Raiders vs Bulldogs Prediction

The Betting Edge

The bookies have lined up behind the Raiders here, giving them a 55.21% chance to take the win, but our analysis shows this one’s actually leaning the other way. Based on form, strength of schedule and power metrics, we’ve got the Bulldogs winning 54.03% of the time, which means the Dogs at $2.20 are looking like great value.

This is a classic case of market vs. model, and if the numbers hold true, there’s definitely an edge backing the Bulldogs.

💰 BET BULLDOGS @ $2.20 (vs Raiders)

Power Rankings Breakdown

Here’s how the two teams compare based on the latest performance metrics:

• Average Points For: Raiders by 2.2
• Average Points Against: Bulldogs by 7
• Power Rank: Bulldogs by 4 spots
• Average Winning Margin: Bulldogs by 3
• Adjusted Points For: Raiders by 4
• Adjusted Points Against: Bulldogs by 13
• True Power Score (Weighted): Bulldogs by 2
• Win Percentage: Bulldogs by 10%
• Strength of Schedule: Bulldogs by a nose (lower average opponent ladder rank)
• Total Power Rank Score: Raiders 4.00 vs Bulldogs 6.00

Over/Under Tempo: 43.3 – it’s a steady-paced game on the cards, but not a slog.

Game Style Prediction: Balanced Matchup, this one could swing either way late, with both sides having their moments.

What to do?

This matchup is way closer than the market odds suggest. The Bulldogs have a slightly better power profile, stronger recent form, and more scoring punch when it counts, all while still being the underdog at $2.20.

Canberra aren’t to be dismissed, they edge the power rank score and have a more favourable points for tally, but when you weigh it all up, the Dogs have the momentum and better adjusted numbers overall.

If you’re looking for value, the Bulldogs are the play. With the market underpricing them and our model giving them the edge, there’s a clear betting opportunity to back the Dogs in what shapes as a close and competitive game.

Everything in this game points towards a close game that could go in favour of either team, best bet is to go real value with the Bulldogs with the 1-12 winning margin. If you’re looking for a multi, take the Bulldogs 1-12, Bulldogs +2.5, and the UNDER for a nice $13.11 with Unibet.

Head-to-Head Stats

• Average Points For Per Match: Raiders by 2.2
• Average Points Against Per Match: Bulldogs by 7
• Power Rank: Bulldogs by 4
• Average Winning Margin: Bulldogs by 3
• Strength of Schedule Adjusted Points For: Raiders by 4
• Win Percentage: Bulldogs by 10%
• Average Opponent Ladder Rank: Bulldogs by 1
• Average Opponent Win Percentage: Raiders by 5%
• Average Opponent Points For: Bulldogs by 5
• Highest Score For: Raiders by 10
• Highest Score Against: Raiders by 2
• Highest Total Match Score: Raiders by 4
• Lowest Total Match Score: Bulldogs by 18
• Adjusted Points For: Raiders by 4
• Adjusted Points Against: Bulldogs by 13
• True Power Score (Weighted): Bulldogs by 2
• Over/Under Tempo: 43.3
• Game Style Prediction: Balanced Matchup
• Average Opposition Ladder Rank: Raiders: 5, Bulldogs: 4 – (Bulldogs by 1)
• Total Power Rank Score (Lower is Better): Raiders: 4.00, Bulldogs: 6.00 – (Raiders by 2.00)