Knights vs Sharks Prediction & Betting Analysis Round 7

Newcastle Knights vs Cronulla Sharks Predictions

Game 7 of Round 7 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on April 20 features the Knights vs Sharks at McDonald Jones Stadium on Sunday afternoon. Get the latest NRL betting tips predictions and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, Foxtel, Nine, and Nine Now. 🏉🔥

Sunday, April 20, 2025

$:05 pm @ McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle

Final Score Prediction

Knights

15 : 22

Sharks

Win Percentages

Knights 41.99%

Sharks 58.01%

Knights

Sharks

Quick Insight

At the time of writing bet365 had the head to head for Newcastle Knights is set at $3.25, and $1.35 for the Cronulla Sharks, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Knights 29.35%
Sharks 70.65%

Opportunity Bet

The Sharks have the backing of both form and market sentiment, but our model suggests the Knights have more of a chance than the odds imply. This could be one of those value spots punters love to find.

According to the bookies, the Sharks are near-certainties at over 70% to win. But our model has them at 58.01%, still favourites, but not by that much. That’s a 12% gap, which is a serious bit of value on the Knights.

We rate the Knights at just under 42% to get the win, meaning their true odds should be more like $2.38, and they’re currently priced at $3.25. That’s a massive overlay, and definitely worth a look if you’re keen on a roughie with potential.

What to do?

There’s no doubt Cronulla should be favourites, but not by as much as the bookies odds suggest. The Knights are seriously undervalued in the market, and at $3.25, there’s a huge betting edge based on our model.

The Knights +9.5 at $1.91 is a good bet, our predicted margin is 7, so this line gives some solid value, and if you’re building a same game multi, the under 43.5 is a decent value anchor considering we’re predicting a total of 37 points.

Though all said and done, taking the Sharks at 1-12 is the best bet of the game.

Suggested Betting Tip:

Sharks 1-12 @ $3.10 with
bet365

H-2-H Bet:

Sharks @ $1.35 with
bet365

Line Bet:

Knights +9.5 @ $1.91 with
bet365

OVER/UNDER Bet:

UNDER 43.5 @ $1.95 with
bet365

Knights vs Sharks SGM

Head-to-Head Stats

Average Points For Per Match: Knights: 9.2, Sharks: 22.5 – (Sharks by 13.3 points)
Average Points Against Per Match: Knights: 17.2, Sharks: 19.0 – (Knights by 1.8 points)
Average Winning Margin: Knights: 8.0, Sharks: 15.0 – (Sharks by 7 points)
Average Losing Margin: Knights: 18.7, Sharks: 8.0 – (Sharks by 10.7 points)
HT/FT Double %: Knights: 20.0%, Sharks: 50.0% – (Sharks by 30%)
Highest Score For: Knights: 26, Sharks: 36 – (Sharks by 10 points)
Highest Score Against: Knights: 26, Sharks: 28 – (Knights by 2 points)
Biggest Win: Knights: 14, Sharks: 24 – (Sharks by 10 points)
Biggest Loss: Knights: 20, Sharks: 14 – (Sharks more resilient by 6 points)
Highest Total Match Score: Knights: 38, Sharks: 50 – (Sharks by 12 points)
Lowest Total Match Score: Knights: 18, Sharks: 26 – (Sharks by 8 points)
Current Streak: Knights: L3, Sharks: W1 – (Sharks momentum)
Current Form: Knights: WWLLL, Sharks: WWLLW – (Sharks edge)
Choke % (Loss % After Leading HT): Knights: 0.0%, Sharks: 0.0% – (Even)
Reliability % (Win % After Leading HT): Knights: 100.0%, Sharks: 100.0% – (Even)
Comeback % (Win % After Trailing HT): Knights: 25.0%, Sharks: 0.0% – (Knights by 25%)
Last Encounter Winner and Margin: Sharks won by 1 point (19-18) on 18th August 2024