Roosters vs Titans Prediction

Here’s where it gets interesting, the bookies are clearly favouring the Roosters a fair bit more than our numbers do. They’ve got the Titans as outsiders at 39.71%, but we think they’ve got a better-than-even shot with a 54% chance of getting up.

This creates a juicy edge when backing the Titans. According to our analysis, the true odds for the Titans should be around $1.85, not the generous $2.40 that’s currently on offer. That’s a solid value bet!

What to do?

The edge lies in the higher probability of the Titans winning compared to the bookmaker’s assessment. With the Titans paying $2.40 and our numbers giving them a 54% shot, there’s a clear value opportunity here if our read on the game is right.

The Titans might be sitting uncomfortably near the bottom of the ladder but bear in mind that they also had a bye in the first round which leaves them a round of points behind the Roosters.

There’s a real chance the bookies have read this one wrong this week, however the last two games these two have played against each other have left the Titans walking away 16 and 18 points down… which has got to have left an imprint on the Titans mental game this week.

Statistically the Titans have it, but technically they are also only two games in… Both of the last two games have been well over the 50.5 total points so the OVER here is a good bet.

Head-to-Head Stats

• Average Points For Per Match: Roosters: 19.3, Titans: 25.0 – (Titans by 5.7 points)
• Average Points Against Per Match: Roosters: 32.0, Titans: 23.0 – (Titans by 9.0 points)
• Average Winning Margin: Roosters: 6.0, Titans: 20.0 – (Titans by 14 points)
• Average Losing Margin: Roosters: 22.0, Titans: 16.0 – (Titans by 6 points)
• HT/FT Double %: Roosters: 0%, Titans: 50% – (Titans by 50%)
• Highest Score For: Roosters: 38, Titans: 26 – (Roosters by 12 points)
• Highest Score Against: Roosters: 50, Titans: 40 – (Titans by 10 points)
• Biggest Win: Roosters: 6, Titans: 20 – (Titans by 14 points)
• Biggest Loss: Roosters: 36, Titans: 16 – (Titans more resilient by 20 points)
• Highest Total Match Score: Roosters: 70, Titans: 64 – (Roosters by 6 points)
• Lowest Total Match Score: Roosters: 20, Titans: 32 – (Titans by 12 points)
• Current Streak: Roosters: L1, Titans: W1 – (Titans momentum)
• Current Form: Roosters: LWL, Titans: LW – (Titans edge)
• Choke % (Loss % After Leading HT): Roosters: 100%, Titans: 0% – (Titans by 100%)
• Reliability % (Win % After Leading HT): Roosters: 0%, Titans: 100% – (Titans by 100%)
• Comeback % (Win % After Trailing HT): Roosters: 0%, Titans: 0% – (Even)
• Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Roosters won by 26 points (48-22) on 25th August 2024