West Tigers vs Warriors Prediction

This one’s pretty close, the bookies and our model are nearly aligned, with just a slight edge towards the Tigers. That said, the market’s already fairly spot on with this one, so there’s not a massive discrepancy to exploit here.

If anything, the Tigers are just a touch undervalued based on our numbers, with their true odds sitting closer to $1.69 compared to the current $1.65 on offer, so it’s pretty bang-on overall.

What to do?

There’s no major edge in this market. Our model and the bookies are mostly on the same page, The Warriors have won the past two matches both of which were in Auckland and both by less than 13… but that was against “the old Tigers”, Early eyes say the Tigers have an average winning margin of 19 and the Warriors have an average losing margin of 22 so a 13+ winning margin in favour of the Tigers at their homeground is a solid bet considering how they have been playing this season.

Head-to-Head Stats

• Average Points For Per Match: Wests Tigers: 23.3, Warriors: 19.3 – (Tigers by 4 points)
• Average Points Against Per Match: Wests Tigers: 11.3, Warriors: 17.3 – (Tigers by 6 points)
• Average Winning Margin: Wests Tigers: 19.0, Warriors: 14.0 – (Tigers by 5 points)
• Average Losing Margin: Wests Tigers: 2.0, Warriors: 22.0 – (Tigers by 20 points)
• HT/FT Double %: Wests Tigers: 33.3%, Warriors: 33.3% – (Even)
• Highest Score For: Wests Tigers: 32, Warriors: 36 – (Warriors by 4 points)
• Highest Score Against: Wests Tigers: 18, Warriors: 30 – (Tigers by 12 points)
• Biggest Win: Wests Tigers: 26, Warriors: 20 – (Tigers by 6 points)
• Biggest Loss: Wests Tigers: 2, Warriors: 22 – (Tigers more resilient by 20 points)
• Highest Total Match Score: Wests Tigers: 48, Warriors: 52 – (Warriors by 4 points)
• Lowest Total Match Score: Wests Tigers: 18, Warriors: 20 – (Tigers by 2 points)
• Current Streak: Wests Tigers: W2, Warriors: W2 – (Even momentum)
• Current Form: Wests Tigers: LWW, Warriors: LWW – (Even form)
• Choke % (Loss % After Leading HT): Wests Tigers: 50.0%, Warriors: 0.0% – (Warriors by 50%)
• Reliability % (Win % After Leading HT): Wests Tigers: 50.0%, Warriors: 100.0% – (Warriors by 50%)
• Comeback % (Win % After Trailing HT): Wests Tigers: 100.0%, Warriors: 50.0% – (Tigers by 50%)
• Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Warriors won by 12 points (28–16) on 26th July 2024