Adelaide vs West Coast Prediction

Game 7 of Round 11 of the 2025 Toyota AFL Premiership predictions on May 25 sees Adelaide vs West Coast at Adelaide Oval on Sunday afternoon. You can catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel. 🏉🔥

Adelaide Crows vs West Coast Eagles Predictions

Sunday, May 25, 2025

3:20 pm AEDT @ Adelaide Oval, Adelaide

Final Score Prediction

Adelaide

110 : 64

West Coast

Win Percentages

Crows 68.09%

Eagles 31.91%

Adelaide

West Coast

Quick Insight

At the time of writing Unibet had the head to head for the Adelaide Crows set at $1.02, and $12.50 for the West Coast Eagles, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Adelaide 76.11%
West Coast 23.89%

The Betting Edge

On paper, this one’s meant to be a walk in the park for the Crows, but the numbers suggest the Eagles might not be quite as hopeless as the market reckons.

Unibet have Adelaide at a super short $1.02, which gives them an implied probability of 76.11%. Meanwhile, West Coast are way out at $12.50, with the market giving them just a 23.89% shot. But according to our numbers, the Eagles actually have a 31.91% chance of pulling off an upset, while Adelaide sit at 68.09%.

Now, we’re not saying it’s likely, but that’s a noticeable difference. Based on our figures, the Eagles’ true odds should be closer to $3.13. The fact they’re priced at $12.50 is way overs, and that opens the door for some serious value.

West Coast are massive outsiders in the market, but they’re not quite as out of it as the odds suggest. If you’re chasing big value, a sneaky flutter on the Eagles at $12.50 could pay off handsomely (unlikely, but the odds are better than the bookies suggest).

Power Rankings Breakdown

Let’s see how the two teams stack up across the board:

Adelaide vs West Coast Head-to-Head Stats

Average Points For Per Match: Adelaide by 28.1
Average Points Against Per Match: Adelaide by 26.8
Power Rank: Adelaide by 12
Average Winning Margin: Adelaide by 12.50
SoS Adjusted Points For: Adelaide by 15
Win Percentage: Adelaide by 50%
Average Opponent Rank: Adelaide by 10
Average Opponent Win %: West Coast by 20%
Average Opponent Points For: West Coast by 15
Highest Score For: Adelaide by 53
Highest Score Against: Adelaide by 17
Highest Total Match Score: Adelaide by 63
Lowest Total Match Score: Adelaide by 66
Adjusted Points For: Adelaide by 15
Adjusted Points Against: Adelaide by 10
True Power Score (Weighted): Adelaide by 12.4
OVER/UNDER Tempo: 177.7
Game Style Prediction: Likely Blowout – Low Scoring
Average Opposition Ladder Rank: Adelaide: 5, West Coast: 15 – (Adelaide by 10)
Total Power Rank Score (Lower is Better): Adelaide: 3.00, West Coast: 14.00 – (Adelaide by 11)

Over/Under Tempo: High tempo expected; fast movement likely but scoring may still remain modest.

Game Style Prediction: Likely blowout. Expect dominant control from one side with limited opposition resistance.

What to do?

Currently, Adelaide has the third best forward line in the game, and with West Coast firmly holding bottom position with their backline the score should be significantly one sided. however, the big question is will the Crows ease up a little to minimise injuries?

There’s zero value in taking the Crows on the nose, best bet is to take the West Coast +50.5 this game and just hope Adelaide doesn’t triple their score (Adelaide hasn’t played the best at home this season so there is potential for this game to end up with less points than the expected wipeout).

As for multis, take the West Coast +50.5, OVER 166.5, Adelaide 40+ for $12.50 with Unibet.