Caulfield Cup Tips

Caulfield Cup Tips

Michael Kruse
13 October 2025
332 Views

Race: Caulfield Cup G1 (2400m) • Date: Sat 18 Oct 2026 • Jump: 5:15pm  • Rail: +3m

TL;DR: Winner comes from Half Yours, Deakin, Royal Supremacy, or Middle Earth.

Who’s The One

#10 Deakin

Why? Maps well on speed, good rider, proven at the distance, great lead-up run against fave.

Why not? Not Grand Final, Could get sucked into the speed and be vulnerable late.

#16 Royal Supremacy

Why? Won at the distance, great trainer, maps well, huge run and win lead-up run.

Why not? Flatness from last start, doesn’t have a top-shelf jockey (yes, I know he won the Melbourne Cup last year.

  #15 Half Yours

Why? Great profile, good rider, no weight, draws low, solid sprint.

Why not? Could find traffic in the straight and lose momentum.

#3 Middle Earth

Why? Target race, great rider, great trainer, can stalk fave.

Why not? History of not jumping well, could get stuck in traffic.

Who’s Got Some

Meydaan – Classy, first start in Aus, international jockey.

Presage Nocturne – Classy, first start in Aus, international jockey.

Zardozi – Classy, good jockey, blinkers on.

Vauban – Classy but not grand final, right rider.

Birdman – Distance profile, right stable, will need to elevate.

River Of Stars – Good jockey, right stable, will need to elevate.

Plymouth – Right stable, distance profile, untapped, big smokey.

Who’s Got None

Any horse not mentioned above – Pen them.

Best Bets

Top Pick: Deakin

Value: Middle Earth

Smokey: Plymouth

Where To Bet

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More Info

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Author Michael Kruse

Michael founded KRUZEY after 15+ years betting on Australian racing - most of it learning expensive lessons the hard way. He's obsessive about form analysis and has a soft spot for finding value in the quaddie markets everyone else ignores. At KRUZEY, Michael covers racing tips, bookmaker reviews, and anything involving crunching numbers to find an edge. He's up before dawn most race days studying the fields, and reckons a well-constructed quaddie is one of life's simple pleasures. Connect on LinkedIn Email Contact