Sharks vs Bulldogs Prediction

So, the bookies are giving Cronulla a massive edge, but we reckon the Dogs are right in this. Our model suggests it’s almost a coin flip, not a one-sided affair.

If the Bulldogs really do have a 47% shot, their true odds should be closer to $2.13, not the tasty $3.85 that’s currently up for grabs. That’s a massive edge and one worth jumping on.

What to do?

The Bulldogs are seriously undervalued here. If our numbers hold up, backing them at $3.85 offers huge value, with a win chance nearly double what the bookies are giving them credit for, we still don’t think they will win but a Bulldogs +11.5 is more than reasonable.

Head-to-Head Stats

• Average Points For Per Match: Sharks: 28.3, Bulldogs: 28.0 – (Sharks by 0.3 points)
• Average Points Against Per Match: Sharks: 17.3, Bulldogs: 17.3 – (Even)
• Average Winning Margin: Sharks: 19.5, Bulldogs: 10.7 – (Sharks by 8.8 points)
• Average Losing Margin: Sharks: 6.0, Bulldogs: N/A – (Sharks more resilient)
• HT/FT Double %: Sharks: 66.7%, Bulldogs: 100.0% – (Bulldogs by 33.3%)
• Highest Score For: Sharks: 36, Bulldogs: 40 – (Bulldogs by 4 points)
• Highest Score Against: Sharks: 28, Bulldogs: 24 – (Bulldogs better by 4 points)
• Biggest Win: Sharks: 24, Bulldogs: 16 – (Sharks by 8 points)
• Biggest Loss: Sharks: 6, Bulldogs: N/A – (Sharks more exposed)
• Highest Total Match Score: Sharks: 50, Bulldogs: 64 – (Bulldogs by 14 points)
• Lowest Total Match Score: Sharks: 39, Bulldogs: 24 – (Bulldogs by 15 points)
• Current Streak: Sharks: W2, Bulldogs: W3 – (Bulldogs momentum)
• Current Form: Sharks: LWW, Bulldogs: WWW – (Bulldogs form edge)
• Choke % (Loss % After Leading HT): Sharks: 0.0%, Bulldogs: 0.0% – (Even)
• Reliability % (Win % After Leading HT): Sharks: 100.0%, Bulldogs: 100.0% – (Even)
• Comeback % (Win % After Trailing HT): Sharks: 0.0%, Bulldogs: N/A – (Sharks recorded, Bulldogs not)
• Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Bulldogs won by 1 point (15-14) on 28th June 2024