AFL Betting Tips Round 7
Nine games across four days – and the biggest disagreement…
Adelaide vs West Coast Prediction
Game 7 of Round 11 of the 2026 Toyota AFL Premiership predictions on May 25 sees Adelaide vs West Coast at Adelaide Oval on Sunday afternoon. You can catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel.
Adelaide Crows vs West Coast Eagles Predictions
Sunday, May 25, 2026
3:20 pm AEDT @ Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Final Score Prediction
110 : 64
Win Percentages
Crows 68.09%
Eagles 31.91%
Quick Insight
At the time of writing Unibet had the head to head for the Adelaide Crows set at $1.02, and $12.50 for the West Coast Eagles, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:
The Betting Edge
On paper, this one’s meant to be a walk in the park for the Crows, but the numbers suggest the Eagles might not be quite as hopeless as the market reckons.
Unibet have Adelaide at a super short $1.02, which gives them an implied probability of 76.11%. Meanwhile, West Coast are way out at $12.50, with the market giving them just a 23.89% shot. But according to our numbers, the Eagles actually have a 31.91% chance of pulling off an upset, while Adelaide sit at 68.09%.
Now, we’re not saying it’s likely, but that’s a noticeable difference. Based on our figures, the Eagles’ true odds should be closer to $3.13. The fact they’re priced at $12.50 is way overs, and that opens the door for some serious value.
West Coast are massive outsiders in the market, but they’re not quite as out of it as the odds suggest. If you’re chasing big value, a sneaky flutter on the Eagles at $12.50 could pay off handsomely (unlikely, but the odds are better than the bookies suggest).
Power Rankings Breakdown
Let’s see how the two teams stack up across the board:
Adelaide vs West Coast Head-to-Head Stats
- Average Points For Per Match: Adelaide by 28.1
- Average Points Against Per Match: Adelaide by 26.8
- Power Rank: Adelaide by 12
- Average Winning Margin: Adelaide by 12.50
- SoS Adjusted Points For: Adelaide by 15
- Win Percentage: Adelaide by 50%
- Average Opponent Rank: Adelaide by 10
- Average Opponent Win %: West Coast by 20%
- Average Opponent Points For: West Coast by 15
- Highest Score For: Adelaide by 53
- Highest Score Against: Adelaide by 17
- Highest Total Match Score: Adelaide by 63
- Lowest Total Match Score: Adelaide by 66
- Adjusted Points For: Adelaide by 15
- Adjusted Points Against: Adelaide by 10
- True Power Score (Weighted): Adelaide by 12.4
- OVER/UNDER Tempo: 177.7
- Game Style Prediction: Likely Blowout – Low Scoring
- Average Opposition Ladder Rank: Adelaide: 5, West Coast: 15 – (Adelaide by 10)
- Total Power Rank Score (Lower is Better): Adelaide: 3.00, West Coast: 14.00 – (Adelaide by 11)
Over/Under Tempo: High tempo expected; fast movement likely but scoring may still remain modest.
Game Style Prediction: Likely blowout. Expect dominant control from one side with limited opposition resistance.
What to do?
Currently, Adelaide has the third best forward line in the game, and with West Coast firmly holding bottom position with their backline the score should be significantly one sided. however, the big question is will the Crows ease up a little to minimise injuries?
There’s zero value in taking the Crows on the nose, best bet is to take the West Coast +50.5 this game and just hope Adelaide doesn’t triple their score (Adelaide hasn’t played the best at home this season so there is potential for this game to end up with less points than the expected wipeout).
As for multis, take the West Coast +50.5, OVER 166.5, Adelaide 40+ for $12.50 with Unibet.
Adelaide vs West Coast Betting Tips
Related:
AFL Fixture
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