Knights vs Wests Tigers Prediction

The Knights are paying $1.52, which reflects a hefty 62.65% implied chance of winning. But our model’s not buying it, we’ve got them at just 44%, meaning they’re seriously overvalued at that price.

Now here’s the juicy bit, the Tigers. Priced at $2.55, the bookies have them at only a 37.35% chance. But based on our analysis, they’re actually more likely to win, sitting at 56%. That’s a massive edge, and one that makes the Tigers a red-hot value bet in this one.

In Summary

Wests Tigers are being seriously underrated here. With our numbers giving them the upper hand, that $2.55 price tag offers excellent value. If you’re hunting for a strong edge and don’t mind backing the away side, the Tigers are the smart play.

Knights vs Wests Tigers Head-to-Head Stats

• Average Points For Per Match: Knights: 10.5, Wests Tigers: 23.6 – (Wests Tigers by 13.1 points)
• Average Points Against Per Match: Knights: 16.5, Wests Tigers: 21.2 – (Knights by 4.7 points)
• Average Winning Margin: Knights: 8.0, Wests Tigers: 19.0 – (Wests Tigers by 11 points)
• Average Losing Margin: Knights: 20.0, Wests Tigers: 8.7 – (Wests Tigers more resilient by 11.3 points)
• HT/FT Double %: Knights: 25.0%, Wests Tigers: 20.0% – (Knights by 5%)
• Highest Score For: Knights: 26, Wests Tigers: 32 – (Wests Tigers by 6 points)
• Highest Score Against: Knights: 26, Wests Tigers: 46 – (Knights by 20 points)
• Biggest Win: Knights: 14, Wests Tigers: 26 – (Wests Tigers by 12 points)
• Biggest Loss: Knights: 20, Wests Tigers: 22 – (Knights more resilient by 2 points)
• Highest Total Match Score: Knights: 38, Wests Tigers: 70 – (Wests Tigers by 32 points)
• Lowest Total Match Score: Knights: 18, Wests Tigers: 18 – (Even)
• Current Streak: Knights: L2, Wests Tigers: L2 – (Even)
• Current Form: Knights: WWLL, Wests Tigers: LWWLL – (Wests Tigers edge)
• Choke % (Loss % After Leading HT): Knights: 0.0%, Wests Tigers: 50.0% – (Knights by 50%)
• Reliability % (Win % After Leading HT): Knights: 100.0%, Wests Tigers: 50.0% – (Knights by 50%)
• Comeback % (Win % After Trailing HT): Knights: 33.3%, Wests Tigers: 50.0% – (Wests Tigers by 16.7%)
• Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Knights won by 2 points (10-8) on 7th January 2026
• Previous Encounter: Knights won by 16 points (34-18) on 11th August 2024