Penrith Panthers vs Brisbane Broncos Predictions
Game 7 of Round 9 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on May 4 features the Panthers vs Broncos at Suncorp Stadium on Sunday evening. Get the latest NRL betting tips predictions and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel, 9, & 9NOW. 🏉🔥

Sunday, May 4, 2025
4:05 pm @ Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
Final Score Prediction


Win Percentages
Quick Insight
At the time of writing Unibet had the head to head for the Penrith Panthers set at $2.20, and $1.67 for the Brisbane Broncos, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:
The Betting Edge
The bookies have the Broncos as moderate favourites at 56.84%, but our deeper analysis shows an even stronger lean, we’ve got the Broncos winning this 64.12% of the time.
At odds of $1.67, there’s still a little value in backing the Broncos if you’re keen, while the Panthers at $2.20 are probably being priced closer to hope than reality based on recent numbers.
Power Rankings Breakdown
Here’s how the two teams compare based on the latest performance metrics:
- Predicted Final Score: Panthers 22 – 30 Broncos
- Average Points For: Panthers 22.75, Broncos 30.00 (Broncos by 7.25 points)
- Average Points Against: Panthers 26.00, Broncos 20.25 (Broncos better defensively by 5.75 points)
- Win Percentage: Panthers 25.00%, Broncos 62.50% (Broncos by 37.5%)
- Adjusted Points For: Panthers 24.39, Broncos 27.56 (Broncos by 3.17 points)
- Adjusted Points Against: Panthers 26.24, Broncos 23.39 (Broncos by 2.85 points)
- Over/Under Tempo: 50.8 (Expect a high-energy, open match with some decent scoring)
- Game Style Prediction: Likely Blowout
What to do?
No surprises here, the Broncos are sitting proudly at 1st spot on the power rankings, while the Panthers are back at 12th. That’s a huge 11-place gap and it shows all over the stat sheet.
Digging deeper, the Broncos absolutely dominate the True Power Score too (2.40 vs Panthers’ 11.00), highlighting just how much better they’ve been this season.
Importantly, the Broncos have been up against tougher opponents (average opponent rank 6.50 compared to Panthers’ 11.75) and still have a far better win rate and scoring margin. That toughness could be key here if things get gritty late.
The Panthers have shown they can put up points when on song (highest match score of 40), but the Broncos’ ability to consistently rack up big totals, and do it against good sides, makes them deserved favourites here.
Overall, the Broncos look the goods here. At $1.67, they still represent decent value, especially given how dominant they’ve been across the board this season!
Take the Broncos line -2.5 for a little more value than the H-2-H bet.
Head-to-Head Stats
- Average Points For Per Match: Panthers: 22.75, Broncos: 30.00 – (Broncos by 7.25 points)
- Average Points Against Per Match: Panthers: 26.00, Broncos: 20.25 – (Broncos by 5.75 points)
- Power Rank: Panthers: 12, Broncos: 1 – (Broncos by 11)
- Average Winning Margin: Panthers: 17.00, Broncos: 20.00 – (Broncos by 3 points)
- SoS Adjusted Points For: Panthers: 24.39, Broncos: 27.56 – (Broncos by 3.17 points)
- Win Percentage: Panthers: 25.00%, Broncos: 62.50% – (Broncos by 37.5%)
- Average Opponent Rank: Panthers: 11.75, Broncos: 6.50 – (Broncos by 5.25 ranks)
- Average Opponent Win %: Panthers: 36.83%, Broncos: 60.04% – (Broncos by 23.21%)
- Average Opponent Points For: Panthers: 23.17, Broncos: 26.51 – (Panthers by 3.34 points)
- Highest Score For: Panthers: 40.00, Broncos: 50.00 – (Broncos by 10 points)
- Highest Score Against: Panthers: 38.00, Broncos: 32.00 – (Broncos by 6 points)
- Highest Total Match Score: Panthers: 70.00, Broncos: 70.00 – (Even)
- Lowest Total Match Score: Panthers: 36.00, Broncos: 32.00 – (Broncos by 4 points)
- Adjusted Points For: Panthers: 24.39, Broncos: 27.56 – (Broncos by 3.17 points)
- Adjusted Points Against: Panthers: 26.24, Broncos: 23.39 – (Broncos by 2.85 points)
- True Power Score (Weighted): Panthers: 11.00, Broncos: 2.40 – (Broncos by 8.6 points)
- OVER/UNDER Tempo: 50.8
- Game Style Prediction: Likely Blowout – Low Scoring
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NRL Draw
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