Roosters vs Panthers Prediction & Betting Analysis Round 7

Sydney Roosters vs Penrith Panthers Predictions

Game 5 of Round 7 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on April 19 features the Roosters vs Panthers at Allianz Stadium on Saturday night. Get the latest NRL betting tips predictions and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel. 🏉🔥

Saturday, April 19, 2025

7:35 pm @ Allianz Stadium, Sydney

Final Score Prediction

Roosters

12 : 22

Panthers

Win Percentages

Roosters 47.79%

Panthers 52.21%

Roosters

Panthers

Quick Insight

At the time of writing bet365 had the head to head for Sydney Roosters is set at $2.20, and $1.68 for the Gold Coast Titans, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Roosters 43.30%
Panthers 54.69%

Opportunity Bet

It’s a close one on paper and even closer when we dig into the numbers. The Panthers are slight favourites, but the market is underestimating just how tight this game could be.

The Panthers are narrow favourites with the bookies, sitting at a 54.69% implied chance to win. Our model has them just a touch lower at 52.21%, which is still fair, but not quite the gap the market’s suggesting.

On the flip side, the Roosters are slightly undervalued. We reckon they’re a 47.79% chance, which puts their fair odds closer to $2.09. But they’re currently paying $2.20, giving us a little bit of value to work with.

It’s not a huge edge, but in a game this close, every bit counts, especially for those who love a same game multi or a cheeky margin play.

What to do?

This one’s a genuine 50/50 battle with a slight lean toward the Panthers, but the market has them a bit too far ahead. That opens up a little value on the Roosters at $2.20 and +3.5 on the line.

With our predicted scoreline and tight win probabilities, backing a close game with the Panthers 1-12 is a smart play. Keep an eye on this one, the value’s subtle, but it’s there if you look closely.

The second most valuable bet this week is the OVER/UNDER of 46.5, the average points for the Roosters at home and the Panthers away currently comes in at 31 and while we don’t expect it to that low by any means it is well worth taking into account when the OVER/UNDER is set 15.5 points higher.

Suggested Betting Tip:

Panthers 1-12 @ $3.40 with
bet365

H-2-H Bet:

Panthers @ $1.68 with
bet365

Line Bet:

Panthers -3.5 @ $1.87 with
bet365

OVER/UNDER Bet:

UNDER 46.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365

Roosters vs Panthers SGM

Head-to-Head Stats

Average Points For Per Match: Roosters: 18.3, Panthers: 22.0 – (Panthers by 3.7 points)
Average Points Against Per Match: Roosters: 27.0, Panthers: 28.3 – (Roosters by 1.3 points)
Average Winning Margin: Roosters: 8.0, Panthers: 6.0 – (Roosters by 2 points)
Average Losing Margin: Roosters: 17.0, Panthers: 8.8 – (Panthers by 8.2 points)
HT/FT Double %: Roosters: 16.7%, Panthers: 16.7% – (Even)
Highest Score For: Roosters: 38, Panthers: 32 – (Roosters by 6 points)
Highest Score Against: Roosters: 50, Panthers: 38 – (Roosters by 12 points)
Biggest Win: Roosters: 10, Panthers: 6 – (Roosters by 4 points)
Biggest Loss: Roosters: 36, Panthers: 18 – (Panthers more resilient by 18 points)
Highest Total Match Score: Roosters: 70, Panthers: 70 – (Even)
Lowest Total Match Score: Roosters: 20, Panthers: 40 – (Panthers by 20 points)
Current Streak: Roosters: W1, Panthers: L5 – (Roosters momentum)
Current Form: Roosters: WLLLW, Panthers: LLLLL – (Roosters edge)
Choke % (Loss % After Leading HT): Roosters: 50.0%, Panthers: 50.0% – (Even)
Reliability % (Win % After Leading HT): Roosters: 50.0%, Panthers: 50.0% – (Even)
Comeback % (Win % After Trailing HT): Roosters: 0.0%, Panthers: 0.0% – (Even)
Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Roosters won by 6 points (38-32) on 14th March 2025