Eels vs Dragons Prediction
Parramatta Eels vs St. George Illawarra Dragons Predictions Game 4…
Game 6 of Round 6 of the 2026 NRL Telstra Premiership on April 12 features the Eels vs Raiders at TIO Stadium on Saturday night. Get the latest NRL betting tips predictions and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel.


Saturday, April 12, 2026
7:35 pm @ TIO Stadium, Darwin
At the time of writing bet365 had the head to head for Parramatta Eels is set at $2.55, and $1.52 for the Canberra Raiders, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:
The Raiders are paying $1.52, which reflects a 62.65% implied chance, almost bang-on with our model’s 61%. So while they’re rightly favourites, there’s not much extra value at that price.
Now, looking at the Eels, they’re priced at $2.55, which gives them a 37.35% implied win rate. But our numbers say they’ve actually got a 39% shot. It’s not a massive edge, but there’s still a little value there if you’re feeling bold and want to back the underdog.
While the Raiders should come away with the win, the market’s pricing is pretty sharp. That said, the Eels offer a tiny sliver of value at $2.55. If you’re chasing a higher return and reckon they could fire up, they’re worth a cheeky look.
Up to Darwin this week, the Eels and the Raiders will be sweltering it out in the heat with no true home ground advantage. The Eels as expected, have not had a turn around of a season this year and will be back on track with another loss again this week as the Raiders take advantage of their higher try scoring ratio. Honestly trying to predict how much the Raiders will win by this week was a tough one but we’re looking at around 12 points, a little too close of a call to bet on the winning margin, the line this week is the best step forwards, unless of course you’re planning to back the Eels then the 1-12 is a good way to go.
Winning Margin Bet:
Raiders 1-12 (NOT RECOMMENDED) @ $3.40 with
bet365
OVER/UNDER Bet:
UNDER 48.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365
Check out all this weeks NRL Multi tips on our Multi Bets Page.
Eels vs Raiders
Check the NRL Draw for upcoming NRL matches this season.
Keep up-to-date with your team’s injuries this week with our NRL injury list.
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