Knights vs Panthers Prediction – Round 8 2026
NRL Round 8 • 2026 Model Predicted – Final Score…
Storm vs Rabbitohs Prediction – Round 8 2026
NRL Round 8 • 2026
Model Predicted – Final Score
South Sydney Rabbitohs by 5 points
Model Predicted Margin
South Sydney Rabbitohs by 5
Current Market
Melbourne Storm -2.5
2.5 pts edge
Best BetHEAD TO HEAD
Rabbitohs H2H @ $2.27
Better form, better defence, and the plus-money price on the team the model has winning by five.
Odds correct at time of posting
Storm vs Rabbitohs Prediction: Souths Upset
The market still can’t let go of the Melbourne Storm brand. They are favourite at home against a Rabbitohs side sitting fourth on the ladder with a +30 points differential. If the names were anonymised, nobody would price this as a Storm favourite.
Recent form is the whole story. Melbourne have lost five straight, including a forty-point drubbing at the hands of the Panthers. That is not a team you back at $1.64 on any ground, let alone against a contender.
The risk is obvious. Storm at home with class through the spine means they know how to flip a switch. If Munster has one of those nights and the Storm forwards fire, the plus-money price looks silly quickly.
But Souths are finding their gear. They rolled the Dragons 30-12 last start and went within two points of the Raiders the week before. A top-four side at better-than-even odds against a team on a five-game slide is the gift of the round.
Storm vs Rabbitohs Tip
Back the Rabbitohs at plus money. Melbourne are 0-5 in their last five and Souths are a top-four side playing the best football of anyone in the comp right now.
Storm vs Rabbitohs Key Stats
POINTS PER GAME (LAST 5)
MEL17
SOU27
Souths are outscoring the Storm by ten a game over the past month.
POINTS CONCEDED (LAST 5)
MEL32
SOU23
Melbourne’s defence has been leaking while Souths have tightened up.
WINS IN LAST 5
MEL0
SOU3
Storm on a five-game losing streak while Souths have banked three wins in the same window.
Storm vs Rabbitohs Form Guide
Melbourne Storm
LLL
- R5: L 10-50 vs Panthers
- R6: L 14-38 vs Warriors
- R7: L 22-26 vs Raiders
South Sydney Rabbitohs
WLW
- R5: W 32-24 vs Bulldogs
- R6: L 34-36 vs Raiders
- R7: W 30-12 vs Dragons
Final Verdict
Form trumps reputation here. Take the better side at better-than-even odds.
LOCK IT IN: Rabbitohs H2H @ $2.27
Key Facts
| Match | Melbourne Storm vs South Sydney Rabbitohs |
| Date | Saturday, April 25 |
| Venue | AAMI Park |
| Our Tip | Rabbitohs H2H @ $2.27 |
| Predicted Score | Melbourne Storm 21 – South Sydney Rabbitohs 26 |
Melbourne Storm vs South Sydney Rabbitohs FAQs
Who will win Storm vs Rabbitohs?
Our model tips the Rabbitohs by five points with 66 percent confidence. Melbourne are 0-5 in their last five and Souths are the better side on every recent metric, so we are happy to take the plus-money price on the visitors.
What is the best bet for Storm vs Rabbitohs in Round 8?
Rabbitohs H2H at $2.27 is our recommended best bet. The market has the Storm as favourites but our model has Souths winning outright, and the plus-money price is the standout value of the round.
Where is the Storm vs Rabbitohs Round 8 match being played?
The match is at AAMI Park in Melbourne, kicking off at 8:10pm on Saturday 25 April 2026.
