North Queensland Cowboys vs Canberra Raiders Predictions
Game 5 of Round 4 of the 2026 NRL Telstra Premiership on March 29 features the Cowboys vs Raiders at Queensland Country Stadium on Saturday evening. Get the latest NRL betting tips predictions and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel.
At the time of writing bet365 had the head to head for North Queensland Cowboys is set at $1.91, and $1.91 for the Canberra Raiders, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:
Cowboys
50.00%
Raiders
50.00%
Opportunity Bet
That’s a pretty clear difference, we reckon the Raiders have the upper hand here, and the bookies might be giving the Cowboys a bit too much respect.
If our numbers are on the money, the Raiders should actually be priced closer to $1.67, not the even $1.91 being offered. That gives us a nice edge if we’re backing Canberra to get the job done.
What to do?
The edge lies with the Raiders. With a stronger win probability than the market suggests, there’s definite value in jumping on them at $1.91.
Year on year the Cowboys seem to dominate the Raiders when playing at home, however this season the Cowboys have played a less than stellar few games so far, Raiders have the upper hand this week if they can get over the Northern Queensland heat.
Raiders +1.5 is not out of the question here as a safer more logical bet, a winning margin of 1-12 is not out of question here either.
Ben's been analysing footy betting markets for over a decade - breaking down team form, player stats, and where the bookies have got it wrong. He leads KRUZEY's weekly AFL and NRL tips and writes our betting app reviews, testing everything from multi-builders to odds competitiveness.
A lifelong Essendon supporter (yes, he's used to disappointment), Ben combines statistical analysis with genuine footy obsession. He watches more game tape than is probably healthy.
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