Adelaide vs North Melbourne Prediction & Betting Round 3

Adelaide Crows vs North Melbourne Kangaroos Predictions

Game 7 of Round 3 of the 2025 Toyota AFL Premiership predictions sees Adelaide vs North Melbourne on March 30 at Adelaide Oval on Sunday afternoon. You can catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel & Channel 7. 🏉🔥

Sunday, March 30, 2025

3:20 pm @ Adelaide Oval, Adelaide

Final Score Prediction

Crows

128 : 99

Kangaroos

Win Percentages

Adelaide 56.9%

North Melbourne 43.1%

Adelaide

Kangaroos

Quick Insight

At the time of writing Ladbrokes had the head to head for Adelaide Crows set at $1.11, and $6.40 for the North Melbourne Kangaroos, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Crows 85.21%
Kangaroos 14.79%

Opportunity Bet

We’ve got North with a much stronger shot than the market’s giving them credit for. The Crows should still be favourites, but not by anywhere near that margin.

If the Roos really do have a 43.1% chance of winning, their true odds should be closer to $2.32, not the massive $6.40 that’s currently on the table. That’s an absolutely huge discrepancy, one of the biggest betting edges you’ll see.

What to do?

Adelaide on the nose is the best move this game, though a 40+ winning margin is tempting, the past few games these two teams have played at Adelaide Oval have left the margin quite close, the line is too big, and with two teams that both have the ability of blitxing the other at a moments notice, it’s just not worth the gamble.

pop your tip on the nose, go the OVER or sit this one out.

Suggested Betting Tip:

Adelaide 1-39 @ $2.40 with
Ladbrokes

H-2-H Bet:

Adelaide @ $1.13 with
Ladbrokes

Line Bet:

Kangaroos +38.5 (NOT RECOMMENDED) @ $1.90 with
Ladbrokes

OVER/UNDER Bet:

OVER 165.5 @ $1.88 with
Ladbrokes

Adelaide vs North Melbourne SGM

Head-to-Head Stats

Average Points For Per Match: Adelaide: 148.0, North Melbourne: 111.0 – (Adelaide by 37 points)
Average Points Against Per Match: Adelaide: 86.0, North Melbourne: 89.5 – (Adelaide by 3.5 points)
Average Winning Margin: Adelaide: 62.0, North Melbourne: 59.0 – (Adelaide by 3 points)
Average Losing Margin: Adelaide: N/A, North Melbourne: 16.0 – (Adelaide undefeated)
HT/FT Double %: Adelaide: 100.0%, North Melbourne: 50.0% – (Adelaide by 50%)
Highest Score For: Adelaide: 161, North Melbourne: 125 – (Adelaide by 36 points)
Highest Score Against: Adelaide: 100, North Melbourne: 113 – (Adelaide better by 13 points)
Biggest Win: Adelaide: 63, North Melbourne: 59 – (Adelaide by 4 points)
Biggest Loss: Adelaide: N/A, North Melbourne: 16 – (Adelaide more resilient)
Highest Total Match Score: Adelaide: 261, North Melbourne: 210 – (Adelaide by 51 points)
Lowest Total Match Score: Adelaide: 207, North Melbourne: 191 – (Adelaide by 16 points)
Goal Accuracy For %: Adelaide: 71.9%, North Melbourne: 64.7% – (Adelaide by 7.2%)
Goal Accuracy Against %: Adelaide: 56.8%, North Melbourne: 55.3% – (North Melbourne by 1.5%)
Current Streak: Adelaide: W2, North Melbourne: W1 – (Adelaide edge)
Current Form: Adelaide: WW, North Melbourne: LW – (Adelaide better)
Choke % (Loss % After Leading HT): Adelaide: 0.0%, North Melbourne: 0.0% – (Even)
Reliability % (Win % After Leading HT): Adelaide: 100.0%, North Melbourne: 100.0% – (Even)
Comeback % (Win % After Trailing HT): Adelaide: 0.0%, North Melbourne: 0.0% – (Even)
Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Adelaide won by 57 points (138–81) on 27th April 2024