Roosters vs Cowboys Prediction

Game 6 of Round 16 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on June 22 features the Sydney Roosters vs North Queensland Cowboys at Allianz Stadium on Sunday afternoon. Get the latest NRL betting tips, predictions, and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel, Channel 9, & 9NOW. 🏉🔥

Sydney Roosters vs North Queensland Cowboys Predictions

Sunday, June 22, 2025

4:05pm @ Allianz Stadium, Sydney

Final Score Prediction

Roosters

23 : 23

Cowboys

Hold onto your hats – this one’s going right down to the wire! Our analysis suggests we could be heading for golden point in what shapes as the game of the round.

The bookies are showing the Roosters way too much love, creating a massive value opportunity for savvy punters.

Win Percentages

Roosters
54.03%

Cowboys
45.97%

The Market Assessment

This is the biggest value discrepancy of the round! The bookies have Roosters at $1.48 for what our analysis shows is essentially a dead heat.

Cowboys at $2.63 for a 50/50 game? That’s not just value – that’s a gift wrapped in a bow for sharp punters.

Roosters

Cowboys

Why This Could Go Either Way

The stats paint a picture of perfect parity. Attack, defense, form – everything points to these teams being dead even on Sunday afternoon.

With margins this tight, the game will likely be decided by a moment of individual brilliance or a crucial error.

Head-to-Head Analysis

The numbers reveal just how evenly matched these titans are:

Attack: Roosters average just 1.8 more points per game
Defence: Roosters concede 4.9 fewer points per game
Power Rankings: Virtually identical (10.00 vs 11.67)
Win Rate: Roosters winning just 8% more games
Form: Both teams showing similar winning margins

Game Style Prediction: A balanced, moderate-scoring thriller that could easily go to golden point. Expect defense to dominate with field goals potentially deciding the outcome.

Expected Total: 46 points – right on average for a tight contest

Our Betting Strategy

Value Play: Cowboys +6.5

Cowboys +6.5 @ $1.85

With our prediction of a draw, taking the Cowboys with a 6.5 point start is exceptional value. This is the safest bet on the entire card.

Huge Value: Cowboys to Win

Cowboys @ $2.63

At $2.63 for what’s essentially a coin flip, this is the value bet of the round. The odds suggest Cowboys have a 38% chance, but our analysis says it’s closer to 46%.

Golden Point Special: The Draw

Draw @ $23.00

Our model literally predicts 23-23! At massive odds, a small investment on the draw could pay huge dividends in what shapes as a nail-biter.

Why The Market Is Way Off

The bookies are overvaluing the Roosters’ home advantage and recent reputation. While Allianz is a fortress, the Cowboys have the cattle to match them in every department.

Key Factor: When teams are this evenly matched statistically, odds of $2.63 represent extraordinary value that rarely comes along.

The Bottom Line

This is the definition of a betting anomaly. Our model says draw, the stats say it’s 50/50, yet the bookies have one team as heavy favourites.

Back the Cowboys with the points for safety, take them outright for value, and throw a few dollars on the draw at huge odds. This is where smart money makes its profit.

Remember to gamble responsibly.