues 47.37%
Bulldogs 52.63%

Opportunity Bet

Honestly, this market is pretty bang-on. Our model and the bookies are basically on the same page, with just a tiny lean toward the Dogs.

With such a small edge either way, there’s not a whole lot of value in this one, unless you’ve got a strong gut feel or you’re adding it to a multi for the weekend.

The market’s got this one just about right. No clear betting edge here, but definitely shaping up as a cracking contest between two pretty evenly matched sides.

What to do?

In the past 4 years the winning margin has never exceeded 40 points, Bulldogs are pulling in the bigger scores this season with on par goals against, Bulldogs winning margin 1-39 is a strong bet.

Suggested Betting Tip:

Bulldogs 1-39 @ $2.35 with
Ladbrokes

H-2-H Bet:

Bulldogs @ $1.80 with
Ladbrokes

Line Bet:

Bulldogs -2.5 @ $1.90 with
Ladbrokes

OVER/UNDER Bet:

UNDER 172.5 @ $1.88 with
Ladbrokes

Carlton vs Western Bulldogs SGM

Head-to-Head Stats

Average Points For Per Match: Carlton: 64.5, Bulldogs: 91.5 – (Bulldogs by 27 points)
Average Points Against Per Match: Carlton: 81.0, Bulldogs: 86.5 – (Carlton by 5.5 points)
Average Winning Margin: Carlton: N/A, Bulldogs: 16.0 – (Bulldogs only with wins)
Average Losing Margin: Carlton: 16.5, Bulldogs: 6.0 – (Bulldogs by 10.5 points)
HT/FT Double %: Carlton: 0.0%, Bulldogs: 50.0% – (Bulldogs by 50%)
Highest Score For: Carlton: 69, Bulldogs: 113 – (Bulldogs by 44 points)
Highest Score Against: Carlton: 82, Bulldogs: 97 – (Carlton better by 15 points)
Biggest Win: Carlton: N/A, Bulldogs: 16 – (Bulldogs dominant)
Biggest Loss: Carlton: 20, Bulldogs: 6 – (Bulldogs more resilient by 14 points)
Highest Total Match Score: Carlton: 151, Bulldogs: 210 – (Bulldogs by 59 points)
Lowest Total Match Score: Carlton: 140, Bulldogs: 146 – (Carlton by 6 points)
Goal Accuracy For %: Carlton: 44.7%, Bulldogs: 61.4% – (Bulldogs by 16.7%)
Goal Accuracy Against %: Carlton: 73.5%, Bulldogs: 50.0% – (Bulldogs better by 23.5%)
Current Streak: Carlton: L2, Bulldogs: L1 – (Carlton colder)
Current Form: Carlton: LL, Bulldogs: WL – (Bulldogs better)
Choke % (Loss % After Leading HT): Carlton: 100.0%, Bulldogs: 50.0% – (Bulldogs by 50%)
Reliability % (Win % After Leading HT): Carlton: 0.0%, Bulldogs: 50.0% – (Bulldogs by 50%)
Comeback % (Win % After Trailing HT): Carlton: 0.0%, Bulldogs: 0.0% – (Even)
Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Bulldogs won by 14 points (100–86) on 13th July 2024