Race: Caulfield Cup G1 (2400m) • Date: Sat 18 Oct 2025 • Jump: 5:15pm • Rail: +3m
Who’s The One
🟢 #10 Deakin
Why? Maps well on speed, good rider, proven at the distance, great lead-up run against fave.
Why not? Not Grand Final, Could get sucked into the speed and be vulnerable late.
🟢 #16 Royal Supremacy
Why? Won at the distance, great trainer, maps well, huge run and win lead-up run.
Why not? Flatness from last start, doesn’t have a top-shelf jockey (yes, I know he won the Melbourne Cup last year.
🟢 #15 Half Yours
Why? Great profile, good rider, no weight, draws low, solid sprint.
Why not? Could find traffic in the straight and lose momentum.
🟢 #3 Middle Earth
Why? Target race, great rider, great trainer, can stalk fave.
Why not? History of not jumping well, could get stuck in traffic.
Who’s Got Some
🟡 Meydaan — Classy, first start in Aus, international jockey.
🟡 Presage Nocturne — Classy, first start in Aus, international jockey.
🟡 Zardozi — Classy, good jockey, blinkers on.
🟡 Vauban — Classy but not grand final, right rider.
🟡 Birdman — Distance profile, right stable, will need to elevate.
🟡 River Of Stars — Good jockey, right stable, will need to elevate.
🟡 Plymouth — Right stable, distance profile, untapped, big smokey.
Who’s Got None
🔴 Any horse not mentioned above — Pen them.
Best Bets
Top Pick: Deakin
Value: Middle Earth
Smokey: Plymouth
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