Warriors vs Dolphins Prediction – Round 8 2026
NRL Round 8 • 2026 Model Predicted — Final Score…
Odds correct at time of posting
Penrith are rolling. They sit on top of the ladder with a +135 points differential, the kind of form line that does not produce close results. Knights are the opposite, coming off back-to-back beltings from the Tigers and Roosters with a defence looking shot.
The market has the line at 10.5 and our model has the margin at twenty. That ten-point gap is the edge. On a side putting thirty-plus on most opponents, ten points of wiggle room is not a stretch.
The risk is a let-off game. Big favourites can get the job done without blowing teams out, and Newcastle at home with Ponga firing can keep the margin respectable. That is why the books have only set it at 10.5.
But Penrith have been relentless when they are on, and Knights have shipped 38 and 42 points in their last two outings. Back the Panthers to roll through Newcastle by two converted tries.
Panthers to cover 10.5. Our model has the margin at twenty; the line is set at ten. That is the gap and the play.
Top of the ladder against a side leaking points. The line is the play, not the head-to-head.
LOCK IT IN: Panthers -10.5 @ $1.91
| Match | Newcastle Knights vs Penrith Panthers |
| Date | Sunday, April 26 |
| Venue | McDonald Jones Stadium |
| Our Tip | Panthers -10.5 @ $1.91 |
| Predicted Score | Newcastle Knights 15 – Penrith Panthers 35 |
Our model tips the Panthers by twenty points with 79 percent confidence. Penrith sit first on the ladder with a +135 points differential and Newcastle are coming off back-to-back heavy losses, so we expect the visitors to run away with this one.
Panthers -10.5 at $1.91 is our recommended best bet. The line is set at 10.5 but our model has the margin at twenty, which creates a ten-point edge on a team that has been blowing opponents out all season.
The match is at McDonald Jones Stadium in Newcastle, kicking off at 2:00pm on Sunday 26 April 2026.