Broncos vs Warriors Prediction

Game 4 of Round 16 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on June 28 features the Brisbane Broncos vs New Zealand Warriors at Suncorp Stadium on Saturday afternoon. Get the latest NRL betting tips, predictions, and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel, Channel 9, & 9NOW. 🏉🔥

Brisbane Broncos vs New Zealand Warriors Predictions

Saturday, June 28, 2025

3:00pm @ Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Final Score Prediction

Broncos

26 : 22

Warriors

The Broncos return to their Suncorp fortress looking to bounce back against a Warriors side that’s been hot and cold all season.

Brisbane’s home record remains formidable, and they should have just enough class to edge past the visitors.

Expect a high-quality contest with both teams throwing the ball around in what could be one of the games of the round.

Win Percentages

Broncos
52.42%

Warriors
47.58%

The Market Assessment

This is as close to a 50/50 contest as you’ll find, despite the bookies installing Brisbane as solid favorites at $1.49.

The Warriors at $2.60 offer genuine value for those willing to back the upset.

The 5.5-point line looks challenging for Brisbane given our predicted margin of just 4 points. The head-to-head market might be the safer play.

Broncos

Warriors

Why Suncorp Matters

Brisbane’s home record at Suncorp Stadium remains one of the best in the competition. The passionate home crowd lifts the Broncos to another level, particularly in these tight contests.

The Warriors have the firepower to trouble any team on their day, but their inconsistency on the road remains a concern.

Head-to-Head Analysis

The stats suggest a nail-biter is on the cards:

Power Rankings: Slight edge to Brisbane (5.83 vs 7.17)
Attack: Both teams averaging similar points
Defence: Evenly matched defensive units
Form: Both sides capable of brilliance and blunders
Home Advantage: Suncorp the difference maker

Game Style Prediction: Balanced, moderate-to-high scoring affair with momentum swings.
Expected Total: 47 points – expect an entertaining contest

Our Betting Strategy

Best Value: Broncos 1-12

Broncos 1-12 @ $3.05

With a predicted 4-point margin, the 1-12 band offers excellent value. This covers a close home win without needing Brisbane to cover the line.

Upset Special: Warriors +5.5

Warriors +5.5 @ $1.95

If you fancy the Warriors to keep it close, the line bet offers solid value. They only need to lose by 5 or less, or win outright.

Entertainment Plus: Over 47.5

Over 47.5 @ $1.90

Both teams have attacking weapons and this shapes as an open, entertaining contest. The overs looks a smart play.

The X-Factor Battle

This game could come down to which team’s superstars fire. Brisbane’s Reece Walsh versus the Warriors’ Shaun Johnson shapes as a mouth-watering duel between two of the game’s most exciting players.

Key Battle: The battle of the benches. Depth could prove crucial in the Queensland heat.

The Bottom Line

This has all the makings of a classic Saturday afternoon shootout. Brisbane’s home advantage should be just enough to get them over the line in what promises to be an entertaining affair

The 1-12 margin band offers the best value, though the Warriors with a 5.5-point start also appeals given how close this contest projects to be.

Remember to gamble responsibly.