South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Sydney Roosters Predictions
Game 3 of Round 5 of the 2026 NRL Telstra Premiership on April 4 features the Rabbitohs vs Roosters at Accor Stadium on Friday night. Get the latest NRL betting tips predictions and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel, Nine, & Nine Now.
Friday, April 4, 2026
7:00 pm @ Accor Stadium, Sydney
Final Score Prediction
Rabbitohs
26 : 15
Roosters
Win Percentages
Rabbitohs61%
Roosters39%
Rabbitohs
Roosters
Quick Insight
At the time of writing bet365 had the head to head for South Sydney Rabbitohs is set at $1.68, and $2.20 for the Sydney Roosters, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:
Rabbitohs
56.72%
Roosters
43.28%
Opportunity Bet
The bookies have priced this as a relatively even contest, giving the Rabbitohs a 56.72% chance of taking it out. But our analysis gives them a stronger edge at 61%, suggesting they’re actually a bit undervalued at the current price of $1.68.
With the Roosters sitting at 39% and priced at $2.20, the value’s not really on their side in this one. If anything, the Rabbitohs might still be offering a touch of value, with their true odds closer to $1.64 based on our numbers.
In summary: While it’s a tight contest on paper, our analysis shows the Rabbitohs hold a stronger edge than the bookies are giving them credit for. At $1.68, there’s still a small value opportunity backing Souths to get the job done.
What to do?
Interestingly the Roosters have dominated the Rabbitohs for the past two years, however, the Rabbitohs have had a pretty decent start to the year so far and are beating the Roosters in almost every single stat, while this looks like it has the potential to be a washout, we see the Rabbitohs taking this one by less than 12.
Ben's been analysing footy betting markets for over a decade - breaking down team form, player stats, and where the bookies have got it wrong. He leads KRUZEY's weekly AFL and NRL tips and writes our betting app reviews, testing everything from multi-builders to odds competitiveness.
A lifelong Essendon supporter (yes, he's used to disappointment), Ben combines statistical analysis with genuine footy obsession. He watches more game tape than is probably healthy.
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