Wests Tigers vs Rabbitohs Prediction

Game 8 of Round 11 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership on May 18 features the Wests Tigers vs Rabbitohs at Cambelltown Sports Stadium on Sunday night. Get the latest NRL betting tips predictions and analysis right here, and catch the game live on Kayo, & Foxtel. 🏉🔥

Wests Tigers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs Predictions

Sunday, May 18, 2025

6:15 pm @ Campbelltown Sports Stadium, Sydney

Final Score Prediction

Wests Tigers

18 : 16

Rabbitohs

Win Percentages

Wests Tigers 53.61%

Rabbitohs 46.39%

Tigers

Rabbitohs

Quick Insight

At the time of writing Unibet had the head to head for the Wests Tigers set at $1.89, and $1.89 for the South Sydney Rabbitohs, This sets the bookmakers implied probability for both teams as follows:

Tigers 50.00%
Rabbitohs 50.00%

The Betting Edge

The Bookies have got this one locked at dead even, both the Wests Tigers and South Sydney Rabbitohs are paying $1.89, which means the market sees this as a true 50/50. But our model leans ever so slightly toward the Tigers, giving them a 53.61% win probability, compared to the Rabbitohs at 46.39%.

So, what does that mean? There’s a tiny edge sitting with the Tigers, not a slam dunk, but enough to spot a touch of value in the current odds. When the market’s split but the model leans one way, it’s worth taking notice.

Power Rankings Breakdown

Here’s how the two teams compare based on the latest performance metrics:

Wests Tigers vs Rabbitohs Head-to-Head Stats

Average Points For Per Match: Wests Tigers by 5.5 points
Average Points Against Per Match: Rabbitohs by 4 points
Power Rank: Rabbitohs by 1
Average Winning Margin: Wests Tigers by 7 points
Strength of Schedule Adjusted Points For: Wests Tigers by 7 points
Win %: Even
Average Opponent Ladder Rank: Rabbitohs by 1 rank
Average Opponent Win %: Wests Tigers by 2%
Average Opponent Points For: Rabbitohs by 1 point
Highest Score For: Wests Tigers by 6 points
Highest Score Against: Rabbitohs by 32 points
Highest Total Match Score: Wests Tigers by 21 points
Lowest Total Match Score: Wests Tigers by 12 points
Adjusted Points For: Wests Tigers by 7 points
Adjusted Points Against: Rabbitohs by 4 points
True Power Score (Weighted): Even
OVER/UNDER Tempo: 40
Game Style Prediction: Grinder
Total Power Rank Score (Lower is Better): Wests Tigers: 9.00, Rabbitohs: 12.67 – (Wests Tigers by 3.67)

Over/Under Tempo: Slow grind of a match incoming. Points will be at a premium.

Game Style Prediction: Grinder. Expect a tight, physical game with both sides struggling for space and momentum.

What to do?

The bookies are calling this a coin toss, and fair enough, it’s shaping up to be a close one. But our model tips the Tigers just enough to see them as the slightly stronger outfit. They’ve been better in attack, have the stronger adjusted for numbers, and come in with a slightly easier run.

At $1.89, it’s not a huge payday, but if you’re looking for the slight edge in a line-ball game, the Tigers are the play. It’s all about those marginal gains, and in a grinder like this, every one of them matters.

Wests Tigers should take the win this week, though our prediction has them winning by a total score of significantly less than the anticipated 46.5 OVER/UNDER suggested by the bookies, best bet here is to take the UNDER 46.5.

Looking at multis go the Wests Tigers 1-12, Tigers +1.5, and the UNDER 46.5 for a handy little $11.10 with Unibet.